Do Test Scores Help Teachers Give Better Track Advice to Students? A Principal Stratification Analysis
考试成绩能否改善教师的学生分轨建议?主分层分析
Every year, over one million EU students choose a secondary school track based on teacher recommendations, yet little evidence shows this yields optimal assignments. Using Dutch data, we examine whether access to standardized test scores improves recommendation quality. We develop a Principal-Stratification metric in a quasi-randomized setting, conduct a welfare analysis that flexibly weights short- and long-term losses, and assess principal fairness by examining whether…