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On the Estimation of Lifetime Income

终身收入的估计

Lifetime income, say Vs, may be defined as Vs = ΣT t=sctyt where yt is income (earnings) at age t, ct is some discount rate and s is the age an individual enters the labor force. Obviously, yt i.e., the income path over the individual's span of active life, plays a crucial part in the calculation of Vs. Mostly graphical methods have been employed for estimating the income age profile. This article presents a statistical framework for estimating lifetime income. Moreover, the…

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Discrimination and Confidence Bands on Percentiles

百分位数的同时置信带与判别集合

Using the general linear model, y = Xβ+e, where e∼N(0, σ2/): simultaneous confidence bonds are found for the 100 pth percentile, x′β+kpσ, of the normal population with mean x′β and variance σ2 (kp is the 100 pth percentile of the standard normal distribution). The bands are simultaneous in x or in x and p. In the simple linear regression case these bands are used to define simultaneous discrimination sets for any fixed values, yP, of the dependent variable.

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Discrimination and Confidence Bands on Percentiles

判别与百分位数置信带

Using the general linear model, y = Xβ+e, where e∼N(0, σ2/): simultaneous confidence bonds are found for the 100 pth percentile, x′β+kpσ, of the normal population with mean x′β and variance σ2 (kp is the 100 pth percentile of the standard normal distribution). The bands are simultaneous in x or in x and p. In the simple linear regression case these bands are used to define simultaneous discrimination sets for any fixed values, yP, of the dependent variable.

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Percentile Estimators for the Parameters of the Weibull Distribution

威布尔分布参数的百分位数估计量

Large sample estimation of the location and the scale parameter of the Weibull distribution, when the shape parameter is known simultaneously, is considered. Best linear unbiased estimates based on k = 2, 4 and 6 sample quantiles are used. The optimum spacings of the sample quantiles, the coefficients to be used in computing the estimates and their variances and asymptotic efficiencies are given.

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Asymptotic Formulae for the Distribution of a Multivariate Test Statistic: Power Comparisons of Certain Multivariate Tests

多元检验统计量分布的渐近公式及若干检验的功效比较

An asymptotic formula is derived for the distribution function of a familiar statistic used in testing the general linear hypothesis in multivariate analysis. The powers of three familar criteria for testing the multivariate general linear hypothesis are compared for moderately large sample sizes.

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Efficiency-Robust Systematic Linear Estimators of Location

位置参数的效率稳健系统线性估计量

Several classes of efficiency-robust linear unbiased estimators of location based on k sample quantiles are defined. The efficiencies of these estimators under the normal, logistic, and double exponential distributions are computed for sample sizes n = 20, 30, 40, 50, 100, ∞, and subsamples of size k = 2, 6, 10, 20. These results are then discussed in relation to other research in efficiency-robust estimation.

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Distribution of a Structural t -Statistic for the Case of Two Included Endogenous Variables

两个内生变量情形下结构参数 t 统计量的分布

In this article we study the exact finite sample distribution function of a t-statistic that can be used to test hypotheses and construct confidence intervals for structural coefficients in simultaneous equations models. It is shown that the exact distribution function is equal to Student's t-distribution when one of its parameters is zero and converges to Student's t-distribution function as another of its parameters increases without bound. Computations of the exact…

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A Nonparametric Test for Bivariate Symmetry

二元对称性的非参数检验

A conditionally distribution-free test of bivariate symmetry based on the sample distribution function is introduced. The test is shown to be consistent against a wide class of alternatives. In particular, if the underlying bivariate distribution is absolutely continuous, then the test is consistent against all alternatives to the null hypothesis. Power comparisons of the conditional test, a normal theory test devised by Bell and Haller, and the Wilcoxon signed rank test are…

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Efficiency of Simple Order Statistic Estimates When Losses are Piecewise Linear

分段线性损失下简单次序统计量估计的效率

When losses are piecewise linear, optimal decision-making hinges on estimating a specified fractile of a probability distribution. In this article we investigate, through examples, the operating characteristics of an estimation procedure which utilizes simple linear combinations of one or two values in the order statistic generated by an observation vector. Such estimates appear to be remarkably efficient compared to the estimates generated by simple parametric procedures;…

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A Nonparametric Selection Procedure's Efficiency: Largest Location Parameter Case

非参数选择程序的效率:最大位置参数情形

Suppose that X1, ···, Xk are mutually independent observations from populations π1, ···, πk and that Xi has a density fxi(·)(1 ≤ i ≤ k). For i = 1, ···, k let pi = P[Xi > maxj ≠ i Xj], and let p[k] = max (p1, ···, pk). Bechhofer and Sobel [4] have proposed a nonparametric selection procedure based on multinomial random variables for the problem of selecting a population which has the highest probability, p[k], of producing the largest observation. (The density fxi(·) may be…

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Exact Finite Sample Density Functions of GCL Estimators of Structural Coefficients in a Leading Exactly Identifiable Case

一个典型恰好识别情形下结构系数 GCL 估计量的精确有限样本密度

As is true of any statistical application, testing econometric statistical hypotheses involves constructing critical regions with prescribed probabilities of Type I error and determining probabilities of Type II error under alternative hypotheses. Such constructions and determinations presuppose knowledge of exact statistical distribution functions of econometric estimators and test statistics either directly, or indirectly, as in the case where a statistical distribution…

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Efficiency of Simple Order Statistic Estimates When Losses are Piecewise Linear

分段线性损失下简单次序统计量估计的效率

When losses are piecewise linear, optimal decision-making hinges on estimating a specified fractile of a probability distribution. In this article we investigate, through examples, the operating characteristics of an estimation procedure which utilizes simple linear combinations of one or two values in the order statistic generated by an observation vector. Such estimates appear to be remarkably efficient compared to the estimates generated by simple parametric procedures;…

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Exact Finite Sample Density Functions of GCL Estimators of Structural Coefficients in a Leading Exactly Identifiable Case

一个典型恰好识别情形下结构系数 GCL 估计量的精确有限样本密度

As is true of any statistical application, testing econometric statistical hypotheses involves constructing critical regions with prescribed probabilities of Type I error and determining probabilities of Type II error under alternative hypotheses. Such constructions and determinations presuppose knowledge of exact statistical distribution functions of econometric estimators and test statistics either directly, or indirectly, as in the case where a statistical distribution…

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A General Approximation to the Distribution of Instrumental Variables Estimates

This paper develops approximations of the Gram-Charlier type to the cumulative distribution function of the instrumental variables estimator on classical assumptions. In the special case where there are only two endogenous variables in the estimated equation, exact values of the cumulative distribution function are computed by numerical integration and compared with the approximations. Although the error in the approximation depends critically on the parameters of the…

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Percentile estimators for the parameters of the Weibull distribution

Weibull 分布参数的百分位数估计量

Large sample estimation of the location and the scale parameter of the Weibull distribution, when the shape parameter is known simultaneously, is considered. Best linear unbiased estimates based on k = 2, 4 and 6 sample quantiles are used. The optimum spacings of the sample quantiles, the coefficients to be used in computing the estimates and their variances and asymptotic efficiencies are given.

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Asymptotic formulae for the distribution of a multivariate test statistic: Power comparisons of certain multivariate tests

多元检验统计量分布的渐近公式:若干多元检验的功效比较

An asymptotic formula is derived for the distribution function of a familiar statistic used in testing the general linear hypothesis in multivariate analysis. The powers of three familar criteria for testing the multivariate general linear hypothesis are compared for moderately large sample sizes.

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Improved goodness-of-fit tests

改进的小样本拟合优度检验

Two statistics for testing goodness of fit for small sample sizes are provided. The first statistic, Sn, can be used to test the fit to any completely specified continuous distribution function and is more powerful than the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic in the cases tested. The second statistic, S*n, tests the fit to an exponential distribution with mean unknown. It is more powerful than a Kolmogorov-Smirnov type statistic suggested by Lilliefors (1969) for the cases tested.…

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Error of the normal approximation to the. sum of N random variables

N 个随机变量之和的正态近似误差

A bound on the mairimiitn value of the difference between the normal distribution function and the distribution function of the normalized sum of N independent, identically distributed, rectangular random variables is given. This bound is compared with other bounding expressions and with the maximum difference obtained numerically.

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A nonparametric test for bivariate symmetry

二元对称性的非参数检验

A conditionally distribution-free test of bivariate symmetry based on the sample distribution function is introduced. The test is shown to be consistent against a wide class of alternatives. In particular, if the underlying bivariate distribution is absolutely continuous, then the test is consistent against all alternatives to the null hypothesis. Power comparisons of the conditional test, a normal theory test devised by Bell and Haller, and the Wilcoxon signed rank test are…

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Least Squares and Grouping Method Estimators in the Errors in Variables Model

变量含误差模型中的最小二乘与分组法估计量

The probability density function of the least squares estimator of the slope coefficient in the errors in variables model is presented. It is shown how the bias and mean-square error of the least squares estimator b depend on the parameters of the model. In particular, for a given sample size, b converges to the true parameter as one of the distribution parameters increases indefinitely. The analysis is supplemented with numerical computations of the relative bias and…

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On the distribution of half the mean square successive difference

均方相邻差一半的分布

A convenient convergent method of computing the distribution function of half the mean square successive difference based on the Laguerre polynomial representation is obtained. This method does not require any use of quadrature formulae in computing probabilities and is suitable for digital computers for any linear combination of chi-squared variables with positive weights.

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On the Distribution of Half the Mean Square Successive Difference

相邻差均方的一半的分布

A convenient convergent method of computing the distribution function of half the mean square successive difference based on the Laguerre polynomial representation is obtained. This method does not require any use of quadrature formulae in computing probabilities and is suitable for digital computers for any linear combination of chi-squared variables with positive weights.

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A generalized Kruskal-Wallis test for comparing K samples subject to unequal patterns of censorship

不同删失模式下比较K个样本的广义Kruskal–Wallis检验

A generalization of the Kruskal-Wallis test, which extends Gehan's generalization of Wilcoxon's test, is proposed for testing the equality of K continuous distribution functions when observations are subject to arbitrary right censorship. The distribution of the censoring variables is allowed to differ for different populations. An alternative statistic is proposed for use when the censoring distributions may be assumed equal. These statistics have asymptotic chi-squared…

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