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分数阶系统中的协整秩确定AI 解读

This paper develops methods of investigating the existence and extent of cointegration in fractionally integrated systems. We focus on stationary series, with some discussion of extension to nonstationarity. The setting is semiparametric, so that modelling is effectively confined to a neighbourhood of frequency zero. We first discuss the definition of fractional cointegration. The initial step of cointegration analysis entails partitioning the vector series into subsets with…

多工具变量情形下的最优推断AI 解读

In this paper, I derive the efficiency bound of the structural parameter in a linear simultaneous equations model with many instruments. The bound is derived by applying a convolution theorem to Bekker's (1994, Econometrica 62, 657–681) asymptotic approximation, where the number of instruments grows to infinity at the same rate as the sample size. Usual instrumental variables estimators with a small number of instruments are heuristically argued to be efficient estimators in…

病例对照数据逻辑回归模型的信息矩阵检验AI 解读

We propose an information‐matrix‐based goodness‐of‐fit statistic to test the validity of the logistic regression model based on case‐control data by extending the information matrix test of White (1982) for detecting one‐sample parametric model misspecification to the semiparametric profile likelihood setting under a two‐sample semiparametric model, which is equivalent to the assumed logistic regression model. The proposed test statistic requires a high‐dimensional matrix…

聚类数据的半参数回归AI 解读

We consider estimation in a semiparametric partially generalised linear model for clustered data using estimating equations. A marginal model is assumed where the mean of the outcome variable depends on some covariates parametrically and a cluster‐level covariate nonparametrically. A profile‐kernel method allowing for working correlation matrices is developed. We show that the nonparametric part of the model can be estimated using standard nonparametric methods, including…

长程相依的贝叶斯半参数推断AI 解读

We develop a Bayesian semiparametric procedure for the analysis of stationary long‐range dependent time series. We use frequency domain methods to partition the infinite‐dimensional parameter space into regions where genuine prior information on the form of the spectral density is available, and others where vague prior beliefs are adopted; the solution to the partition problem, which is equivalent to bandwidth choice from a frequentist point of view, is obtained via Bayes…

贝叶斯半参数中位数回归建模AI 解读

Median regression models become an attractive alternative to mean regression models when employing flexible families of distributions for the errors. Classical approaches are typically algorithmic with desirable properties emerging asymptotically. However, nonparametric error models may be most attractive in the case of smaller sample sizes where parametric specifications are difficult to justify. Hence, a Bayesian approach, enabling exact inference given the observed data,…

病例队列设计下比例优势回归的加权半参数似然方法AI 解读

The problem of fitting a proportional odds regression model to data from the case-cohort design proposed by Prentice is considered. A weighted semiparametric likelihood method is proposed. Under the proportional odds model, the maximum weighted-semiparametric likelihood estimators of both the regression parameter and the transformation function are shown to be consistent and normally distributed. The applicability of the weighted semiparametric likelihood method to the…

选择模型的半参数贝叶斯分析AI 解读

Selection models are appropriate when a datum x enters the sample only with probability or weight w(x). It is typically assumed that the weight function w is monotone, but the precise functional form of the weight function is often unknown. In this article, the Dirichlet process prior, centered on a parametric form, is used as a prior distribution on the weight function. This allows for incorporation of knowledge about the weight function, without restricting it to be of…

半参数非线性混合效应模型及其应用AI 解读

Nonlinear mixed effects models (NLMMs) and self-modeling nonlinear regression (SEMOR) models are often used to fit repeated measures data. They use a common function shared by all subjects to model variation within each subject and some fixed and/or random parameters to model variation between subjects. The parametric NLMM may be too restrictive, and the semiparametric SEMOR model ignores correlations within each subject. In this article we propose a class of semiparametric…

广义病例—队列抽样AI 解读

Summary A class of cohort sampling designs, including nested case–control, case–cohort and classical case–control designs involving survival data, is studied through a unified approach using Cox’s proportional hazards model. By finding an optimal sample reuse method via local averaging, a closed form estimating function is obtained, leading directly to the estimators of the regression parameters that are relatively easy to compute and are more efficient than some commonly…

响应偏倚抽样下的参数模型AI 解读

Summary Suppose that subjects in a population follow the model f(y*|x*;θ) where y* denotes a response, x* denotes a vector of covariates and θ is the parameter to be estimated. We consider response-biased sampling, in which a subject is observed with a probability which is a function of its response. Such response-biased sampling frequently occurs in econometrics, epidemiology and survey sampling. The semiparametric maximum likelihood estimate of θ is derived, along with its…

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重新审视远期贴水异象：计量经济学证据AI 解读

Abstract Using both semiparametric and parametric estimation methods, this paper corroborates earlier findings of fractionally integrated behaviour in the forward premium. Two new explanations are also proposed to help reconcile earlier conflicting empirical evidence on the time series properties of the forward premium. Traditional regression approaches used to test the forward rate unbiasedness hypothesis are then evaluated, including regression in levels, in returns…

结局缺失且有辅助变量时 K 样本 U 统计量均值的估计AI 解读

We propose estimators of the mean of a K‐sample U‐statistic when data on the outcomes of interest are missing in some sampled units and auxiliary variables are available in the entire sample. The proposed estimators exploit the information available in the auxiliaries without requiring assumptions about the joint distribution of the auxiliaries and outcomes. The properties of the proposed estimators are derived as a consequence of general results on efficient semiparametric…

一类广义半参数风险率回归模型AI 解读

A general class of semiparametric hazards regression models for survival data is proposed and studied. This general class includes some popular classes of models as subclasses, such as Cox's proportional hazards model, the accelerated failure time model and a recently proposed class of models called the accelerated hazards model. In the general class of models, a covariate's effect is identified as having two separate components, namely a time-scale change on hazard…

半参数模型的多尺度最大似然分析及应用AI 解读

A special semiparametric model for a univariate density is introduced that allows analyzing a number of problems via appropriate transformations. Two problems treated in some detail are testing for the presence of a mixture and detecting a wear-out trend in a failure rate. The analysis of the semiparametric model leads to an approach that advances the maximum likelihood theory of the Grenander estimator to a multiscale analysis. The construction of the corresponding test…

混合模型复杂度的一致估计AI 解读

The consistent estimation of mixture complexity is of fundamental importance in many applications of finite mixture models. An enormous body of literature exists regarding the application, computational issues and theoretical aspects of mixture models when the number of components is known, but estimating the unknown number of components remains an area of intense research effort. This article presents a semiparametric methodology yielding almost sure convergence of the…

自适应回归估计量的二阶近似AI 解读

We derive asymptotic expansions for semiparametric adaptive regression estimators. In particular, we derive the asymptotic distribution of the second-order effect of an adaptive estimator in a linear regression whose error density is of unknown functional form. We then show how the choice of smoothing parameters influences the estimator through higher order terms. A method of bandwidth selection is defined by minimizing the second-order mean squared error. We examine both…

含固定效应的动态面板 Logit 模型的信息界AI 解读

In this paper, I calculate the semiparametric information bound in two dynamic panel data logit models with individual specific effects. In such a model without any other regressors, it is well known that the conditional maximum likelihood estimator yields a √ n -consistent estimator. In the case where the model includes strictly exogenous continuous regressors, Honoré and Kyriazidou (2000, Econometrica 68, 839–874) suggest a consistent estimator whose rate of convergence is…

删失与截断回归模型中的条件矩限制AI 解读

Censored and truncated regression models with unknown distribution are important in econometrics. This paper characterizes the class of all conditional moment restrictions that lead to √ n -consistent estimators for these models. The semiparametric efficiency bound for each conditional moment restriction is derived. In the case of a nonzero bound it is shown how an estimator can be constructed and that an appropriately weighted version can attain the efficiency bound. These…

再捕获与移除研究的参数和半参数模型：似然方法AI 解读

Summary Capture–recapture processes are biased samplings of recurrent event processes, which can be modelled by the Andersen–Gill intensity model. The intensity function is assumed to be a function of time, covariates and a parameter. We derive the maximum likelihood estimators of both the parameter and the population size and show the consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimators for both recapture and removal studies. The estimators are asymptotically efficient…

Summary Summary. The regression literature contains hundreds of studies on serially correlated disturbances. Most of these studies assume that the structure of the error covariance matrix Ω is known or can be estimated consistently from data. Surprisingly, few studies investigate the properties of estimated generalized least squares (GLS) procedures when the structure of Ω is incorrectly identified and the parameters are inefficiently estimated. We compare the finite sample…

不假定参数化误差分布的 Box–Cox 变换模型估计AI 解读

Box and Cox proposed a power transformation for the response variable that yields a linear regression model with normal error and constant variance. Inference procedures for the regression coefficients and transformation parameter under this model setting have been studied extensively. In this article we propose a simple semiparametric estimation method for the Box–Cox transformation model with no specific parametric assumption on the distribution of the error term. The…