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环境不变线性最小二乘AI 解读

This paper considers a multi-environment linear regression model in which data from multiple experimental settings are collected. The joint distribution of the response variable and covariates may vary across different environments, yet the conditional expectations of the response variable, given the unknown set of important variables, are invariant. Such a statistical model is related to the problem of endogeneity, causal inference, and transfer learning. The motivation…

复合假设下有检验能力的p值与e值的存在性AI 解读

Given a composite null P and composite alternative Q, when and how can we construct a p-value whose distribution is exactly uniform under the null, and stochastically smaller than uniform under the alternative? Similarly, when and how can we construct an e-value whose expectation exactly equals one under the null, but its expected logarithm under the alternative is positive? We answer these basic questions, and other related ones, when P and Q are convex polytopes (in the…

考虑相关结构的高维两样本均值新检验AI 解读

This paper is concerned with high-dimensional two-sample mean problems, which receive considerable attention in recent literature. To utilize the correlation information among variables for enhancing the power of two-sample mean tests, we consider the setting in which the precision matrix of high-dimensional data possesses a linear structure. Thus, we first propose a new precision matrix estimation procedure with considering its linear structure, and further develop…

有限总体中的分位数过程及其应用AI 解读

The weak convergence of the quantile processes, which are constructed based on different estimators of the finite population quantiles, is shown under various well-known sampling designs based on a superpopulation model. The results related to the weak convergence of these quantile processes are applied to find asymptotic distributions of the smooth L-estimators and the estimators of smooth functions of finite population quantiles. Based on these asymptotic distributions,…

Wasserstein生成对抗网络作为极小极大最优分布估计量AI 解读

We provide nonasymptotic rates of convergence of the Wasserstein Generative Adversarial networks (WGAN) estimator. We build neural networks classes representing the generators and discriminators which yield a GAN that achieves the minimax optimal rate for estimating a certain probability measure μ with support in Rp. The probability μ is considered to be the push forward of the Lebesgue measure on the d-dimensional torus Td by a map g⋆:Td→Rp of smoothness β+1. Measuring the…

局部差分隐私下的渐近效率AI 解读

We develop a theory of asymptotic efficiency in regular parametric models when data confidentiality is ensured by local differential privacy (LDP). Even though efficient parameter estimation is a classical and well-studied problem in mathematical statistics, it leads to several nontrivial obstacles that need to be tackled when dealing with the LDP case. Starting from a regular parametric model P=(Pθ)θ∈Θ, Θ⊆Rp, for the i.i.d. unobserved sensitive data X1,…,Xn, we establish…

相位同步与正交群同步中谱方法的精确极小极大最优性AI 解读

We study the performance of the spectral method for the phase synchronization problem with additive Gaussian noises and incomplete data. The spectral method utilizes the leading eigenvector of the data matrix followed by a normalization step. We prove that it achieves the minimax lower bound of the problem with a matching leading constant under a squared ℓ2 loss. This shows that the spectral method has the same performance as more sophisticated procedures including maximum…

未知流形邻域中的密度估计：贝叶斯非参数方法AI 解读

We study the Bayesian density estimation of data living in the offset of an unknown submanifold of the Euclidean space. In this perspective, we introduce a new notion of anisotropic Hölder for the underlying density and obtain posterior rates that are minimax optimal and adaptive to the regularity of the density, to the intrinsic dimension of the manifold, and to the size of the offset, provided that the latter is not too small—while still allowed to go to zero. Our Bayesian…

通过置换增广回归构造线性模型的保形检验AI 解读

Permutation tests are widely recognized as robust alternatives to tests based on normal theory. Random permutation tests have been frequently employed to assess the significance of variables in linear models. Despite their widespread use, existing random permutation tests lack finite-sample and assumption-free guarantees for controlling type I error in partial correlation tests. To address this ongoing challenge, we have developed a conformal test through…

高维混杂下平均处理效应的去偏逆倾向得分加权AI 解读

We consider estimation of average treatment effects given observational data with high-dimensional pretreatment variables. Existing methods for this problem typically assume some form of sparsity for the regression functions. In this work, we introduce a debiased inverse propensity score weighting (DIPW) scheme for average treatment effect estimation that delivers n-consistent estimates when the propensity score follows a sparse logistic regression model; the outcome…

改进的协方差估计：重尾下的最优稳健性与次高斯保证AI 解读

We present an estimator of the covariance matrix Σ of random d-dimensional vector from an i.i.d. sample of size n. Our sole assumption is that this vector satisfies a bounded Lp−L2 moment assumption over its one-dimensional marginals, for some p≥4. Given this, we show that Σ can be estimated from the sample with the same high-probability error rates that the sample covariance matrix achieves in the case of Gaussian data. This holds even though we allow for very general…

基于核时序差分方法的最优策略评估AI 解读

We study nonparametric methods for estimating the value function of an infinite-horizon discounted Markov reward process (MRP). We analyze the kernel-based least-squares temporal difference (LSTD) estimate, which can be understood either as a nonparametric instrumental variables method, or as a projected approximation to the Bellman fixed point equation. Our analysis imposes no assumptions on the transition operator of the Markov chain, but rather only conditions on the…

依赖数据流的联合序贯检测与定位AI 解读

The problem of joint sequential detection and isolation is considered in the context of multiple, not necessarily independent, data streams. A multiple testing framework is proposed, where each hypothesis corresponds to a different subset of data streams, the sample size is a stopping time of the observations, and the probabilities of four kinds of error are controlled below distinct, user-specified levels. Two of these errors reflect the detection component of the…

样本分块相关矩阵的谱统计量AI 解读

A fundamental concept in multivariate statistics, the sample correlation matrix, is often used to infer the correlation/dependence structure among random variables, when the population mean and covariance are unknown. A natural block extension of it, the sample block correlation matrix, is proposed to take on the same role, when random variables are generalized to random subvectors. In this paper, we establish a spectral theory of the sample block correlation matrices and…

线性模型中高维回归系数的检验AI 解读

(2011) 260-274), and show that the ARE is always greater or equal to one under the local alternative studied in this paper. Our numerical studies imply that the proposed test with critical values derived from its asymptotical normal distribution may retain Type I error rate very well. Our numerical comparison demonstrates the proposed test performs better than existing ones in terms of powers. We further illustrate our proposed method with a real data example.

Proxy-VAR 中强外生性的检验AI 解读

Proxy variables have gained widespread prominence as indispensable tools for identifying structural VAR models. Analogous to instrumental variables, proxies need to be exogenous, i.e. uncorrelated with all non-target shocks. Assessing the exogeneity of proxies has traditionally relied on economic arguments rather than statistical tests. We argue that the economic rationale underlying the construction of commonly used proxy variables aligns with a stronger form of exogeneity.…

预测分位数回归中的统计推断AI 解读

This paper studies inference in predictive quantile regressions when the predictive regressor has a near-unit root. We derive asymptotic distributions for the quantile regression estimator and its heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent (HAC) t -statistic in terms of functionals of Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes. We then propose a switching-fully modified (FM) predictive test for quantile predictability. The proposed test employs an FM style correction with a…

湿能量平衡模型中的极地放大：结构计量估计与检验AI 解读

Poleward transport of atmospheric moisture and heat play major roles in the magnification of warming in poleward latitudes per degree of global warming, a phenomenon known as polar amplification (PA). We derive a time series econometric framework using a system of equations that have error-correction mechanisms restricted across equations to estimate and an identification strategy to recover the parameters of a moist energy balance model (MEBM) similar to those in the recent…

带固定效应的变系数空间动态面板模型：理论与应用AI 解读

This paper considers a varying-coefficient spatial dynamic panel data model with fixed effects. We show that a two-point approximation method poses a potential weak identification problem. We propose a robust modified estimator to address this issue. Our two-step estimation procedure incorporates both linear and quadratic moment conditions. We also extend our analysis to a partially linear varying-coefficient model and develop a consistent test for this specification. We…

配对整群随机试验中的统计推断AI 解读

This paper studies inference in cluster randomized trials where treatment status is determined according to a “matched pairs” design. Here, by a cluster randomized experiment, we mean one in which treatment is assigned at the level of the cluster; by a “matched pairs” design, we mean that a sample of clusters is paired according to baseline, cluster-level covariates and, within each pair, one cluster is selected at random for treatment. We study the large-sample behavior of…

分数 Ornstein–Uhlenbeck 过程的谱密度AI 解读

This paper introduces a novel and easy-to-implement method for accurately approximating the spectral density of discretely sampled fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck (fOU) processes. The method offers a substantial reduction in approximation error, particularly within the rough region of the fractional parameter H∈(0, 0.5). This approximate spectral density has the potential to enhance the performance of estimation methods and hypothesis testing that make use of spectral…

为何研究复现率如此低？AI 解读

Many explanations have been offered for why replication rates are low in the social sciences, including selective publication, p -hacking, and treatment effect heterogeneity. This article emphasizes that issues with the most commonly used approach for setting sample sizes in replication studies may also play an important role. Theoretically, I show in a simple model of the publication process that we should expect the replication rate to fall below its nominal target, even…

《面向数据科学的空间统计：R 理论与实践》AI 解读

Spatial Statistics for Data Science: Theory and Practice with R is a well-crafted guide that explores visualization techniques and statistical methods, essential for analyzing spatial data using R....

高维多平台临床基因组数据的功能整合贝叶斯分析AI 解读

Rapid advancements in collection and dissemination of multi-platform molecular and genomics data has resulted in enormous opportunities to aggregate such data in order to understand, prevent, and treat human diseases. While significant improvements have been made in multi-omic data integration methods to discover biological markers and mechanisms underlying both prognosis and treatment, the precise cellular functions governing these complex mechanisms still need detailed and…