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高维离散数据的程度异质性潜在类别分析AI 解读

The latent class model is a widely used mixture model for multivariate discrete data. Besides the existence of qualitatively heterogeneous latent classes, real data often exhibit additional quantitative heterogeneity nested within each latent class. The modern latent class analysis also faces extra challenges, including the high-dimensionality, sparsity, and heteroscedastic noise inherent in discrete data. Motivated by these phenomena, we introduce the Degree-heterogeneous…

高维线性假设检验的一种新方法AI 解读

This paper proposes an innovative double power-enhanced testing procedure for inference on high-dimensional linear hypotheses in high-dimensional regression models. Through a projection approach that aims to separate useful inferential information from the nuisance one, our proposed test accurately accounts for the impact of high-dimensional nuisance parameters. We discover that with a carefully-designed projection matrix, the projection procedure enables us to transform the…

大型向量自回归模型中的网络格兰杰因果关系发现AI 解读

This article proposes novel inferential procedures for discovering the network Granger causality in highdimensional vector autoregressive models.In particular, we mainly offer two multiple testing procedures designed to control the false discovery rate (FDR).The first procedure is based on the limiting normal distribution of the t-statistics with the debiased lasso estimator.The second procedure is its bootstrap version.We also provide a robustification of the first…

再生核希尔伯特空间上的非参数期望短缺回归估计与推断AI 解读

Expected shortfall (ES) has emerged as an important metric for characterizing the tail behavior of a random outcome, specifically associated with rarer events that entail severe consequences. In climate science, the threats of flooding and heatwaves loom large, impacting natural environments and human communities. In actuarial studies, a key observation in modeling insurance claim sizes is that features exhibit distinct effects in explaining small and large claims. This…

精度矩阵最小二乘：高维估计与推断AI 解读

The least squares estimator can be cast as depending only on the precision matrix of the data, similar to the weights of a global minimum variance portfolio. We give conditions under which any plug-in precision matrix estimator produces an unbiased and consistent least squares estimator for stationary time series regressions, in both low- and high-dimensional settings. Such conditions define a class of “Precision Least Squares” (PrLS) estimators, which are shown to be…

极端连续处理效应的估计与推断AI 解读

This article studies estimation and inference for the treatment effect in deep tails of the potential outcome distributions corresponding to a continuously valued treatment, namely the extreme continuous treatment effect. We consider two measures for the tail characteristics: the quantile function and the tail mean function defined as the conditional mean beyond a quantile level. Then, for a quantile level close to 1, we define the extreme quantile treatment effect (EQTE)…

回归不连续设计的统一诊断检验AI 解读

Diagnostic tests for regression discontinuity design face a size-control problem. We document a massive over-rejection of the diagnostic restriction among empirical studies in the top five economics journals. At least one diagnostic test was rejected for 19 out of 59 studies, whereas less than 5% of the collected 787 tests rejected the null hypotheses. In other words, one-third of the studies rejected at least one of their diagnostic tests, whereas their underlying…

存在未测量混杂时广义线性模型的同时推断AI 解读

Tens of thousands of simultaneous hypothesis tests are routinely performed in genomic studies to identify differentially expressed genes. However, due to unmeasured confounders, many standard statistical approaches may be substantially biased. This article investigates the large-scale hypothesis testing problem for multivariate generalized linear models in the presence of confounding effects. Under arbitrary confounding mechanisms, we propose a unified statistical estimation…

高维谱密度矩阵的统计推断AI 解读

The spectral density matrix is a fundamental object of interest in time series analysis, and it encodes both contemporary and dynamic linear relationships between component processes of the multivariate system. In this paper we develop novel inference procedures for the spectral density matrix in the high-dimensional setting. Specifically, we introduce a new global testing procedure to test the nullity of the cross-spectral density for a given set of frequencies and across…

高维时间序列的频域统计推断AI 解读

Analyzing time series in the frequency domain enables the development of powerful tools for investigating the second-order characteristics of multivariate processes. Parameters like the spectral density matrix and its inverse, the coherence or the partial coherence, encode comprehensively the complex linear relations between the component processes of the multivariate system. In this paper, we develop inference procedures for such parameters in a high-dimensional, time…

基于分位数函数的分布型结局回归及心率与活动量应用AI 解读

Modern clinical and epidemiological studies widely employ wearables to record parallel streams of real-time data on human physiology and behavior. With recent advances in distributional data analysis, these high-frequency data are now often treated as distributional observations resulting in novel regression settings. Motivated by these modeling setups, we develop a distributional outcome regression via quantile functions (DORQF) that expands existing literature with three…

利用球协方差排序与聚合识别脑连接相关遗传变异AI 解读

Understanding the genetic architecture of brain functions is essential to clarify the biological etiologies of behavioral and psychiatric disorders. Functional connectivity, representing pairwise correlations of neural activities between brain regions, is moderately heritable. Current methods to identify single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) linked to functional connectivity either neglect the complex structure of functional connectivity or fail to control false…

时间序列数据的高维 Knockoffs 推断AI 解读

We make some initial attempt to establish the theoretical and methodological foundation for the model-X knockoffs inference for time series data. We suggest the method of time series knockoffs inference (TSKI) by exploiting the ideas of subsampling and e-values to address the difficulty caused by the serial dependence. We also generalize the robust knockoffs inference in Barber, Candès, and Samworth to the time series setting to relax the assumption of known covariate…

高维部分线性测量误差模型的校准均衡估计与双重选择AI 解读

In practice, measurement error data is frequently encountered and needs to be handled appropriately. As a result of additional bias induced by measurement error, many existing estimation methods fail to achieve satisfactory performances. This paper studies high-dimensional partially linear measurement error models. It proposes a calibrated equilibrium (CARE) estimation method to calibrate the bias caused by measurement error and overcomes the technical difficulty of the…

多项数据排名的有限样本与大样本推断：政党排名应用AI 解读

It is common to rank different categories by means of preferences that are revealed through data on choices. A prominent example is the ranking of political candidates or parties using the estimated share of support each one receives in surveys or polls about political attitudes. Since these rankings are computed using estimates of the share of support rather than the true share of support, there may be considerable uncertainty concerning the true ranking of the political…

二元指标设定下的剥夺状况分布推断AI 解读

The paper addresses the issue of comparing deprivation distributions when the severity of deprivation is measured by a sum of (weighted) binary variables. To accomplish this task, it provides a graphical tool, the Three I’s of Deprivation (TID) curve, which summarises the incidence, intensity and inequality aspects of deprivation in a society and is the natural counterpart to the TIP curve widely used in income poverty analysis. Uncertainty around the estimated deprivation…

稀疏高维加性模型的估计与一致推断AI 解读

We develop a novel method to construct uniformly valid confidence bands for a nonparametric component f1 in the sparse additive model Y=f1(X1)+…+fp(Xp)+ɛ in a high-dimensional setting. Our method integrates sieve estimation into a high-dimensional Z-estimation framework, facilitating the construction of uniformly valid confidence bands for the target component f1. To form these confidence bands, we employ a multiplier bootstrap procedure. Additionally, we provide rates for…

含干扰参数的多尺度扫描AI 解读

Abstract We develop a multiscale scanning method to find anomalies in a d-dimensional random field in the presence of nuisance parameters. This covers the common situation that either the baseline-level or additional parameters such as the variance are unknown and have to be estimated from the data. We argue that state of the art approaches to determine asymptotically correct critical values for multiscale scanning statistics will in general fail when such parameters are…

用条件对称多维高斯混合检验基因组研究的大量复合原假设AI 解读

Causal mediation, pleiotropy, and replication analyses are three highly popular genetic study designs. Although these analyses address different scientific questions, the underlying statistical inference problems all involve large-scale testing of composite null hypotheses. The goal is to determine whether all null hypotheses - as opposed to at least one - in a set of individual tests should simultaneously be rejected. Recently, various methods have been proposed for each of…

已处理者分位数处理效应的双重差分估计量AI 解读

We propose a new difference-in-differences (DID) estimator of the quantile treatment effect on the treated (QTT). The model assumes a common time effect on the cumulative distribution functions of untreated potential outcomes, allowing for covariates. This condition holds if and only if the net change in the untreated outcome densities is common across treated and control groups. Unlike the Changes-in-Changes model proposed by Athey and Imbens (2006), our model is compatible…

ARK：通过耦合实现稳健的 knockoffs 推断AI 解读

We investigate the robustness of the model-X knockoffs framework with respect to the misspecified or estimated feature distribution. We achieve such a goal by theoretically studying the feature selection performance of a practically implemented knockoffs algorithm, which we name as the approximate knockoffs (ARK) procedure, under the measures of the false discovery rate (FDR) and k-familywise error rate (k-FWER). The approximate knockoffs procedure differs from the model-X…

函数型加速失效时间模型的有效估计AI 解读

Summary We propose a functional accelerated failure time model to characterize the effects of both functional and scalar covariates on the time to event of interest, and provide regularity conditions to guarantee model identifiability. For efficient estimation of model parameters, we develop a sieve maximum likelihood approach where parametric and nonparametric coefficients are bundled with an unknown baseline hazard function in the likelihood function. Not only do the…

基于时间齐次高质量标记信息的未来条件风险率超高效估计AI 解读

Summary We introduce a new concept for forecasting future events based on marker information. The model is developed in the nonparametric counting process setting under the assumptions that the marker is of so-called high quality and with a time-homogeneous conditional distribution. Despite the model having nonparametric parts, it is established herein that it attains a parametric rate of uniform consistency and uniform asymptotic normality. In usual nonparametric scenarios,…

异方差下复合原假设的大规模多重检验AI 解读

Summary Heteroskedasticity poses several methodological challenges in designing valid and powerful procedures for simultaneous testing of composite null hypotheses. In particular, the conventional practice of standardizing or rescaling heteroskedastic test statistics in this setting may severely affect the power of the underlying multiple testing procedure. Additionally, when the inferential parameter of interest is correlated with the variance of the test statistic, methods…