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双抽样框调查的统计推断AI 解读

In a dual frame survey, samples are drawn independently from two overlapping frames that together cover the population of interest. Several estimators for population totals in dual frame surveys are discussed and compared under a unified setup. We propose jackknife variance estimators, establish their design consistency, and explore their finite-sample performance in a simulation study.

主研究与验证研究设计下含协变量误分类和测量误差的逻辑回归AI 解读

In epidemiological studies, continuous covariates often are measured with error and categorical covariates often are misclassified. Using the logistic regression model to represent the relationship between the binary outcome and the perfectly measured and classified covariates, the model for the observed main study data is derived. This derivation relies on the assumption that the error in the continuous covariates is multivariate normally distributed and uses a chain of…

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异方差与自相关协方差矩阵核估计量的一致性AI 解读

Conditions are derived for the consistency of kernel estimators of the covariance matrix of a sum of vectors of dependent heterogeneous random variables, which match those of the currently best-known conditions for the central limit theorem, as required for a unified theory of asymptotic inference. These include finite moments of order no more than 2 + for > 0, trending variances, and variables which are near-epoch dependent on a mixing process, but not necessarily mixing.…

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配电规模经济的半参数分析AI 解读

We estimate the costs of distributing electricity using data on municipal electric utilities in Ontario, Canada for the period 1993-5. The data reveal substantial evidence of increasing returns to scale with minimum efficient scale being achieved by firms with about 20,000 customers. Larger firms exhibit constant or decreasing returns. Utilities which deliver additional services (such as water|sewage), have significantly lower costs, indicating the presence of economies of…

拟合优度检验的全局功效函数AI 解读

It is shown that the global power function of any nonparametric test is flat on balls of alternatives except for alternatives coming from a finite dimensional subspace. The present benchmark is here the upper one-sided (or two-sided) envelope power function. Every choice of a test fixes a priori a finite dimensional region with high power. It turns out that also the level points are far away from the corresponding Neyman–Pearson test level points except for a finite number…

一致随机序约束下某类分布一致估计量的渐近分布理论AI 解读

We identify the asymptotic behavior of the estimators proposed by Rojo and Samaniego and Mukerjee of a distribution $F$ assumed to be uniformly stochastically smaller than a known baseline distribution $G$.We show that these estimators are $\sqrt{n}$-convergent to a limit distribution with mean squared error smaller than or equal to the mean squared error of the empirical survival function. By examining the mean squared error of the limit distribution, we are able to…

曲线点值估计的自适应置信区间AI 解读

We present a procedure associated with nonlinear wavelet methods that provides adaptive confidence intervals around $f (x_0)$, in either a white noise model or a regression setting. A suitable modification in the truncation rule for wavelets allows construction of confidence intervals that achieve optimal coverage accuracy up to a logarithmic factor. The procedure does not require knowledge of the regularity of the unknown function $f$; it is also efficient for functions…

功效差距趋零与渐近相对效率AI 解读

The shortcoming of a test is the difference between the maximal attainable power and the power of the test under consideration. Vanishing shortcoming, when the number of observations tends to infinity, is therefore an optimality property of a test. Other familiar optimality criteria are based on the asymptotic relative efficiency of the test. The relations between these optimality criteria are investigated. It turns out that vanishing shortcoming is seemingly slightly…

预检验程序的检验尺寸与功效AI 解读

A pretest procedure consists of a preliminary test on a nuisance parameter, investigating whether it equals a given value or not, followed by the main testing problem on the parameter of interest. In case of acceptance of the preliminary test, the main test is applied in the restricted family with the given value of the nuisance parameter, while otherwise the test is performed in the complete family, including the nuisance parameter. For an appropriate class of tests,…

半参数偏倚抽样模型中最大似然估计的大样本理论AI 解读

Vardi [Ann.Statist.13 178-203 (1985)] introduced an $s$-sample biased sampling model with known selection weight functions, gave a condition under which the common underlying probability distribution $G$ is uniquely estimable and developed simple procedure for computing the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) $\mathbb{G}_n$ of $G$. Gill, Vardi and Wellner thoroughly described the large sample properties of Vardi’s NPMLE, giving results on uniform consistency,…

更新理论中的非参数估计（二）：更新型方程的解AI 解读

Nonparametric estimators of solutions of renewal-type equations are proposed in terms of the empirical renewal function. Using the approach of Grübel and Pitts [Ann .Stat .21 1431 –1451 (1993)], who studied asymptotic properties of the empirical renewal function, a number of properties of our estimators are established, including strong consistency, asymptotic normality and efficiency, and asymptotic validity of bootstrap confidence bounds. The results are illustrated by…

通过线性函数校准检验回归均值的单调性AI 解读

A new approach to testing for monotonicity of a regression mean, not requiring computation of a curve estimator or a bandwidth, is suggested. It is based on the notion of “running gradients ” over short intervals, although from some viewpoints it may be regarded as an analogue for monotonicity testing of the dip/excess mass approach for testing modality hypotheses about densities. Like the latter methods, the new technique does not suffer difficulties caused by almost-flat…

短期利率的漂移函数真的非线性吗？AI 解读

Aït‐Sahalia (1996) and Stanton (1997) use nonparametric estimators applied to short‐term interest rate data to conclude that the drift function contains important nonlinearities. We study the finite‐sample properties of their estimators by applying them to simulated sample paths of a square‐root diffusion. Although the drift function is linear, both estimators suggest nonlinearities of the type and magnitude reported in Aït‐Sahalia (1996) and Stanton (1997) . Combined with…

非高斯对数周期图回归AI 解读

We show the consistency of the log-periodogram regression estimate of the long memory parameter for long range dependent linear, not necessarily Gaussian, time series when we make a pooling of periodogram ordinates. Then, we study the asymptotic behavior of the tapered periodogram of long range dependent time series for frequencies near the origin, and we obtain the asymptotic distribution of the log-periodogram estimate for possibly non-Gaussian observation when the tapered…

正态尺度混合分布下的贝叶斯回归分析AI 解读

This paper considers a Bayesian analysis of the linear regression model under independent sampling from general scale mixtures of normals. Using a common reference prior, we investigate the validity of Bayesian inference and the existence of posterior moments of the regression and scale parameters. We find that whereas existence of the posterior distribution does not depend on the choice of the design matrix or the mixing distribution, both of them can crucially intervene in…

《基于模拟的计量经济学方法》书评AI 解读

The accessibility of high-performance computing power has always influenced theoretical and applied econometrics. Gouriéroux and Monfort begin their recent offering, Simulation-Based Econometric Methods , with a stylized three-stage classification of the history of statistical econometrics. In the first stage, lasting through the 1960's, models and estimation methods were designed to produce closed-form expressions for the estimators. This spurred thorough investigation of…

《动态非线性计量模型：渐近理论》书评AI 解读

Benedikt Pötscher and Ingmar Prucha are two exceptional econometricians who combine an extraordinary knowledge of the statistics and econometrics literature with great analytical skills. Both are excellent mathematicians, and the comment that can be heard among mathematicians that econometricians are “self-made mathematicians” definitely does not apply to them. Therefore, given the task of writing an overview of asymptotic theory for minimization estimators for dependent…

样本极值的局部似然平滑AI 解读

Summary Trends in sample extremes are of interest in many contexts, an example being environmental statistics. Parametric models are often used to model trends in such data, but they may not be suitable for exploratory data analysis. This paper outlines a semiparametric approach to smoothing sample extremes, based on local polynomial fitting of the generalized extreme value distribution and related models. The uncertainty of fits is assessed by using resampling methods. The…