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On the Non-Negative Garrotte Estimator

非负Garrotte估计量研究

Summary We study the non-negative garrotte estimator from three different aspects: consistency, computation and flexibility. We argue that the non-negative garrotte is a general procedure that can be used in combination with estimators other than the original least squares estimator as in its original form. In particular, we consider using the lasso, the elastic net and ridge regression along with ordinary least squares as the initial estimate in the non-negative garrotte.…

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Quantile Regression in Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces

再生核希尔伯特空间中的分位数回归

In this article we consider quantile regression in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces, which we call kernel quantile regression (KQR). We make three contributions: (1) we propose an efficient algorithm that computes the entire solution path of the KQR, with essentially the same computational cost as fitting one KQR model; (2) we derive a simple formula for the effective dimension of the KQR model, which allows convenient selection of the regularization parameter; and (3) we…

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Controlling Variable Selection by the Addition of Pseudovariables

通过添加伪变量控制变量选择

We propose a new approach to variable selection designed to control the false selection rate (FSR), defined as the proportion of uninformative variables included in selected models. The method works by adding a known number of pseudovariables to the real dataset, running a variable selection procedure, and monitoring the proportion of pseudovariables falsely selected. Information obtained from bootstrap-like replications of this process is used to estimate the proportion of…

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Model selection and estimation in the Gaussian graphical model

高斯图模型中的模型选择与估计

We propose penalized likelihood methods for estimating the concentration matrix in the Gaussian graphical model. The methods lead to a sparse and shrinkage estimator of the concentration matrix that is positive definite, and thus conduct model selection and estimation simultaneously. The implementation of the methods is nontrivial because of the positive definite constraint on the concentration matrix, but we show that the computation can be done effectively by taking…

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Variable selection for the single-index model

单指标模型的变量选择

We consider variable selection in the single-index model. We prove that the popular leave-m-out crossvalidation method has different behaviour in the single-index model from that in linear regression models or nonparametric regression models. A new consistent variable selection method, called separated crossvalidation, is proposed. Further analysis suggests that the method has better finite-sample performance and is computationally easier than leave-m-out crossvalidation.…

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Regression coefficient and autoregressive order shrinkage and selection via the lasso

利用 lasso 收缩与选择回归系数及自回归阶数

Summary The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (‘lasso’) has been widely used in regression shrinkage and selection. We extend its application to the regression model with autoregressive errors. Two types of lasso estimators are carefully studied. The first is similar to the traditional lasso estimator with only two tuning parameters (one for regression coefficients and the other for autoregression coefficients). These tuning parameters can be easily calculated…

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Methodology and convergence rates for functional linear regression

函数型线性回归的方法与收敛速率

In functional linear regression, the slope “parameter” is a function. Therefore, in a nonparametric context, it is determined by an infinite number of unknowns. Its estimation involves solving an ill-posed problem and has points of contact with a range of methodologies, including statistical smoothing and deconvolution. The standard approach to estimating the slope function is based explicitly on functional principal components analysis and, consequently, on spectral…

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A Nonstationary Negative Binomial Time Series With Time-Dependent Covariates

含时变协变量的非平稳负二项时间序列模型

Boston Harbor has a history of poor water quality, including contamination by enteric pathogens. We conduct a statistical analysis of data collected by the Massachusetts Water Resources Authority (MWRA) between 1996 and 2002 to evaluate the effects of court-mandated improvements in sewage treatment. Motivated by the ineffectiveness of standard Poisson mixture models and their zero-inflated counterparts, we propose a new negative binomial model for time series of Enterococcus…

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The Adaptive Lasso and Its Oracle Properties

自适应 Lasso 及其 Oracle 性质

The lasso is a popular technique for simultaneous estimation and variable selection. Lasso variable selection has been shown to be consistent under certain conditions. In this work we derive a necessary condition for the lasso variable selection to be consistent. Consequently, there exist certain scenarios where the lasso is inconsistent for variable selection. We then propose a new version of the lasso, called the adaptive lasso, where adaptive weights are used for…

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Focused Information Criteria and Model Averaging for the Cox Hazard Regression Model

Cox 风险回归模型的聚焦信息准则与模型平均

This article is concerned with variable selection methods for the Cox proportional hazards regression model. Including excessive covariates causes extra variability and inflated confidence intervals for regression parameters; thus regimes for discarding the less informative ones are needed. Our framework has p covariates designated as “protected,” while variables from a further set of q covariates are examined for possible inclusion or exclusion. We develop a focused…

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Variable selection in clustering via Dirichlet process mixture models

基于狄利克雷过程混合模型的聚类变量选择

The increased collection of high-dimensional data in various fields has raised a strong interest in clustering algorithms and variable selection procedures. In this paper, we propose a model-based method that addresses the two problems simultaneously. We introduce a latent binary vector to identify discriminating variables and use Dirichlet process mixture models to define the cluster structure. We update the variable selection index using a Metropolis algorithm and obtain…

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Optimal adaptive estimation of a quadratic functional

二次泛函的最优自适应估计

Adaptive estimation of a quadratic functional over both Besov and Lp balls is considered. A collection of nonquadratic estimators are developed which have useful bias and variance properties over individual Besov and Lp balls. An adaptive procedure is then constructed based on penalized maximization over this collection of nonquadratic estimators. This procedure is shown to be optimally rate adaptive over the entire range of Besov and Lp balls in the sense that it attains…

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Discussion

关于条件生长曲线方法的讨论

Overview.Wei and He are to be congratulated on an innovative and important article.The conditional approach to growth charts described in their article is important in a practical sense, and the use of quantile regression is both natural and well motivated.We look forward to further application of their idea to actual practice, because the concept of "falling behind" in one's growth cycle has two meanings: the usual standard growth chart, and the conditional growth chart…

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Component selection and smoothing in multivariate nonparametric regression

多元非参数回归中的分量选择与平滑

We propose a new method for model selection and model fitting in multivariate nonparametric regression models, in the framework of smoothing spline ANOVA. The “COSSO” is a method of regularization with the penalty functional being the sum of component norms, instead of the squared norm employed in the traditional smoothing spline method. The COSSO provides a unified framework for several recent proposals for model selection in linear models and smoothing spline ANOVA models.…

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Geoadditive Survival Models

地理加性生存模型

Survival data often contain small-area geographical or spatial information, such as the residence of individuals. In many cases, the impact of such spatial effects on hazard rates is of considerable substantive interest. Therefore, extensions of known survival or hazard rate models to spatial models have been suggested. Mostly, a spatial component is added to the usual linear predictor of the Cox model. In this article flexible continuous-time geoadditive models are…

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Risk hull method and regularization by projections of ill-posed inverse problems

风险包络方法与不适定逆问题的投影正则化

We study a standard method of regularization by projections of the linear inverse problem Y=Af+ε, where ε is a white Gaussian noise, and A is a known compact operator with singular values converging to zero with polynomial decay. The unknown function f is recovered by a projection method using the singular value decomposition of A. The bandwidth choice of this projection regularization is governed by a data-driven procedure which is based on the principle of risk hull…

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Regularized Semiparametric Model Identification with Application to Nuclear Magnetic Resonance Signal Quantification with Unknown Macromolecular Base-Line

正则化半参数模型识别:未知大分子基线下的核磁共振信号定量

Summary We formulate and solve a semiparametric fitting problem with regularization constraints. The model that we focus on is composed of a parametric non-linear part and a nonparametric part that can be reconstructed via splines. Regularization is employed to impose a certain degree of smoothness on the nonparametric part. Semiparametric regression is presented as a generalization of non-linear regression, and all important differences that arise from the statistical and…

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High-dimensional graphs and variable selection with the Lasso

高维图与 Lasso 变量选择

The pattern of zero entries in the inverse covariance matrix of a multivariate normal distribution corresponds to conditional independence restrictions between variables. Covariance selection aims at estimating those structural zeros from data. We show that neighborhood selection with the Lasso is a computationally attractive alternative to standard covariance selection for sparse high-dimensional graphs. Neighborhood selection estimates the conditional independence…

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Wavelet-based Functional Mixed Models

基于小波的函数型混合模型

Summary Increasingly, scientific studies yield functional data, in which the ideal units of observation are curves and the observed data consist of sets of curves that are sampled on a fine grid. We present new methodology that generalizes the linear mixed model to the functional mixed model framework, with model fitting done by using a Bayesian wavelet-based approach. This method is flexible, allowing functions of arbitrary form and the full range of fixed effects…

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The behavior of the NPMLE of a decreasing density near the boundaries of the support

递减密度的非参数最大似然估计在支撑边界附近的行为

We investigate the behavior of the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator f̂n for a decreasing density f near the boundaries of the support of f. We establish the limiting distribution of f̂n(n−α), where we need to distinguish between different values of 0<α<1. Similar results are obtained for the upper endpoint of the support, in the case it is finite. This yields consistent estimators for the values of f at the boundaries of the support. The limit distribution of these…

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Adapting to unknown sparsity by controlling the false discovery rate

通过控制错误发现率适应未知稀疏性

We attempt to recover an n-dimensional vector observed in white noise, where n is large and the vector is known to be sparse, but the degree of sparsity is unknown. We consider three different ways of defining sparsity of a vector: using the fraction of nonzero terms; imposing power-law decay bounds on the ordered entries; and controlling the ℓp norm for p small. We obtain a procedure which is asymptotically minimax for ℓr loss, simultaneously throughout a range of such…

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Covariance matrix selection and estimation via penalised normal likelihood

通过惩罚正态似然选择与估计协方差矩阵

We propose a nonparametric method for identifying parsimony and for producing a statistically efficient estimator of a large covariance matrix. We reparameterise a covariance matrix through the modified Cholesky decomposition of its inverse or the one-step-ahead predictive representation of the vector of responses and reduce the nonintuitive task of modelling covariance matrices to the familiar task of model selection and estimation for a sequence of regression models. The…

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Objective Bayesian Variable Selection

客观贝叶斯变量选择

A novel fully automatic Bayesian procedure for variable selection in normal regression models is proposed. The procedure uses the posterior probabilities of the models to drive a stochastic search. The posterior probabilities are computed using intrinsic priors, which can be considered default priors for model selection problems; that is, they are derived from the model structure and are free from tuning parameters. Thus they can be seen as objective priors for variable…

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Variable Selection for Model-Based Clustering

基于模型的聚类中的变量选择

We consider the problem of variable or feature selection for model-based clustering. The problem of comparing two nested subsets of variables is recast as a model comparison problem and addressed using approximate Bayes factors. A greedy search algorithm is proposed for finding a local optimum in model space. The resulting method selects variables (or features), the number of clusters, and the clustering model simultaneously. We applied the method to several simulated and…

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