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Nonparametric Two-Sample Procedures for Ranked-Set Samples Data

排序集样本的非参数两样本方法

Ranked-set samples have been shown to lead to improved methods of estimation in parametric settings under specific distributional forms when actual measurement of the sample observations is difficult but ranking them is relatively easy. The earliest work with ranked-set data concentrated on estimating a population mean or variance. More recently, a ranked-set sample estimator of a cumulative distribution function was developed and used to obtain a simultaneous confidence…

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Empirical Bayes and Conditional Inference with Many Nuisance Parameters

大量干扰参数下的经验贝叶斯与条件推断

This paper concerns the use of empirical Bayes methods to improve the efficiency of a parameter of interest, θ, in the presence of many nuisance parameters, {øi}, one from each data stratum. A class of distributions is introduced such that for fixed θ, the minimal sufficient statistic ti(θ) for øi is from an exponential family and hence complete. By imposing the assumption that the øi's are generated from an unspecified distribution function Q, we show that for this class of…

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Improved Berry-Esseen-Chebyshev Bounds with Statisical Applications

改进的 Berry–Esseen–Chebyshev 界及统计应用

A Sharpening Of Nonuniform bounds of the Berry-Esseen type initially obtained by Esseen and later generalized by Kolodjažnyĭ–who also proved that they are, in some sense, optimal–is proposed. Further, the corresponding inequalities are shown to provide uniformly improved Chebyshev bounds for the tail probabilities of the distribution functions to be approximated. In contrast with most results on Berry–Esseen bounds, which emphasize rates of convergence to normality, the…

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A Pure-Tail Ordering Based on the Ratio of the Quantile Functions

基于分位数函数比值的纯尾部排序

In the intuitive approach, a distribution function $F$ is said to be not more heavily tailed than $G$ if $\lim \sup_{x \rightarrow \infty} \bar{F}/\bar{G} < \infty$. An alternative is to consider the behavior of the ratio $F^{-1}(u)/G^{-1}(u)$, in a neighborhood of one. The present paper examines the relationship between these two criteria and concludes that the intuitive approach gives a more thorough comparison of distribution functions than the ratio of the quantile…

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Some Inequalities About the Kaplan-Meier Estimator

关于 Kaplan–Meier 估计量的若干不等式

In this paper we consider the product-limit estimator of the survival distribution function in the context of independent but nonidentically distributed censoring times. An upper bound on the mean square increment of the stopped Kaplan-Meier process is obtained. Also, a representation is given for the ratio of the survival distribution function to the product-limit estimator as the product of a bounded process and a martingale. From this representation bounds on the mean…

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On the Last Time and the Number of Times an Estimator is More than $\varepsilon$ From its Target Value

估计量偏离目标值的最后时点与累计次数

Suppose $\hat{\theta}_n$ is a strongly consistent estimator for $\theta_0$ in some i.i.d. situation. Let $N_\varepsilon$ and $Q_\varepsilon$ be, respectively, the last $n$ and the total number of $n$ for which $\hat{\theta}_n$ is at least $\varepsilon$ away from $\theta_0$. The limit distributions for $\varepsilon^2N_\varepsilon$ and $\varepsilon^2Q_\varepsilon$ as $\varepsilon$ goes to zero are obtained under natural and weak conditions. The theory covers both parametric…

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Regression Rank Scores and Regression Quantiles

回归秩得分与回归分位数

We show that regression quantiles, which could be computed as solutions of a linear programming problem, and the solutions of the corresponding dual problem, which we call the regression rank-scores, generalize the duality of order statistics and of ranks from the location to the linear model. Noting this fact, we study the regression quantile and regression rank-score processes in the heteroscedastic linear regression model, obtaining some new estimators and interesting…

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Testing Exponentiality Against IDMRL Distributions with Unknown Change Point

转折点未知时针对平均剩余寿命先增后减分布的指数性检验

Guess, Hollander and Proschan proposed tests for exponentiality versus IDMRL (increasing initially and then decreasing mean residual life) distributions when the change point, or corresponding quantile, is known. In this paper we propose two tests which do not require such knowledge of the change point. The tests are based on estimates of functionals of the $\operatorname{cdf}$ which discriminate between the exponential and IDMRL families.

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Nonparametric Function Estimation Involving Time Series

时间序列中的非参数函数估计

Consider a stationary time series $(\mathbf{X}_t, Y_t), t = 0, \pm 1,\ldots,$ with $\mathbf{X}_t$ being $\mathbb{R}^d$-valued and $Y_t$ real-valued. The conditional mean function is given by $\theta(\mathbf{X}_0) = E(Y_0\mid\mathbf{X}_0)$. Under appropriate regularity conditions, a local average estimator of this function based on a finite realization $(\mathbf{X}_1, Y_1),\ldots,(\mathbf{X}_n, Y_n)$ can be chosen to achieve the optimal rate of convergence $n^{-1/(2 + d)}$ bot…

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Hierarchical Spline Models for Conditional Quantiles and the Demand for Electricity

条件分位数的层级样条模型与电力需求

Methods for estimating nonparametric models for conditional quantiles are suggested based on the regression quantile methods of Koenker and Bassett. Spline parameterizations of the conditional quantile functions are used. The methods are illustrated by estimating hierarchical models for household electricity demand using data from the Chicago metropolitan area. The empirical results show that lower quantiles of demand (“base-load”) vary only slightly across residential…

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An Algorithm for Computing the Nonparametric MLE of a Mixing Distribution

混合分布非参数极大似然估计的计算算法

A fast algorithm for calculating the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) of a mixing distribution, G(·). in a mixture model is discussed. The literature contains several methods for computing the nonparametric MLE of G, but these methods are slow. In this article we develop an algorithm for maximizing the log-likelihood l(G) over the family ℊ, of all distribution functions, that yields the nonparametric MLE of G. In some semiparametric problems, a structural or…

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Poisson Overdispersion Estimates Based on the Method of Asymmetric Maximum Likelihood

基于非对称极大似然的泊松过度离散估计

A common difficulty in regression problems with Poisson (or binomial or other exponential family) response variables is over-dispersion: the scatter around the fitted regression is too large by the standards of Poisson variability. This article concerns the description, estimation, and testing of various patterns of overdispersion, with particular emphasis on the Poisson case. Asymmetric maximum likelihood (AML) is a method of fitting regressions for the conditional…

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Poisson Overdispersion Estimates Based on the Method of Asymmetric Maximum Likelihood

基于非对称最大似然的 Poisson 过度离散估计

A common difficulty in regression problems with Poisson (or binomial or other exponential family) response variables is over-dispersion: the scatter around the fitted regression is too large by the standards of Poisson variability. This article concerns the description, estimation, and testing of various patterns of overdispersion, with particular emphasis on the Poisson case. Asymmetric maximum likelihood (AML) is a method of fitting regressions for the conditional…

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Estimating the proportion of immunes in a censored sample

删失样本中免疫个体比例的估计

An estimator for the proportion of ‘immunes’ in a population is proposed, when a sample of censored failure times is available. Our suggestion is to use one minus the maximum observed value of the Kaplan-Meier empirical distribution function. This estimator is shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal, under modest conditions on the censoring mechanism. Simulations suggest that the estimator is approximately normal for quite small sample sizes, provided the immune…

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Interpolation rules suggested by asymptotic expansions

由渐近展开启发的插值规则

We suggest a simple interpolation rule, based on Edgeworth and Cornish-Fisher expansions, which permits highly accurate numerical approximation in problems involving calculation of distributions or quantiles without requiring explicit calculation of terms in the expansions.

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Properties of estimators of the finite population distribution function

有限总体分布函数估计量的性质

Two leading estimators of the finite population distribution function are studied. Their large-sample mean squared errors are compared, under a given model. Neither estimator is universally better; circumstances are identified where the model-based estimator would do poorly, despite employing the correct model.

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Tail probability approximations in the first-order noncircular autoregression

一阶非循环自回归中的尾概率近似

A saddlepoint expansion is derived for the cumulative distribution function of the least squares estimator of the autoregressive coefficient. The new method is shown to be superior both analytically and numerically to many existing approximations. Unlike other methods the new approximation performs uniformly well over the whole range of the distribution including the extreme tail, even when the sample size is as small as 10.

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Empirical Bayes and conditional inference with many nuisance parameters

存在大量干扰参数时的经验贝叶斯与条件推断

This paper concerns the use of empirical Bayes methods to improve the efficiency of a parameter of interest, θ, in the presence of many nuisance parameters, {øi}, one from each data stratum. A class of distributions is introduced such that for fixed θ, the minimal sufficient statistic ti(θ) for øi is from an exponential family and hence complete. By imposing the assumption that the øi's are generated from an unspecified distribution function Q, we show that for this class of…

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Constrained Minimax Estimation of the Mean of the Normal Distribution with Known Variance

已知方差正态分布均值的受约束极小极大估计

In this paper we shall discuss the estimation of the mean of a normal distribution with variance 1. The main question in this work is the existence and computation of a least favorable distribution among all the prior distributions satisfying a given set of constraints. In the following we show that if this distribution is bounded from above on some even moment, then the least favorable distribution exists and it is either normal or discrete. The support of the discrete…

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Asymptotics for Doubly Flexible Logspline Response Models

双重灵活对数样条响应模型的渐近理论

Consider a $\mathscr{Y}$-valued response variable having a density function $f(\cdot\mid x)$ that depends on an $\mathscr{X}$-valued input variable $x.$ It is assumed that $\mathscr{X}$ and $\mathscr{Y}$ are compact intervals and that $f(\cdot\mid\cdot)$ is continuous and positive on $\mathscr{X} \times \mathscr{Y}.$ Let $F(\cdot\mid x)$ denote the distribution function of $f(\cdot\mid x)$ and let $Q(\cdot\mid x)$ denote its quantile function. A finite-parameter exponential…

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Central Limit Theorems for $L_p$ Distances of Kernel Estimators of Densities Under Random Censorship

随机删失下核密度估计Lp距离的中心极限定理

A sequence of independent nonnegative random variables with common distribution function $F$ is censored on the right by another sequence of independent identically distributed random variables. These two sequences are also assumed to be independent. We estimate the density function $f$ of $F$ by a sequence of kernel estimators $f_n(t) = (\int^\infty_{-\infty}K((t - x)/h(n))d\hat{F}_n(x))/h(n),$ where $h(n)$ is a sequence of numbers, $K$ is kernel density function and $\hat{F}_n$…

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Large-Sample Properties for a General Estimator of the Treatment Effect in the Two-Sample Problem with Right Censoring

右删失两样本处理效应一般估计量的大样本性质

The estimation of the treatment effect in the two-sample problem with right censoring is of interest in survival analysis. In this article we consider both the location shift model and the scale change model. We establish the large-sample properties of a generalized Hodges-Lehmann type estimator. The strong consistency is established under the minimal possible conditions. The asymptotic normality is also obtained without imposing any conditions on the censoring mechanisms.…

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A General Estimator of the Treatment Effect When the Data are Heavily Censored

严重删失数据下处理效应的一般估计量

A generalized Hodges-Lehmann type estimator for the treatment effect in the two-sample problem with right censoring, is proposed based on an inverse-quantile-type idea using truncated versions of the Kaplan-Meier estimators over the subspace where they are consistent. Its strong consistency and asymptotic normality can be obtained, under no conditions on the uninformative censorings, and the resulting variance is easily estimable from the data. In simulation studies the…

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An Accurate Method for Approximate Conditional and Bayesian Inference about Linear Regression Models from Censored Data

删失数据线性回归模型的精确近似条件推断与贝叶斯推断方法

A method to approximate marginal posterior distribution functions of regression coefficients and scale parameters is presented. It is based on a general asymptotic formula of DiCiccio, Field & Fraser (1990) for approximating marginal tail probabilities. In developing the method, it is shown that the accuracy of the approximation of DiCiccio et al. can be substantially increased in certain cases by using a suitable change of variables, and a general approach to deriving such…

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