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Bayesian Graphical Compositional Regression for Microbiome Data

微生物组数据的贝叶斯图形成分回归

An important task in microbiome studies is to test the existence of and give characterization to differences in the microbiome composition across groups of samples. Important challenges of this problem include the large within-group heterogeneities among samples and the existence of potential confounding variables that, when ignored, increase the chance of false discoveries and reduce the power for identifying true differences. We propose a probabilistic framework to…

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MIMIX: A Bayesian Mixed-Effects Model for Microbiome Data From Designed Experiments

MIMIX:用于设计实验微生物组数据的贝叶斯混合效应模型

Recent advances in bioinformatics have made high-throughput microbiome data widely available, and new statistical tools are required to maximize the information gained from these data. For example, analysis of high-dimensional microbiome data from designed experiments remains an open area in microbiome research. Contemporary analyses work on metrics that summarize collective properties of the microbiome, but such reductions preclude inference on the fine-scale effects of…

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Bayesian Optimal Design for Ordinary Differential Equation Models With Application in Biological Science

常微分方程模型的贝叶斯最优设计及其生物科学应用

Bayesian optimal design is considered for experiments where the response distribution depends on the solution to a system of nonlinear ordinary differential equations. The motivation is an experiment to estimate parameters in the equations governing the transport of amino acids through cell membranes in human placentas. Decision-theoretic Bayesian design of experiments for such nonlinear models is conceptually very attractive, allowing the formal incorporation of prior…

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Testing and Estimation of Social Network Dependence With Time to Event Data

事件发生时间数据中的社会网络依赖检验与估计

Nowadays, events are spread rapidly along social networks. We are interested in whether people's responses to an event are affected by their friends' characteristics. For example, how soon will a person start playing a game given that his/her friends like it? Studying social network dependence is an emerging research area. In this work, we propose a novel latent spatial autocorrelation Cox model to study social network dependence with time-to-event data. The proposed model…

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Parsimonious Model Averaging With a Diverging Number of Parameters

参数维度增长下的简约模型平均

Model averaging generally provides better predictions than model selection, but the existing model averaging methods cannot lead to parsimonious models. Parsimony is an especially important property when the number of parameters is large. To achieve a parsimonious model averaging coefficient estimator, we suggest a novel criterion for choosing weights. Asymptotic properties are derived in two practical scenarios: (i) one or more correct models exist in the candidate model…

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Additive Functional Regression for Densities as Responses

以密度为响应的加性函数回归

We propose and investigate additive density regression, a novel additive functional regression model for situations where the responses are random distributions that can be viewed as random densities and the predictors are vectors. Data in the form of samples of densities or distributions are increasingly encountered in statistical analysis and there is a need for flexible regression models that accommodate random densities as responses. Such models are of special interest…

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Expected Conditional Characteristic Function-based Measures for Testing Independence

基于期望条件特征函数的独立性检验度量

We propose a novel class of independence measures for testing independence between two random vectors based on the discrepancy between the conditional and the marginal characteristic functions. The relation between our index and other similar measures is studied, which indicates that they all belong to a large framework of reproducing kernel Hilbert space. If one of the variables is categorical, our asymmetric index extends the typical ANOVA to a kernel ANOVA that can test a…

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A Simple Two-Sample Test in High Dimensions Based on L 2 -Norm

基于 L₂ 范数的简便高维两样本检验

Testing the equality of two means is a fundamental inference problem. For high-dimensional data, the Hotelling’s T2-test either performs poorly or becomes inapplicable. Several modifications have been proposed to address this issue. However, most of them are based on asymptotic normality of the null distributions of their test statistics which inevitably requires strong assumptions on the covariance. We study this problem thoroughly and propose an L2-norm based test that…

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Long-Range Dependent Curve Time Series

具有长程依赖的曲线时间序列

We introduce methods and theory for functional or curve time series with long-range dependence. The temporal sum of the curve process is shown to be asymptotically normally distributed, the conditions for this covering a functional version of fractionally integrated autoregressive moving averages. We also construct an estimate of the long-run covariance function, which we use, via functional principal component analysis, in estimating the orthonormal functions spanning the…

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A Generalized Gaussian Process Model for Computer Experiments With Binary Time Series

用于二元时间序列计算机实验的广义高斯过程模型

Non-Gaussian observations such as binary responses are common in some computer experiments. Motivated by the analysis of a class of cell adhesion experiments, we introduce a generalized Gaussian process model for binary responses, which shares some common features with standard GP models. In addition, the proposed model incorporates a flexible mean function that can capture different types of time series structures. Asymptotic properties of the estimators are derived, and an…

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Functional Censored Quantile Regression

函数型删失分位数回归

We propose a functional censored quantile regression model to describe the time-varying relationship between time-to-event outcomes and corresponding functional covariates. The time-varying effect is modeled as an unspecified function that is approximated via B-splines. A generalized approximate cross-validation method is developed to select the number of knots by minimizing the expected loss. We establish asymptotic properties of the method and the knot selection procedure.…

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Individualized Multilayer Tensor Learning With an Application in Imaging Analysis

个体化多层张量学习及其影像分析应用

This work is motivated by multimodality breast cancer imaging data, which is quite challenging in that the signals of discrete tumor-associated microvesicles are randomly distributed with heterogeneous patterns. This imposes a significant challenge for conventional imaging regression and dimension reduction models assuming a homogeneous feature structure. We develop an innovative multilayer tensor learning method to incorporate heterogeneity to a higher-order tensor…

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Nonnegative Matrix Factorization Via Archetypal Analysis

通过原型分析进行非负矩阵分解

Hamid Javadia* & Andrea Montanarib*a Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Rice University, Houston, TX; b Department of Electrical Engineering and Statistics, Stanford University, Stanford, CAColor versions of one or more of the figures in the article can be found online at www.tandfonline.com/r/JASA.Supplementary materials for this article are available online. Please go to www.tandfonline.com/r/JASA.CONTACT Hamid Javadi hrhakim@rice.edu Department of…

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Multiresolution Functional ANOVA for Large-Scale, Many-Input Computer Experiments

面向大规模多输入计算机实验的多分辨率函数型方差分析

The Gaussian process is a standard tool for building emulators for both deterministic and stochastic computer experiments. However, application of Gaussian process models is greatly limited in practice, particularly for large-scale and many-input computer experiments that have become typical. We propose a multiresolution functional ANOVA (MRFA) model as a computationally feasible emulation alternative. More generally, this model can be used for large-scale and many-input…

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Ensemble Kalman Methods for High-Dimensional Hierarchical Dynamic Space-Time Models

高维层级动态时空模型的集合卡尔曼方法

We propose a new class of filtering and smoothing methods for inference in high-dimensional, nonlinear, non-Gaussian, spatio-temporal state-space models. The main idea is to combine the ensemble Kalman filter and smoother, developed in the geophysics literature, with state-space algorithms from the statistics literature. Our algorithms address a variety of estimation scenarios, including online and off-line state and parameter estimation. We take a Bayesian perspective, for…

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Regression Analysis of Doubly Truncated Data

双重截断数据的回归分析

Doubly truncated data are found in astronomy, econometrics and survival analysis literature. They arise when each observation is confined to an interval, i.e., only those which fall within their respective intervals are observed along with the intervals. Unlike the one-sided truncation that can be handled by counting process-based approach, doubly truncated data are much more difficult to handle. In their analysis of an astronomical data set, Efron and Petrosian (1999)…

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Constrained Factor Models for High-Dimensional Matrix-Variate Time Series

高维矩阵值时间序列的约束因子模型

High-dimensional matrix-variate time series data are becoming widely available in many scientific fields, such as economics, biology, and meteorology. To achieve significant dimension reduction while preserving the intrinsic matrix structure and temporal dynamics in such data, Wang, Liu, and Chen proposed a matrix factor model, that is, shown to be able to provide effective analysis. In this article, we establish a general framework for incorporating domain and prior…

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Confidence Intervals for Sparse Penalized Regression With Random Designs

随机设计下稀疏惩罚回归的置信区间

With the abundance of large data, sparse penalized regression techniques are commonly used in data analysis due to the advantage of simultaneous variable selection and estimation. A number of convex as well as non-convex penalties have been proposed in the literature to achieve sparse estimates. Despite intense work in this area, how to perform valid inference for sparse penalized regression with a general penalty remains to be an active research problem. In this paper, by…

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A Geometric Variational Approach to Bayesian Inference

贝叶斯推断的几何变分方法

We propose a novel Riemannian geometric framework for variational inference in Bayesian models based on the nonparametric Fisher–Rao metric on the manifold of probability density functions. Under the square-root density representation, the manifold can be identified with the positive orthant of the unit hypersphere S∞ in L2, and the Fisher–Rao metric reduces to the standard L2 metric. Exploiting such a Riemannian structure, we formulate the task of approximating the…

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Smoothing With Couplings of Conditional Particle Filters

利用条件粒子滤波器耦合进行平滑

In state–space models, smoothing refers to the task of estimating a latent stochastic process given noisy measurements related to the process. We propose an unbiased estimator of smoothing expectations. The lack-of-bias property has methodological benefits: independent estimators can be generated in parallel, and CI can be constructed from the central limit theorem to quantify the approximation error. To design unbiased estimators, we combine a generic debiasing technique…

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Copula Link-Based Additive Models for Right-Censored Event Time Data

右删失事件时间数据的 Copula 连接加性模型

This article proposes an approach to estimate and make inference on the parameters of copula link-based survival models. The methodology allows for the margins to be specified using flexible parametric formulations for time-to-event data, the baseline survival functions to be modeled using monotonic splines, and each parameter of the assumed joint survival distribution to depend on an additive predictor incorporating several types of covariate effects. All the model’s…

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Estimation and Inference for Generalized Geoadditive Models

广义地理加性模型的估计与推断

In many application areas, data are collected on a count or binary response with spatial covariate information. In this article, we introduce a new class of generalized geoadditive models (GGAMs) for spatial data distributed over complex domains. Through a link function, the proposed GGAM assumes that the mean of the discrete response variable depends on additive univariate functions of explanatory variables and a bivariate function to adjust for the spatial effect. We…

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Estimating Dynamic Treatment Regimes in Mobile Health Using V-Learning

用 V-learning 估计移动健康中的动态处理策略

The vision for precision medicine is to use individual patient characteristics to inform a personalized treatment plan that leads to the best possible health-care for each patient. Mobile technologies have an important role to play in this vision as they offer a means to monitor a patient's health status in real-time and subsequently to deliver interventions if, when, and in the dose that they are needed. Dynamic treatment regimes formalize individualized treatment plans as…

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Nonparametric Estimation of Copula Regression Models With Discrete Outcomes

离散结果 Copula 回归模型的非参数估计

Multivariate discrete outcomes are common in a wide range of areas including insurance, finance, and biology. When the interplay between outcomes is significant, quantifying dependencies among interrelated variables is of great importance. Due to their ability to accommodate dependence flexibly, copulas are being applied increasingly. Yet, the application of copulas on discrete data is still in its infancy; one of the biggest barriers is the nonuniqueness of copulas, calling…

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