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Spatial Analyses of Periodontal Data Using Conditionally Autoregressive Priors Having Two Classes of Neighbor Relations

采用两类邻接关系条件自回归先验的牙周数据空间分析

Attachment loss, the extent of a tooth's root (in millimeters) that is no longer attached to surrounding bone by periodontal ligament, is often used to measure the current state of a patient's periodontal disease and monitor disease progression. Attachment loss data can be analyzed using a conditionally autoregressive (CAR) prior distribution that smooths fitted values toward neighboring values. However, it may be desirable to have more than one class of neighbor relation in…

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Interference Between Units in Randomized Experiments

随机实验中的单位间干扰

In a randomized experiment comparing two treatments, there is interference between units if applying the treatment to one unit may affect other units. Interference implies that treatment effects are not comparisons of two potential responses that a unit may exhibit, one under treatment and the other under control, but instead are inherently more complex. Interference is common in social settings where people communicate, compete, or spread disease; in studies that treat one…

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Approximate Likelihood for Large Irregularly Spaced Spatial Data

大型不规则空间数据的近似似然

Likelihood approaches for large irregularly spaced spatial datasets are often very difficult, if not infeasible, to implement due to computational limitations. Even when we can assume normality, exact calculations of the likelihood for a Gaussian spatial process observed at n locations requires O(n(3)) operations. We present a version of Whittle's approximation to the Gaussian log likelihood for spatial regular lattices with missing values and for irregularly spaced…

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Panel unit root tests and spatial dependence

面板单位根检验与空间依赖

Abstract This paper studies the performance of panel unit root tests when spatial effects are present that account for cross‐section correlation. Monte Carlo simulations show that there can be considerable size distortions in panel unit root tests when the true specification exhibits spatial error correlation. These tests are applied to a panel data set on net real income from the 1000 largest French communes observed over the period 1985–1998. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley &…

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Heterogeneity and cross section dependence in panel data models: theory and applications introduction

面板数据模型中的异质性与截面依赖:理论与应用专题导言

Abstract The papers included in this special issue are primarily concerned with the problem of cross section dependence and heterogeneity in the analysis of panel data models and their relevance in applied econometric research. Cross section dependence can arise due to spatial or spill over effects, or could be due to unobserved (or unobservable) common factors. Much of the recent research on non‐stationary panel data have focussed on this problem. It was clear that the…

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Aster models for life history analysis

用于生活史分析的 Aster 模型

We present a new class of statistical models, designed for life history analysis of plants and animals, that allow joint analysis of data on survival and reproduction over multiple years, allow for variables having different probability distributions, and correctly account for the dependence of variables on earlier variables. We illustrate their utility with an analysis of data taken from an experimental study of Echinacea angustifolia sampled from remnant prairie…

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On Least Squares Fitting for Stationary Spatial Point Processes

平稳空间点过程的最小二乘拟合

Summary The K-function is a popular tool for fitting spatial point process models owing to its simplicity and wide applicability. In this work we study the properties of least squares estimators of model parameters and propose a new method of model fitting via the K-function by using subsampling. We demonstrate consistency and asymptotic normality of our estimators of model parameters and compare the efficiency of our procedure with existing procedures. This is done through…

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Stable marked point processes

稳定标记点过程

In many contexts such as queuing theory, spatial statistics, geostatistics and meteorology, data are observed at irregular spatial positions. One model of this situation involves considering the observation points as generated by a Poisson process. Under this assumption, we study the limit behavior of the partial sums of the marked point process {(ti, X(ti))}, where X(t) is a stationary random field and the points ti are generated from an independent Poisson random measure ℕ…

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Asymptotic data analysis on manifolds

流形上的渐近数据分析

Given an m-dimensional compact submanifold M of Euclidean space Rs, the concept of mean location of a distribution, related to mean or expected vector, is generalized to more general Rs-valued functionals including median location, which is derived from the spatial median. The asymptotic statistical inference for general functionals of distributions on such submanifolds is elaborated. Convergence properties are studied in relation to the behavior of the underlying…

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What Do Randomized Studies of Housing Mobility Demonstrate?

住房流动随机研究究竟说明了什么?

During the past 20 years, social scientists using observational studies have generated a large and inconclusive literature on neighborhood effects. Recent workers have argued that estimates of neighborhood effects based on randomized studies of housing mobility, such as the “Moving to Opportunity” (MTO) demonstration, are more credible. These estimates are based on the implicit assumption of no interference between units; that is, a subject's value on the response depends…

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A Composite Likelihood Approach in Fitting Spatial Point Process Models

拟合空间点过程模型的复合似然方法

We propose a new likelihood-based approach in fitting spatial point process models. A composite likelihood is first formed by adding some pairwise composite likelihood functions that are defined in terms of the second-order intensity function of the underlying process, and then used for estimating the unknown parameters. The estimation procedure is computationally simple and yields consistent and asymptotically normal estimators under some mild conditions. We demonstrate…

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Network Delay Tomography using Flexicast Experiments

利用灵活组播实验进行网络时延层析估计

Summary Estimating and monitoring the quality of service of computer and communications networks is a problem of considerable interest. The paper focuses on estimating link level delay distributions from end-to-end path level data collected by using active probing experiments. This is an interesting large scale statistical inverse (deconvolution) problem. We describe a flexible class of probing experiments (‘flexicast’) for data collection and develop conditions under which…

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RANDOM EFFECTS AND SPATIAL AUTOCORRELATION WITH EQUAL WEIGHTS

等权重下的随机效应与空间自相关

This note considers a panel data regression model with spatial autoregressive disturbances and random effects where the weight matrix is normalized and has equal elements. This is motivated by Kelejian, Prucha, and Yuzefovich (2005, Journal of Regional Science, forthcoming), who argue that such a weighting matrix, having blocks of equal elements, might be considered when units are equally distant within certain neighborhoods but unrelated between neighborhoods. We derive a…

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Forensic identification of relatives of individuals included in a database of DNA profiles

利用 DNA 档案数据库识别入库个体亲属的法医方法

In this paper we evaluate the characteristics observed both on a crime sample and on individuals included in a database to assess the probability of alternative hypotheses concerning identification. The problem is first addressed by considering a generic characteristic and we demonstrate the problem via a computationally efficient Bayesian network. Then we turn our attention to a heritable DNA trait to show how to evaluate the hypotheses that some individuals, genetically…

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Second-Order Residual Analysis of Spatiotemporal Point Processes and Applications in Model Evaluation

时空点过程的二阶残差分析及其模型评价应用

Summary The paper gives first-order residual analysis for spatiotemporal point processes that is similar to the residual analysis that has been developed by Baddeley and co-workers for spatial point processes and also proposes principles for second-order residual analysis based on the viewpoint of martingales. Examples are given for both first- and second-order residuals. In particular, residual analysis can be used as a powerful tool in model improvement. Taking a…

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Tests of Spatial Randomness Adjusted for an Inhomogeneity

调整空间非均匀性后的空间随机性检验

In many applications, it is of interest to test whether a spatial point pattern is randomly generated after adjusting for an underlying spatial inhomogeneity. A great variety of different test statistics have been proposed for this purpose by scientists in different fields; these are reviewed in this article. Despite apparent dissimilarities in terms of their original formulations, most of these statistics can be placed into one general framework of which they are special…

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Evaluating Kindergarten Retention Policy

幼儿园留级政策的评估

This article considers the policy of retaining low-achieving children in kindergarten rather than promoting them to first grade. Under the stable unit treatment value assumption (SUTVA) as articulated by Rubin, each child at risk of retention has two potential outcomes: Y(1) if retained and Y(0) if promoted. But SUTVA is questionable, because a child's potential outcomes will plausibly depend on which school that child attends and also on treatment assignments of other…

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Geoadditive Survival Models

地理加性生存模型

Survival data often contain small-area geographical or spatial information, such as the residence of individuals. In many cases, the impact of such spatial effects on hazard rates is of considerable substantive interest. Therefore, extensions of known survival or hazard rate models to spatial models have been suggested. Mostly, a spatial component is added to the usual linear predictor of the Cox model. In this article flexible continuous-time geoadditive models are…

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Resampling methods for spatial regression models under a class of stochastic designs

随机设计下空间回归模型的重抽样方法

In this paper we consider the problem of bootstrapping a class of spatial regression models when the sampling sites are generated by a (possibly nonuniform) stochastic design and are irregularly spaced. It is shown that the natural extension of the existing block bootstrap methods for grid spatial data does not work for irregularly spaced spatial data under nonuniform stochastic designs. A variant of the blocking mechanism is proposed. It is shown that the proposed block…

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Non-Gaussian Bayesian Geostatistical Modeling

非高斯贝叶斯地统计建模

Sampling models for geostatistical data are usually based on Gaussian processes. However, real data often display non-Gaussian features, such as heavy tails. In this article we propose a more flexible class of sampling models. We start from the spatial linear model that has a spatial trend plus a stationary Gaussian error process. We extend the sampling model to non-Gaussianity by including a scale parameter at each location. We make sure that we obtain a valid stochastic…

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Semiparametric Normal Transformation Models for Spatially Correlated Survival Data

空间相关生存数据的半参数正态变换模型

There is an emerging interest in modeling spatially correlated survival data in biomedical and epidemiologic studies. In this article we propose a new class of semiparametric normal transformation models for right-censored spatially correlated survival data. This class of models assumes that survival outcomes marginally follow a Cox proportional hazard model with unspecified baseline hazard, and their joint distribution is obtained by transforming survival outcomes to normal…

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How Many People Do You Know in Prison?

你认识多少在监狱中的人?

Networks—sets of objects connected by relationships—are important in a number of fields. The study of networks has long been central to sociology, where researchers have attempted to understand the causes and consequences of the structure of relationships in large groups of people. Using insight from previous network research, Killworth et al. and McCarty et al. have developed and evaluated a method for estimating the sizes of hard-to-count populations using network data…

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