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Goodness-of-fit tests for the functional linear model based on randomly projected empirical processes

基于随机投影经验过程的函数型线性模型拟合优度检验

We consider marked empirical processes indexed by a randomly projected functional covariate to construct goodness-of-fit tests for the functional linear model with scalar response. The test statistics are built from continuous functionals over the projected process, resulting in computationally efficient tests that exhibit root-$n$ convergence rates and circumvent the curse of dimensionality. The weak convergence of the empirical process is obtained conditionally on a random…

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A multiple testing approach to the regularisation of large sample correlation matrices

大样本相关矩阵正则化的多重检验方法

This paper proposes a regularisation method for the estimation of large covariance matrices that uses insights from the multiple testing (MT) literature. The approach tests the statistical significance of individual pair-wise correlations and sets to zero those elements that are not statistically significant, taking account of the multiple testing nature of the problem. The effective p-values of the tests are set as a decreasing function of N (the cross section dimension),…

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Group SLOPE – Adaptive Selection of Groups of Predictors

Group SLOPE:预测变量组的自适应选择

Damian Brzyskiab*, Alexej Gossmannc, Weijie Sud & Małgorzata Bogdanea Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Indiana University, Bloomington, INb Institute of Mathematics, Jagiellonian University, Cracow, Polandc Bioinnovation PhD Program, Tulane University, New Orleans, LAd Department of Statistics, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PAe Institute of Mathematics, University of Wroclaw, Wroclaw, PolandCONTACT Damian Brzyski dbrzyski@iu.edu Department of…

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Spatially Dependent Multiple Testing Under Model Misspecification, With Application to Detection of Anthropogenic Influence on Extreme Climate Events

模型误设下的空间相依多重检验及极端气候归因应用

The Weather Risk Attribution Forecast (WRAF) is a forecasting tool that uses output from global climate models to make simultaneous attribution statements about whether and how greenhouse gas emissions have contributed to extreme weather across the globe. However, in conducting a large number of simultaneous hypothesis tests, the WRAF is prone to identifying false “discoveries.” A common technique for addressing this multiple testing problem is to adjust the procedure in a…

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Fisher Exact Scanning for Dependency

用于依赖关系检验的 Fisher 精确扫描

We introduce a method—called Fisher exact scanning (FES)—for testing and identifying variable dependency that generalizes Fisher’s exact test on 2 × 2 contingency tables to R × C contingency tables and continuous sample spaces. FES proceeds through scanning over the sample space using windows in the form of 2 × 2 tables of various sizes, and on each window completing a Fisher’s exact test. Based on a factorization of Fisher’s multivariate hypergeometric (MHG) likelihood into…

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A Factor-Adjusted Multiple Testing Procedure With Application to Mutual Fund Selection

因子调整的多重检验程序及其共同基金筛选应用

In this article, we propose a factor-adjusted multiple testing (FAT) procedure based on factor-adjusted p-values in a linear factor model involving some observable and unobservable factors, for the purpose of selecting skilled funds in empirical finance. The factor-adjusted p-values were obtained after extracting the latent common factors by the principal component method. Under some mild conditions, the false discovery proportion can be consistently estimated even if the…

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Simultaneous confidence bands: Theory, implementation, and an application to SVARs

同时置信带:理论、实现及结构 VAR 应用

Summary Simultaneous confidence bands are versatile tools for visualizing estimation uncertainty for parameter vectors, such as impulse response functions. In linear models, it is known that that the sup‐t confidence band is narrower than commonly used alternatives—for example, Bonferroni and projection bands. We show that the same ranking applies asymptotically even in general nonlinear models, such as vector autoregressions (VARs). Moreover, we provide further…

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Estimation and inference with a (nearly) singular Jacobian

雅可比矩阵近乎奇异时的估计与推断

This paper develops extremum estimation and inference results for nonlinear models with very general forms of potential identification failure when the source of this identification failure is known. We examine models that may have a general deficient rank Jacobian in certain parts of the parameter space. When identification fails in one of these models, it becomes underidentified and the identification status of individual parameters is not generally straightforward to…

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Multiscale scanning in inverse problems

逆问题中的多尺度扫描

In this paper, we propose a multiscale scanning method to determine active components of a quantity $f$ w.r.t. a dictionary $\mathcal{U}$ from observations $Y$ in an inverse regression model $Y=Tf+\xi$ with linear operator $T$ and general random error $\xi$. To this end, we provide uniform confidence statements for the coefficients $\langle\varphi,f\rangle$, $\varphi\in\mathcal{U}$, under the assumption that $(T^{*})^{-1}(\mathcal{U})$ is of wavelet-type. Based on this, we…

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Uniformly valid post-regularization confidence regions for many functional parameters in z-estimation framework

Z 估计框架下多函数参数的正则化后一致有效置信区域

In this paper, we develop procedures to construct simultaneous confidence bands for ${\tilde{p}}$ potentially infinite-dimensional parameters after model selection for general moment condition models where ${\tilde{p}}$ is potentially much larger than the sample size of available data, $n$. This allows us to cover settings with functional response data where each of the ${\tilde{p}}$ parameters is a function. The procedure is based on the construction of score functions that…

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Two-sample Kolmogorov–Smirnov-type tests revisited: Old and new tests in terms of local levels

重访两样本 Kolmogorov–Smirnov 型检验:局部显著性水平视角

From a multiple testing viewpoint, Kolmogorov–Smirnov (KS)-type tests are union-intersection tests which can be redefined in terms of local levels. The local level perspective offers a new viewpoint on ranges of sensitivity of KS-type tests and the design of new tests. We study the finite and asymptotic local level behavior of weighted KS tests which are either tail, intermediate or central sensitive. Furthermore, we provide new tests with approximately equal local levels…

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False Discovery Rate Control for High Dimensional Networks of Quantile Associations Conditioning on Covariates

给定协变量的高维分位数关联网络的错误发现率控制

Summary Motivated by gene coexpression pattern analysis, we propose a novel sample quantile contingency (SQUAC) statistic to infer quantile associations conditioning on covariates. It features enhanced flexibility in handling variables with both arbitrary distributions and complex association patterns conditioning on covariates. We first derive its asymptotic null distribution, and then develop a multiple-testing procedure based on the SQUAC statistic to test simultaneously…

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Uniform confidence bands in deconvolution with unknown error distribution

误差分布未知时反卷积的一致置信带

This paper develops a method to construct uniform confidence bands in deconvolution when the error distribution is unknown. Simulation studies demonstrate the performance of the multiplier bootstrap confidence band in the finite sample. We apply our method to the Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) Auction Data and draw confidence bands for the density of common values of mineral rights on oil and gas tracts. We also present an application of our main theoretical result…

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Post-Selection Inference Following Aggregate Level Hypothesis Testing in Large-Scale Genomic Data

大规模基因组数据中聚合层检验后的选择后推断

In many genomic applications, hypotheses tests are performed for powerful identification of signals by aggregating test-statistics across units within naturally defined classes. Following class-level testing, it is naturally of interest to identify the lower level units which contain true signals. Testing the individual units within a class without taking into account the fact that the class was selected using an aggregate-level test-statistic, will produce biased inference.…

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Principal component analysis for second-order stationary vector time series

二阶平稳向量时间序列的主成分分析

We extend the principal component analysis (PCA) to second-order stationary vector time series in the sense that we seek for a contemporaneous linear transformation for a $p$-variate time series such that the transformed series is segmented into several lower-dimensional subseries, and those subseries are uncorrelated with each other both contemporaneously and serially. Therefore, those lower-dimensional series can be analyzed separately as far as the linear dynamic…

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A new perspective on robust $M$-estimation: Finite sample theory and applications to dependence-adjusted multiple testing

稳健M估计的新视角:有限样本理论与依赖调整多重检验

(1973) 799-821], robust alternatives to the method of least squares are sorely needed. To achieve robustness against heavy-tailed sampling distributions, we revisit the Huber estimator from a new perspective by letting the tuning parameter involved diverge with the sample size. In this paper, we develop nonasymptotic concentration results for such an adaptive Huber estimator, namely, the Huber estimator with the tuning parameter adapted to sample size, dimension, and the…

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Quantile treatment effects in difference in differences models under dependence restrictions and with only two time periods

依赖结构限制下仅有两期数据的双重差分分位数处理效应

This paper shows that the Conditional Quantile Treatment Effect on the Treated is identified under (i) a Conditional Distributional Difference in Differences assumption and (ii) a new assumption that the dependence (the copula) between the change in untreated potential outcomes and the initial level of untreated potential outcomes is the same for the treated group and untreated group. We consider estimation and inference with discrete covariates and propose a uniform…

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Continuous testing for Poisson process intensities: a new perspective on scanning statistics

泊松过程强度的连续检验:扫描统计量的新视角

We propose a continuous testing framework to test the intensities of Poisson processes that allows a rigorous definition of the complete testing procedure, from an infinite number of hypotheses to joint error rates. Our work extends procedures based on scanning windows by controlling the familywise error rate and the false discovery rate in a non-asymptotic manner and in a continuous way. We introduce the p-value process on which the decision rule is based. Our method is…

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Assessing replicability of findings across two studies of multiple features

评估两项多特征研究中发现的可重复性

Replicability analysis aims to identify the overlapping signals across independent studies that examine the same features. For this purpose we develop hypothesis testing procedures that first select the promising features from each of two studies separately. Only those features selected in both studies are then tested. The proposed procedures have theoretical guarantees regarding their control of the familywise error rate or false discovery rate on the replicability claims.…

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AdaPT: An Interactive Procedure for Multiple Testing with Side Information

AdaPT:利用辅助信息的交互式多重检验程序

Summary We consider the problem of multiple-hypothesis testing with generic side information: for each hypothesis Hi we observe both a p-value pi and some predictor xi encoding contextual information about the hypothesis. For large-scale problems, adaptively focusing power on the more promising hypotheses (those more likely to yield discoveries) can lead to much more powerful multiple-testing procedures. We propose a general iterative framework for this problem, the adaptive…

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A semi-nonparametric estimator of regression discontinuity design with discrete duration outcomes

离散持续时间结果的断点回归半非参数估计

We consider the regression discontinuity (RD) design with the duration outcome which has discrete support. The parameters of policy interest are treatment effects on unconditional (duration effect) and conditional (hazard effect) exiting probabilities for each discrete level. We propose a novel semi-nonparametric estimator which exploits a flexible separability structure of the underlying continuous-time duration process. Simultaneous inference over discrete levels is…

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Comparing distributions by multiple testing across quantiles or CDF values

通过跨分位数或累积分布函数值的多重检验比较分布

We first show that one-sample and two-sample Kolmogorov–Smirnov tests may be interpreted as multiple testing procedures, nonparametrically testing equality at each point in the distribution with strong control of the finite-sample familywise error rate. Second, we provide an alternative procedure that distributes power across the distribution more evenly than the Kolmogorov–Smirnov test, which suffers low sensitivity to tail deviations. Third, we provide a formula for…

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Confidence regions for entries of a large precision matrix

大型精度矩阵元素的置信区域

We consider the statistical inference for high-dimensional precision matrices. Specifically, we propose a data-driven procedure for constructing a class of simultaneous confidence regions for a subset of the entries of a large precision matrix. The confidence regions can be applied to test for specific structures of a precision matrix, and to recover its nonzero components. We first construct an estimator for the precision matrix via penalized node-wise regression. We then…

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Maximum Rank Reproducibility: A Nonparametric Approach to Assessing Reproducibility in Replicate Experiments

最大秩可重复性:评估重复实验可重复性的非参数方法

The identification of reproducible signals from the results of replicate high-throughput experiments is an important part of modern biological research. Often little is known about the dependence structure and the marginal distribution of the data, motivating the development of a nonparametric approach to assess reproducibility. The procedure, which we call the maximum rank reproducibility (MaRR) procedure, uses a maximum rank statistic to parse reproducible signals from…

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