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利用长自回归估计脉冲响应函数AI 解读

This article proposes an alternative methodology to estimate impulse response functions without imposing parametric restrictions. The impulse responses are estimated by regressing the series of interest on estimated innovations, which are the residuals obtained from a prior-stage "long autoregression." We establish the consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator. Copyright Royal Economic Society 2007

含测量误差的受限因变量模型的两阶段估计AI 解读

This paper deals with censored or truncated regression models where the explanatory variables are measured with additive errors. We propose a two-stage estimation procedure that combines the instrumental variable method and the minimum distance estimation. This approach produces consistent and asymptotically normally distributed estimators for model parameters. When the predictor and instrumental variables are normally distributed, we also propose a maximum likelihood based…

混合条件异方差模型的贝叶斯推断AI 解读

We estimate by Bayesian inference the mixed conditional heteroskedasticity model of Haas et al. (2004a Journal of Financial Econometrics 2, 211--50). We construct a Gibbs sampler algorithm to compute posterior and predictive densities. The number of mixture components is selected by the marginal likelihood criterion. We apply the model to the SP500 daily returns. Copyright Royal Economic Society 2007

单位根附近无约束信息矩阵估计量的不一致性AI 解读

converges to a non-degenerate random variable and contributes to the asymptotic distribution of a Wald test for the null hypothesis of a random walk versus a stable AR(1) alternative. With this newly derived asymptotic distribution, the above Wald test is found to improve its performance. A non-local criterion of asymptotic relative efficiency based on Bahadur slopes has been employed for the first time to the problem of unit root testing. The Wald test derived in the paper…

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通过 LAD-lasso 实现稳健回归收缩与一致变量选择AI 解读

The least absolute deviation (LAD) regression is a useful method for robust regression, and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (lasso) is a popular choice for shrinkage estimation and variable selection. In this article we combine these two classical ideas together to produce LAD-lasso. Compared with the LAD regression, LAD-lasso can do parameter estimation and variable selection simultaneously. Compared with the traditional lasso, LAD-lasso is resistant to…

从不可比调查计算可比统计量：以印度贫困为例AI 解读

Applied economists are often interested in studying trends in economic indicators such as inequality or poverty; however, comparisons over time can be made impossible by changes in data collection methodology. We describe an easily implemented procedure, based on inverse probability weighting, that allows recovery of comparability of estimated parameters identified implicitly by a moment condition. The validity of the procedure requires the existence of a set of auxiliary…

分组数据的改进测量误差估计量AI 解读

Grouping models are widely used in economics but are subject to finite sample bias. I show that the standard errors-in-variables estimator is exactly equivalent to the jackknife instrumental variables estimator and use this relationship to develop an estimator which, unlike the standard errors-in-variables estimator, is unbiased in finite samples. The theoretical results are demonstrated using Monte Carlo experiments. Finally, I implement a model of intertemporal male labor…

通过变换回归构造分位数置信区间的修正代入法AI 解读

We propose a corrected plug-in method for constructing confidence intervals of the conditional quantiles of an original response variable through a transformed regression with heteroscedastic errors. The interval is easy to compute. Factors affecting the magnitude of the correction are examined analytically through the special case of Box–Cox regression. Monte Carlo simulations show that the new method works well in general and is superior over the commonly used delta method…

反卷积密度估计中的非参数置信带AI 解读

Summary Uniform confidence bands for densities f via non-parametric kernel estimates were first constructed by Bickel and Rosenblatt. In this paper this is extended to confidence bands in the deconvolution problem g=f*ψ for an ordinary smooth error density ψ. Under certain regularity conditions, we obtain asymptotic uniform confidence bands based on the asymptotic distribution of the maximal deviation (L∞-distance) between a deconvolution kernel estimator f^ and f. Further…

基于系数符号预测的模型选择方法AI 解读

Summary We consider a Bayesian model selection strategy based on predicting the signs of the coefficients in a regression model, i.e. we consider identification of coefficients in a full or encompassing model for which we can confidently predict whether they are positive or negative. This is useful when our main purpose in doing model selection is interpretation, since the sign of a coefficient is often of primary importance for this task. In the case of a linear model with…

配对研究与协变量测量误差中的正交局部辅助估计函数AI 解读

Summary We propose an estimating function method for two related applications, matched pair studies and studies with errors in covariates under a functional model, where a mismeasured unknown scalar covariate is treated as a fixed nuisance parameter. Our method addresses the severe inferential problem that is posed by an abundance of nuisance parameters in these two applications. We propose orthogonal locally ancillary estimating functions for these two applications that…

时间序列趋势的统计推断AI 解读

Summary We consider statistical inference of trends in mean non-stationary models. A test statistic is proposed for the existence of structural breaks in trends. On the basis of a strong invariance principle of stationary processes, we construct simultaneous confidence bands with asymptotically correct nominal coverage probabilities. The results are applied to global warming temperature data and Nile river flow data. Our confidence band of the trend of the global warming…

最优发现程序：同时显著性检验的新方法AI 解读

Summary The Neyman–Pearson lemma provides a simple procedure for optimally testing a single hypothesis when the null and alternative distributions are known. This result has played a major role in the development of significance testing strategies that are used in practice. Most of the work extending single-testing strategies to multiple tests has focused on formulating and estimating new types of significance measures, such as the false discovery rate. These methods tend to…

存在不依从且结局为二元变量的随机试验中治疗效应的估计AI 解读

Summary We propose a class of estimators of the treatment effect on a dichotomous outcome among the treated subjects within covariate and treatment arm strata in randomized trials with non-compliance. Recent papers by Vansteelandt and Goetghebeur, and Robins and Rotnitzky have presented consistent and asymptotically linear estimators of a causal odds ratio, which rely, beyond correct specification of a model for the causal odds ratio, on a correctly specified model for a…

未知误差分布下函数型测量误差模型的半参数估计AI 解读

Summary We consider functional measurement error models where the measurement error distribution is estimated non-parametrically. We derive a locally efficient semiparametric estimator but propose not to implement it owing to its numerical complexity. Instead, a plug-in estimator is proposed, where the measurement error distribution is estimated through non-parametric kernel methods based on multiple measurements. The root n consistency and asymptotic normality of the…

聚类数据的自助法AI 解读

Summary Various bootstraps have been proposed for bootstrapping clustered data from one-way arrays. The simulation results in the literature suggest that some of these methods work quite well in practice; the theoretical results are limited and more mixed in their conclusions. For example, McCullagh reached negative conclusions about the use of non-parametric bootstraps for one-way arrays. The purpose of this paper is to extend our understanding of the issues by discussing…

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时空协方差函数性质的非参数检验AI 解读

We propose a unified framework for testing various assumptions commonly made for covariance functions of stationary spatio-temporal random fields. The methodology is based on the asymptotic normality of space–time covariance estimators. We focus on tests for full symmetry and separability in this article, but our framework naturally covers testing for isotropy and Taylor's hypothesis. Our test successfully detects the asymmetric and nonseparable features in two sets of wind…