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Hyperbolic Network Latent Space Model with Learnable Curvature

曲率可学习的双曲网络潜在空间模型

Network data is ubiquitous in various scientific disciplines, including sociology, economics, and neuroscience. Latent space models are often employed in network data analysis, but the geometric effect of latent space curvature remains a significant, unresolved issue. In this work, we propose a hyperbolic network latent space model with a learnable curvature parameter. We theoretically justify that learning the optimal curvature is essential to minimizing the embedding error…

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Endogenous Treatment Models with Social Interactions: An Application to the Impact of Exercise on Self-Esteem

We address the estimation of endogenous treatment models with social interactions in both the treatment and outcome equations. We model the interactions between individuals via a game theoretic approach based on discrete Bayesian games. We employ a nested pseudo joint likelihood algorithm when obtaining the model’s parameters and provide relevant treatment effects and procedures for their estimation. Our empirical application examines the impact of an individual’s exercise…

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GMM inference in the matrix exponential spatial specification

矩阵指数空间模型的 GMM 推断

This paper offers hypothesis and specification tests for the best generalized methods of moment estimator (BGMME) of the matrix exponential spatial specification (MESS) developed by Debarsy et al. (2015). First, as the BGMME is a two-step estimator, we formulate corrected standard errors using a modified version of the finite sample correction method in Windmeijer (2005) that accounts for the fact that the BGMME makes more extensive use of the first-stage estimator than the…

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Perturbation Analysis of Randomized SVD and its Applications to Statistics

随机化奇异值分解的扰动分析及统计应用

Randomized singular value decomposition (RSVD) is a class of computationally efficient algorithms for computing the truncated SVD of large data matrices. Given an m×n matrix M̂, the prototypical RSVD algorithm outputs an approximation of the k leading left singular vectors of M̂ by computing the SVD of M̂(M̂⊤M̂)gG; here g≥1 is an integer and G∈Rn×k˜ is a random Gaussian sketching matrix with k˜≥k. In this paper we derive upper bounds for the l2 and l2,∞ distances between the…

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A Conditional Ordinal Stereotype Model to Estimate Police Officers’ Propensity to Escalate Force

估计警员武力升级倾向的条件有序刻板模型

This article introduces a conditional ordinal stereotype model for estimating a police officer’s latent propensity to escalate to higher-severity force options during an encounter. Propensity to escalate is the likelihood of selecting a more serious force category than peer officers confronting the same circumstances, not necessarily implying that such force is excessive or contrary to policy. The associated conditional likelihood depends solely on data from the times and…

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Dynamic clustering for heterophilic stochastic block models with time-varying node memberships

节点归属随时间变化的异配随机块模型动态聚类

Summary We consider a time-ordered sequence of networks stemming from stochastic block models in which nodes gradually change their membership over time, and no network at any single time-point contains sufficient signal strength to recover its community structure. To estimate the time-varying community structure, we develop the kernel-debiased sum of squares method that performs spectral clustering after a debiased sum-of-squared aggregation of adjacency matrices. Our…

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Testing for latent structure via the Wilcoxon–Wigner random matrix of normalized rank statistics

基于标准化秩统计量的 Wilcoxon–Wigner 矩阵潜在结构检验

Summary This paper considers the problem of testing for latent structure in large symmetric data matrices. The goal is to develop statistically principled methodology that is flexible in its applicability, computationally efficient and insensitive to extreme data variation, thereby overcoming limitations of existing approaches. To this end, we introduce and systematically study certain symmetric matrices, called Wilcoxon–Wigner random matrices, whose entries are normalized…

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Spectral estimation for point processes and random fields

点过程与随机场的谱估计

Summary Spatial variables can be observed in many different forms, such as regularly sampled random fields (lattice data), point processes and randomly sampled spatial processes. Joint analysis of such collections of observations is clearly desirable, but complicated by the lack of an easily implementable analysis framework. We fill this gap by providing a multitaper analysis framework using coupled discrete and continuous data tapers, combined with the discrete Fourier…

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Characteristic-function-based tests for spatial randomness

基于特征函数的空间随机性检验

Summary We introduce a new type of test for complete spatial randomness that applies to mapped point patterns in a rectangle or a cube of any dimension. This is the first test of its kind to be based on characteristic functions and utilizes a weighted $ L_{2} $ distance between the empirical and uniform characteristic functions. The test shows surprising connections with Ripley’s $ K $-function and Zimmerman’s $ \bar{\omega}^{2} $ statistic. It is also simple to calculate…

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Spatial self-confounding: smoothness-related estimation bias in spatial regression models

空间自混杂:空间回归中与平滑度有关的估计偏差

Abstract The estimation of regression parameters in spatially referenced data plays a crucial role across various scientific domains. A common approach involves employing an additive regression model to capture the relationship between observations and covariates, accounting for spatial variability not explained by the covariates through a Gaussian random field. We study the effect of misspecified covariates, in particular when the misspecification changes the smoothness. We…

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Decomposing Gaussians with unknown covariance

未知协方差下的高斯信息分解

Abstract Common workflows in machine learning and statistics rely on the ability to partition the information in a dataset into independent portions. Recent work has shown that this may be possible even when conventional sample splitting is not, such as when the number of samples, $ n $, is one or when observations are not independent and identically distributed. In the case of multivariate Gaussian data, these alternatives to sample splitting require knowledge of the…

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ROBUST ESTIMATION FOR THE SPATIAL AUTOREGRESSIVE MODEL

空间自回归模型的稳健估计

This article proposes and studies two Huber-type estimation approaches, namely, the Huber instrumental variable (IV) estimation and the Huber generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation, for a spatial autoregressive model. We establish the consistency, asymptotic distributions, finite sample breakdown points, and influence functions of these estimators. Simulation studies show that compared to the corresponding traditional estimators (the two-stage least squares…

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Multilayer random dot product graphs: estimation and online change point detection

多层随机点积图:估计与在线变点检测

Abstract We study the multilayer random dot product graph (MRDPG) model, a generalization of the random dot product graph model to multilayer networks. To estimate the edge probabilities, we deploy a tensor-based methodology and demonstrate its superiority over existing approaches. Moving to dynamic MRDPGs, we formulate and analyse an online change point detection framework, where, at each time point, we observe a realization from an MRDPG. Across layers, we assume fixed…

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Change point estimation for a stochastic heat equation

随机热方程的变点估计

We study a change point model based on a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) corresponding to the heat equation governed by the weighted Laplacian $Δ_\vartheta = \nabla\vartheta\nabla$, where $\vartheta=\vartheta(x)$ is a space-dependent diffusivity. As a basic problem the domain $(0,1)$ is considered with a piecewise constant diffusivity with a jump at an unknown point $τ$. Based on local measurements of the solution in space with resolution $δ$ over a finite…

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A computational transition for detecting correlated stochastic block models by low-degree polynomials

低阶多项式检测相关随机块模型的计算转变

Detection of correlation in a pair of random graphs is a fundamental statistical and computational problem that has been extensively studied in recent years. In this work, we consider a pair of correlated (sparse) stochastic block models S(n,λn;k,ϵ;s) that are subsampled from a common parent stochastic block model S(n,λn;k,ϵ) with k=O(1) symmetric communities, average degree λ=O(1), divergence parameter ϵ, and subsampling probability s. For the detection problem of…

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Pseudo-likelihood-based M-estimation of random graphs with dependent edges and parameter vectors of increasing dimension

依赖边随机图中参数维数增长的伪似然 M 估计

An important question in statistical network analysis is how to estimate models of discrete and dependent network data with intractable likelihood functions, without sacrificing computational scalability and statistical guarantees. We demonstrate that scalable estimation of random graph models with dependent edges is possible, by establishing convergence rates of pseudo-likelihood-based M-estimators for discrete undirected graphical models with exponential parameterizations…

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HOW TO DETECT NETWORK DEPENDENCE IN LATENT FACTOR MODELS? A BIAS-CORRECTED CD TEST

如何检测潜在因子模型中的网络依赖?偏误修正 CD 检验

In a recent paper, Juodis and Reese (2022, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics , 40, 1191–1203) (JR) show that the application of the CD test proposed by Pesaran (2004, General diagnostic tests for cross-sectional dependence in panels , CWPE 0435, Cambridge) to residuals from panels with latent factors results in over-rejection. They propose a randomized test statistic to correct for over-rejection, and add a screening component to achieve power. This article considers…

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Spatial Variation on Multiple Scales in Line Transect Data; the Case of Antarctic Fin Whales

线样带数据的多尺度空间变异:南极长须鲸案例

Line transect sampling is a widely used survey method for estimating animal density or abundance. We present a novel model for such data that allows for spatial variation in animal density at two scales: a long scale, representing trends caused by for instance climatic or terrain gradients, and a short scale, representing abrupt shifts due to local effects such as prey patchiness. The long-range variation is modeled as a latent Gaussian random field, while the abrupt changes…

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Testing and Support Recovery in Population-Based Image Data

群体影像数据的检验与差异位置恢复

In this article, we propose a multiscale adaptive test to detect differences between two samples of intrinsically smoothed image data in high-dimensional context. The test aggregates data from nearby locations using adaptive weights, significantly enhancing statistical power. We demonstrate that the test statistic converges to a Gumbel extreme value distribution under the null hypothesis. Moreover, we investigate its multiscale nature, showing that the chosen scales can grow…

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A Bayesian Nonparametric Approach to Mediation and Spillover Effects with Multiple Mediators in Cluster-Randomized Trials

整群随机试验中多重中介与溢出效应的贝叶斯非参数方法

Cluster randomized trials (CRTs) with multiple unstructured mediators present significant methodological challenges for causal inference due to within-cluster correlation, interference among units, and the complexity introduced by multiple mediators. Existing causal mediation methods often fall short in simultaneously addressing these complexities, particularly in disentangling mediator-specific effects under interference that are central to studying complex mechanisms. To…

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SOFARI: High-Dimensional Manifold-Based Inference

SOFARI:基于流形的高维统计推断

Multi-task learning is a widely used technique for harnessing information from various tasks. Recently, the sparse orthogonal factor regression (SOFAR) framework, based on the sparse singular value decomposition (SVD) within the coefficient matrix, was introduced for interpretable multi-task learning, enabling the discovery of meaningful latent feature-response association networks across different layers. However, conducting precise inference on the latent factor matrices…

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Design and Analysis of Randomized Trials to Estimate Spatio-Temporally Heterogeneous Treatment Effects

估计时空异质处理效应的随机试验设计与分析

In this article, we consider randomized trial design to evaluate interventions with spatially or spatio-temporally heterogeneous effects. A common approach in this setting is the cluster randomized trial. In many cases, clusters are constituted as discrete subdivisions of a contiguous area of interest. However, cluster trials designed in this way may suffer from issues of spillover and may fail to capture the relevant spatial and temporal effects. We define possible…

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Design-Based Causal Inference with Missing Outcomes: Missingness Mechanisms, Imputation-Assisted Randomization Tests, and Covariate Adjustment

结局缺失下的设计型因果推断:缺失机制、插补辅助随机化检验与协变量调整

Design-based causal inference, also known as randomization-based or finite-population causal inference, is one of the most widely used causal inference frameworks, largely due to the merit that its validity can be guaranteed by study design (e.g., randomized experiments) and does not require assuming specific outcome-generating distributions or super-population models. Despite its advantages, design-based causal inference can still suffer from other issues, among which…

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High-Dimensional Covariance Regression with Application to Co-Expression QTL Detection

高维协方差回归及其在共表达 QTL 检测中的应用

While covariance matrices have been widely studied in many scientific fields, relatively limited progress has been made on estimating conditional covariances that permits a large covariance matrix to vary with high-dimensional subject-level covariates. In this paper, we present a new sparse covariance regression framework that models the covariance matrix as a function of subject-level covariates. In the context of co-expression quantitative trait locus (QTL) studies, our…

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