每日简报

高维数据下连续处理平均潜在结果的单调性检验AI 解读

While most treatment evaluations focus on binary interventions, a growing literature also considers continuously distributed treatments. We propose a Cramér-von Mises-type test for testing whether the mean potential outcome given a specific treatment has a weakly monotonic relationship with the treatment dose under a weak unconfoundedness assumption. In a nonseparable structural model, applying our method amounts to testing monotonicity of the average structural function in…

随机对照试验协变量平衡方法的对抗鲁棒性局限AI 解读

The first step towards investigating the effectiveness of a treatment via a randomized trial is to split the population into control and treatment groups then compare the average response of the treatment group receiving the treatment to the control group receiving the placebo. In order to ensure that the difference between the two groups is caused only by the treatment, it is crucial that the control and the treatment groups have similar statistics. Indeed, the validity and…

断点回归设计中的协变量调整AI 解读

The Regression Discontinuity (RD) design is a widely used non-experimental method for causal inference and program evaluation. While its canonical formulation only requires a score and an outcome variable, it is common in empirical work to encounter RD analyses where additional variables are used for adjustment. This practice has led to misconceptions about the role of covariate adjustment in RD analysis, from both methodological and empirical perspectives. In this chapter,…

空间自回归模型权重矩阵估计的贝叶斯方法AI 解读

We develop a Bayesian approach to estimate weight matrices in spatial autoregressive (or spatial lag) models. Datasets in regional economic literature are typically characterized by a limited number of time periods T relative to spatial units N. When the spatial weight matrix is subject to estimation severe problems of over-parametrization are likely. To make estimation feasible, our approach focusses on spatial weight matrices which are binary prior to row-standardization.…