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Tight differencing in spectral density estimation with centrosymmetric kernels

利用中心对称核进行谱密度估计中的短滞后差分

Summary Mean-robust estimation of spectral density and long-run variance is crucial for many statistical inference procedures. However, existing methods often degrade when serially dependent data exhibit volatile, time-varying trends, or sudden jumps, particularly in small samples. While differencing and kernel averaging are standard tools for achieving mean robustness and consistency, they are not inherently compatible. Combining them can compromise optimality.…

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A random-perturbation-based rank estimator of the number of factors

基于随机扰动的因子个数秩估计

Summary We introduce a random-perturbation-based rank estimator of the number of factors of a large-dimensional approximate factor model. An expansion of the rank estimator demonstrates that the random perturbation reduces the biases due to the persistence of the factor series and the dependence between the factor and error series. A central limit theorem for the rank estimator with convergence rate higher than root $n$ gives a new hypothesis-testing procedure for both…

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A test for the absence of aliasing or local white noise in locally stationary wavelet time series

局部平稳小波时间序列中无混叠或局部白噪声的检验

Aliasing is often overlooked in time series analysis but can seriously distort the spectrum, the autocovariance and their estimates.We show that dyadic subsampling of a locally stationary wavelet process, which can cause aliasing, results in a process that is the sum of asymptotic white noise and another locally stationary wavelet process with a modified spectrum.We develop a test for the absence of aliasing in a locally stationary wavelet series at a fixed location, and…

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A Durbin–Levinson regularized estimator of high-dimensional autocovariance matrices

高维自协方差矩阵的Durbin–Levinson正则化估计

The autocovariance matrix of a stationary random process plays a central role in prediction theory and time series analysis. When the dimension of the matrix is of the same order of magnitude as the number of observations, the sample autocovariance matrix gives an inconsistent estimator. In the nonparametric framework, recent proposals have concentrated on banding and tapering the sample autocovariance matrix. We introduce an alternative approach via a modified…

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Selective factor extraction in high dimensions

高维数据中的选择性因子提取

This paper studies simultaneous feature selection and extraction in supervised and unsupervised learning. We propose and investigate selective reduced rank regression for constructing optimal explanatory factors from a parsimonious subset of input features. The proposed estimators enjoy sharp oracle inequalities, and with a predictive information criterion for model selection, they adapt to unknown sparsity by controlling both rank and row support of the coefficient matrix.…

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