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Smoothing Spline Density Estimation: Theory

平滑样条密度估计:理论

In this article, a class of penalized likelihood probability density estimators is proposed and studied. The true log density is assumed to be a member of a reproducing kernel Hilbert space on a finite domain, not necessarily univariate, and the estimator is defined as the unique unconstrained minimizer of a penalized log likelihood functional in such a space. Under mild conditions, the existence of the estimator and the rate of convergence of the estimator in terms of the…

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An Efficient Semiparametric Estimator for Binary Response Models

二元响应模型的有效半参数估计量

This paper proposes an estimator for discrete choice models that makes no assumption concerning the functional form of th e choice probability function where this function can be characterized by an index. The estimator is shown to be consistent, asymptotically normally distributed, and to achieve the semiparametric efficiency bound. Monte Carlo evidence indicates that there may be only modest efficiency losses relative to maximum likelihood estimation when the distribution…

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Semiparametric Analysis of Variance with Tensor Product Thin Plate Splines

采用张量积薄板样条的半参数方差分析

SUMMARY We consider fitting multivariate models to response data based on analysis-of-variance (ANOVA)-like decompositions of functions of several variables, f(t 1,..., td) = C + σα f α(ta + σα < β f αβ(t α, t β) + · · · · A theory for fitting (some components of) these models with polynomial smoothing splines exists when each tα is in a subset of the real line. In this case the various estimated components turn out to be certain tensor sums and products of polynomial…

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The Limiting Distribution of the Maximum Rank Correlation Estimator

最大秩相关估计量的极限分布

Han's maximum rank correlation estimator is shown to be square-root n-consistent and asymptotically normal. The proof rests on a general method for determining the asymptotic distribution of a maximization estimator, a simple U-statistic decomposition, and a uniform bound for degenerate U-processes. A consistent estimator of the asymptotic covariance matrix is provided, along with a result giving the explicit form of this matrix for any model within the scope of the maximum…

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Optimal estimation under biased allocation of treatments

有偏处理分配下的最优估计

This paper provides a semi-parametric solution to a problem proposed by Robbins & Zhang (1991). The solution is obtained utilizing the theory of optimum estimating functions (Godambe & Thompson, 1989). Our solution coincides with maximum likelihood estimation for the parametric model suggested by Robbins & Zhang (1991). Even for alternative models investigated in this paper, the efficiency of our estimation appears very close to that of maximum likelihood estimation.

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On constrained quasi-likelihood estimation

受约束的拟似然估计

For maximum likelihood or least squares parameter estimation subject to a constrained parameter, the standard approach is to use the method of Lagrange multipliers. In this paper it is shown that the same formal procedure applies very generally for constrained quasi-likelihood estimation even though there is ordinarily no objective function to maximize or minimize. This allows for optimal estimation in a wide range of problems where maximum likelihood cannot be used, such as…

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Best Possible Constant for Bandwidth Selection

带宽选择的最优可达常数

For the data based choice of the bandwidth of a kernel density estimator, several methods have recently been proposed which have a very fast asymptotic rate of convergence to the optimal bandwidth. In particular the relative rate of convergence is the square root of the sample size, which is known to be the best possible. The point of this paper is to show how semiparametric arguments can be employed to calculate the best possible constant coefficient, that is, an analog of…

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Profile Likelihood and Conditionally Parametric Models

剖面似然与条件参数模型

In this paper, we outline a general approach to estimating the parametric component of a semiparametric model. For the case of a scalar parametric component, the method is based on the idea of first estimating a one-dimensional subproblem of the original problem that is least favorable in the sense of Stein. The likelihood function for the scalar parameter along this estimated subproblem may be viewed as a generalization of the profile likelihood for the problem. The scalar…

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Nonparametric Regression Tests Based on Least Squares

基于最小二乘的非参数回归检验

This paper proposes tests on semiparametric models based on the sum of squared residuals from a least-squares procedure. Smoothness conditions are imposed on the nonparametric portion of the model to obtain asymptotic normality of the sum of squared residuals. The approach yields tests of specification, significance, smoothness and concavity and allows for heteroskedastic residuals.

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Semiparametric IV Estimation with Parameter Dependent Instruments

工具变量依赖参数时的半参数 IV 估计

A well-known result in the method of moments literature is that the efficient instruments for the estimation of a model are functions of the conditional expectation of its gradient. Some recent studies have suggested the nonparametric estimation of these instruments when they are of unknown functional form. When these instruments in turn depend on the unknown parameters it has been suggested that these be replaced by preliminary consistent estimates. It is shown here that…

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Winsorized Mean Estimator for Censored Regression

删失回归的缩尾均值估计量

We introduce a semiparametric estimator for the censored linear regression model. It is based on the regression version of Huber's [6] M-estimator. It includes Powell's [19] censored least absolute deviations estimator as a special case and is related to Powell's [20] symmetrically censored least-squares estimator. We prove strong consistency and derive its asymptotic distribution which is √n-consistent with an easily computable covariance matrix. A small-scale simulation…

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Semiparametric Additive Regression

半参数加性回归

SUMMARY A simple estimator for β is proposed for the model y = x'β + g(t)+ error, g smooth but unknown. The approach is to approximate the estimating equation obtained from a ***semiparametric likelihood and in the simplest case reduces to minimizing the distance between the 'pseudoresiduals' y - x'β and a local linear cross-validated estimate of them. When the errors are independent with finite variance, the bias and variance of the estimate are computed and compared…

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Efficient Estimates in Semiparametric Additive Regression Models with Unknown Error Distribution

未知误差分布下半参数加性回归模型的有效估计

Several authors have shown how to efficiently estimate $\beta$ in the semiparametric additive model $y = x'\beta + g(t) + \text{error}$, $g(t)$ smooth but unknown when the error distribution is normal. However, the general theory suggests that efficient estimation should be possible for general error distributions with finite Fisher information even when the error distribution is unknown. In this note we construct a sequence of estimators which achieves this goal under…

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Semiparametric Estimation of Normal Mixture Densities

正态混合密度的半参数估计

A semiparametric method for estimating densities of normal mean mixtures is presented. This consistent data-driven method of estimation is based on probability spacings. The estimation technique involves iteratively fixing the standard deviation of the normal kernel that serves as a smoothing parameter, and then maximizing a function of the probability spacings over all mixing distributions. Based on the distribution of uniform spacings, a distribution free goodness-of-fit…

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Statistical Analysis of the Time Dependence of HIV Infectivity Based on Partner Study Data

基于伴侣研究数据的 HIV 传染性时间变化分析

Statistical analyses of data from studies of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) transmission in partners of infected individuals often focus on estimation of the per contact probability of virus transmission, or infectivity. Of particular interest is evaluating whether the infectivity changes during the course of a partnership and identifying factors that influence the infectiousness of the initially infected partner (called the index case) and the susceptibility of the…

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Inference Using Surrogate Outcome Data and a Validation Sample

利用代理结果数据与验证样本进行推断

In the context of estimating β from the regression model Pβ(Y|X), relating response Y to covariates X, suppose that only a surrogate response S is available for most study subjects. Suppose that for a random subsample of the study cohort, termed the validation sample, the true outcome Y is available in addition to S. We consider maximum likelihood estimation of β from such data and show that it is nonrobust to misspecification of the distribution relating the surrogate to…

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Estimation of the Time-Dependent Accelerated Failure Time Model in the Presence of Confounding Factors

存在混淆因素时的时变加速失效时间模型估计

Cox & Oakes (1984, p. 66) introduced the ‘strong version’ of the accelerated failure time model with time-dependent exposures. We provide conditions under which this model could be used to estimate, from observational data, the causal effect of a time-varying exposure or treatment on time to an event of interest in the presence of time-dependent confounding variables. We propose a class of semiparametric tests and estimators for the model parameters. This class contains an…

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Semiparametric Generalized Least Squares in the Multivariate Nonlinear Regression Model

多元非线性回归中的半参数广义最小二乘

Asymptotically efficient estimates for the multiple equations nonlinear regression model are obtained in the presence of heteroskedasticity of unknown form. The proposed estimator is a generalized least squares based on nonparametric nearest neighbor estimates of the conditional variance matrices. Some Monte Carlo experiments are reported.

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A Smoothed Maximum Score Estimator for the Binary Response Model

二元响应模型的平滑最大得分估计量

This paper describes a semiparametric estimator for binary response models in which there may be arbitrary heteroskedasticity of unknown form. The estimator is obtained by maximizing a smoothed version of the objective function of C. Manski's maximum score estimator. The smoothing procedure is similar to that used in kernel nonparametric density estimation. The resulting estimator's rate of convergence in probability is the fastest possible under the assumptions that are…

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Efficiency Bounds for Semiparametric Regression

半参数回归的效率界

Efficiency bounds for conditional moment restrictions with a nonparametric component are derived. There is a given function of the data (a random sample from a distribution F) and a parameter. The restriction is that a conditional expectation of this function is zero at some point in the parameter space. The parameter has two parts: a finite-dimensional component and a general function evaluated at a subset of the conditioning variables. An example is a regression function…

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A Generalized Moments Specification Test of the Proportional Hazards Model

比例风险模型的广义矩设定检验

This article describes a generalized moments specification test of the semiparametric proportional hazards model of Cox. In contrast to other specification tests for this model, the generalized moments test is applicable in the presence of continuous explanatory variables and does not require assigning the data to predetermined cells. The results of a Monte Carlo investigation suggest that the generalized moments test has good finite-sample properties and that it is more…

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An Algorithm for Computing the Nonparametric MLE of a Mixing Distribution

混合分布非参数极大似然估计的计算算法

A fast algorithm for calculating the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) of a mixing distribution, G(·). in a mixture model is discussed. The literature contains several methods for computing the nonparametric MLE of G, but these methods are slow. In this article we develop an algorithm for maximizing the log-likelihood l(G) over the family ℊ, of all distribution functions, that yields the nonparametric MLE of G. In some semiparametric problems, a structural or…

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