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Automatic bandwidth choice and confidence intervals in nonparametric regression

非参数回归的自动带宽选择与置信区间

In the present paper we combine the issues of bandwidth choice and construction of confidence intervals in nonparametric regression. Main emphasis is put on fully data-driven methods. We modify the $\sqrt{n}$-consistent bandwidth selector of Härdle, Hall and Marron such that it is appropriate for heteroscedastic data, and we show how one can optimally choose the bandwidth g of the pilot estimator $\hat{m}_g$. Then we consider classical confidence intervals based on kernel…

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On bandwidth choice in nonparametric regression with both short- and long-range dependent errors

短程与长程相关误差下非参数回归的带宽选择

We analyse methods based on the block bootstrap and leave-out cross-validation, for choosing the bandwidth in nonparametric regression when errors have an almost arbitrarily long range of dependence. A novel analytical device for modelling the dependence structure of errors is introduced. This allows a concise theoretical description of the way in which the range of dependence affects optimal bandwidth choice. It is shown that, provided block length or leave-out number,…

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On the minimisation of $L\sp p$ error in mode estimation

众数估计中 L^p 误差的最小化

We show that, for $L^p$ convergence of the mode of a nonparametric density estimator to the mode of an unknown probability density, finiteness of the pth moment of the underlying distribution is both necessary and sufficient. The basic requirement of existence of finite variance has been overlooked by statisticians, who have earlier considered mean square convergence of nonparametric mode estimators; they have focussed on mean squared error of the asymptotic distribution,…

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An Effective Bandwidth Selector for Local Least Squares Regression

局部最小二乘回归的带宽选择方法

Local least squares kernel regression provides an appealing solution to the nonparametric regression, or “scatterplot smoothing,” problem, as demonstrated by Fan, for example. The practical implementation of any scatterplot smoother is greatly enhanced by the availability of a reliable rule for automatic selection of the smoothing parameter. In this article we apply the ideas of plug-in bandwidth selection to develop strategies for choosing the smoothing parameter of local…

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Adapting to Unknown Smoothness via Wavelet Shrinkage

通过小波收缩适应未知光滑度

We attempt to recover a function of unknown smoothness from noisy sampled data. We introduce a procedure, SureShrink, that suppresses noise by thresholding the empirical wavelet coefficients. The thresholding is adaptive: A threshold level is assigned to each dyadic resolution level by the principle of minimizing the Stein unbiased estimate of risk (Sure) for threshold estimates. The computational effort of the overall procedure is order N · log(N) as a function of the…

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Searching for Structure in Curve Samples

在曲线样本中寻找结构特征

The shape of a regression curve can to a large extent be characterized by the succession of structural features like extrema, inflection points, and so on. When analyzing a sample of regression curves, it is often important to know at an early stage of data analysis which structural features are occurring consistently in each curve of the sample. Such a definition is usually not easy due to substantial interindividual variation both in the x and the y axis and due to the…

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A Nonparametric Regression Approach to Syringe Grading for Quality Improvement

用于质量改进的注射器分级:非参数回归方法

In the biomedical products industry, measures of the quality of individual clinical specimens or manufacturing production units are often available in the form of high-dimensional data such as continuous recordings obtained from an analytical instrument. These recordings are then examined by experts in the field who extract certain features and use these to classify individuals. To formalize and quantify this procedure, an approach for extracting features from recordings…

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A Nonparametric Regression Approach to Syringe Grading for Quality Improvement

用于注射器质量改进分级的非参数回归方法

In the biomedical products industry, measures of the quality of individual clinical specimens or manufacturing production units are often available in the form of high-dimensional data such as continuous recordings obtained from an analytical instrument. These recordings are then examined by experts in the field who extract certain features and use these to classify individuals. To formalize and quantify this procedure, an approach for extracting features from recordings…

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Nonparametric Estimation of Exact Consumers Surplus and Deadweight Loss

精确消费者剩余与无谓损失的非参数估计

The authors apply nonparametric regression models to estimation of demand curves of the type most often used in applied research. From the demand curve estimators they derive estimates of exact consumers surplus and deadweight loss. The authors also develop tests of the symmetry and downward sloping properties of compensated demand. They work out asymptotic normal sampling theory for kernel and series nonparametric estimators as well as for the parametric case. The paper…

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Kernel Estimation in a Nonparametric Marker Dependent Hazard Model

非参数标记依赖风险率模型中的核估计

We introduce a new kernel hazard estimator in a nonparametric model where the stochastic hazard depends on the current value of time and on the current value of a time dependent covariate or marker. We establish the pointwise and global convergence of our estimator.

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Nonparametric Estimation of Global Functionals and a Measure of the Explanatory Power of Covariates in Regression

全局泛函的非参数估计与回归协变量解释力度量

In a nonparametric regression setting with multiple random predictor variables, we give the asymptotic distributions of estimators of global integral functionals of the regression surface. We apply the results to the problem of obtaining reliable estimators for the nonparametric coefficient of determination. This coefficient, which is also called Pearson's correlation ratio, gives the fraction of the total variability of a response that can be explained by a given set of…

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Nonparametric Transformations for Both Sides of a Regression Model

回归模型两侧的非参数变换

SUMMARY One way to model heteroscedasticity and skewness of the error distribution in regression is to transform both sides of the regression equation. If it is possible to transform the regression equation to result in normally distributed errors, then we can obtain more efficient parameter estimates and valid prediction intervals. One problem with this approach is that the choice of transformation is usually restricted to the power or shifted power family. Often there is…

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Multivariate Discriminant Analysis and Maximum Penalized Likelihood Density Estimation

多元判别分析与最大惩罚似然密度估计

SUMMARY A new theoretical point of view is discussed in the framework of density estimation. The multivariate true density, viewed as a prior or penalizing factor in a Bayesian framework, is modelled by a Gibbs potential. Estimating the density consists in maximizing the posterior. For efficiency of time, we are interested in an approximate estimator f̂ = Bπ of the true density f, where B is a stochastic operator and π is the raw histogram. Then, we investigate the…

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Simultaneous Confidence Bands for Linear Regression with Heteroscedastic Errors

异方差误差下线性回归的同时置信带

The Scheffé method may be used to construct simultaneous confidence bands for a regression surface for the whole predictor space. When the bands need only hold for a subset of that space, previous authors have described how the bands can be appropriately narrowed while still maintaining the desired level of confidence. Data with heteroscedastic errors occur often, and unless some transformation is feasible, there is no obvious way to construct bands using the current…

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Estimation of the Number of True Gray Levels, Their Values, and Relative Frequencies in a Noisy Image

含噪图像中真实灰度级数量、取值及相对频率的估计

In some applications information is presented as a two-dimensional image corrupted by random noise. Due to the precision of the equipment that forms the image, we can typically have a large number, v, of observed gray levels. But in many situations we know that the number of true gray levels, p, corresponding to, for example, the number of tissue types in a brain slice, is much less than v. In this article we propose a method based on the kernel density estimator for…

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Estimation of the Number of True Gray Levels, Their Values, and Relative Frequencies in a Noisy Image

噪声图像中真实灰度级数量、取值与相对频率的估计

In some applications information is presented as a two-dimensional image corrupted by random noise. Due to the precision of the equipment that forms the image, we can typically have a large number, v, of observed gray levels. But in many situations we know that the number of true gray levels, p, corresponding to, for example, the number of tissue types in a brain slice, is much less than v. In this article we propose a method based on the kernel density estimator for…

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Simultaneous Confidence Bands for Linear Regression with Heteroscedastic Errors

异方差误差下线性回归的同时置信带

The Scheffé method may be used to construct simultaneous confidence bands for a regression surface for the whole predictor space. When the bands need only hold for a subset of that space, previous authors have described how the bands can be appropriately narrowed while still maintaining the desired level of confidence. Data with heteroscedastic errors occur often, and unless some transformation is feasible, there is no obvious way to construct bands using the current…

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Asymptotics for the Transformation Kernel Density Estimator

变换核密度估计量的渐近性质

An asymptotic expansion is provided for the transformation kernel density estimator introduced by Ruppert and Cline. Let $h_k$ be the band-width used in the $k$th iteration, $k = 1,2,\ldots, t$. If all bandwidths are of the same order, the leading bias term of the $l$th derivative of the $t$th iterate of the density estimator has the form $\bar{b}^{(l)}_t(x) \pi^t_{k=1} h^2_k$, where the bias factor $\bar{b}_t(x)$ depends on the second moment of the kernel $K$, as well as on…

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Splines as Local Smoothers

作为局部平滑器的样条

A smoothing spline is a nonparametric curve estimate that is defined as the solution to a minimization problem. One problem with this representation is that it obscures the fact that a spline, like most other nonparametric estimates, is a local, weighted average of the observed data. This property has been used extensively to study the limiting properties of kernel estimates and it is advantageous to apply similar techniques to spline estimates. Although equivalent kernels…

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A Geometric Combination Estimator for $d$-Dimensional Ordinal Sparse Contingency Tables

多维有序稀疏列联表的几何组合估计

A geometric combination estimator is proposed for $d$-dimensional ordinal contingency tables. The proposed estimator is nonnegative. It is shown that, assuming sufficient smoothness and boundary conditions for the underlying probabilities, the rate of convergence of mean summed squared error (MSSE) of this estimator is $O(K^{-1}N^{-8/(d+8)})$ for $d$-dimensional tables $(d \leq 4)$ with $K$ cells and sample size $N$. This rate is optimal under the smoothness assumptions, and…

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Asymptotically Efficient Estimation in Semiparametric Generalized Linear Models

半参数广义线性模型中的渐近有效估计

We use the method of maximum likelihood and regression splines to derive estimates of the parametric and nonparametric components of semiparametric generalized linear models. The resulting estimators of both components are shown to be consistent. Also, the asymptotic theory for the estimator of the parametric component is derived, indicating that the parametric component can be estimated efficiently without under-smoothing the nonparametric component.

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Estimating the asymptotic covariance matrix for quantile regression models a Monte Carlo study

分位数回归模型渐近协方差矩阵估计的蒙特卡洛研究

This Monte Carlo study examines several estimation procedures of the asymptotic covariance matrix in the quantile and censored quantile regression models: design matrix bootstrap, error bootstrapping, order statistic, sigma bootstrap, homoskedastic kernel, and heteroskedastic kernel. The Monte Carlo samples are drawn from two alternative data sets: (a) the unaltered Current Population Survey (CPS) for 1987 and (b) this CPS data with independence between error term and…

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Data-Driven Bandwidth Selection in Local Polynomial Fitting: Variable Bandwidth and Spatial Adaptation

局部多项式拟合的数据驱动带宽选择:可变带宽与空间适应

SUMMARY When estimating a mean regression function and its derivatives, locally weighted least squares regression has proven to be a very attractive technique. The present paper focuses on the important issue of how to select the smoothing parameter or bandwidth. In the case of estimating curves with a complicated structure, a variable bandwidth is desirable. Furthermore, the bandwidth should be indicated by the data themselves. Recent developments in nonparametric smoothing…

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Density Estimation Under Long-Range Dependence

长程依赖下的密度估计

Dehling and Taqqu established the weak convergence of the empirical process for a long-range dependent stationary sequence under Gaussian subordination. We show that the corresponding density process, based on kernel estimators of the marginal density, converges weakly with the same normalization to the derivative of their limiting process. The phenomenon, which carries on for higher derivatives and for functional laws of the iterated logarithm, is in contrast with…

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