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动态面板模型中极大似然估计的偏差削减AI 解读

This paper investigates a simple dynamic linear panel regression model with both fixed effects and time effects. Using “large n and large T” asymptotics, we approximate the distribution of the fixed effect estimator of the autoregressive parameter in the dynamic linear panel model and derive its asymptotic bias. We find that the same higher order bias correction approach proposed by Hahn and Kuersteiner (2002, Econometrica 70, 1639–1659) can be applied to the dynamic linear…

动态面板离散选择模型的参数界AI 解读

Identification of dynamic nonlinear panel data models is an important and delicate problem in econometrics. In this paper we provide insights that shed light on the identification of parameters of some commonly used models. Using these insights, we are able to show through simple calculations that point identification often fails in these models. On the other hand, these calculations also suggest that the model restricts the parameter to lie in a region that is very small in…

含单位根与协整的短面板向量自回归：估计与推断AI 解读

This paper considers estimation and inference in panel vector autoregressions where (i) the individual effects are either random or fixed, (ii) the time-series properties of the model variables are unknown a priori and may feature unit roots and cointegrating relations, and (iii) the time dimension of the panel is short and its cross-sectional dimension is large. Generalized method of moments (GMM) and quasi maximum likelihood (QML) estimators are obtained and compared in…

动态面板数据模型中的偏误修正估计AI 解读

This study develops a new bias-corrected estimator for the fixed-effects dynamic panel data model and derives its limiting distribution for finite number of time periods, T, and large number of cross-section units, N. The bias-corrected estimator is derived as a bias correction of the least squares dummy variable (within) estimator. It does not share some of the drawbacks of recently developed instrumental variables and generalized method-of-moments estimators and is…

英国家庭面板调查中的健康动态AI 解读

Abstract This paper considers the dynamics of a categorical indicator of self‐assessed health using eight waves (1991–1998) of the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS). Our analysis has three focal points: the relative contributions of state dependence and heterogeneity in explaining the dynamics of health, the existence and consequences of health‐related sample attrition, and the investigation of the effects of measures of socioeconomic status, with a particular focus on…

面板协整：合并时间序列检验的渐近与有限样本性质及购买力平价应用AI 解读

We examine properties of residual-based tests for the null of no cointegration for dynamic panels in which both the short-run dynamics and the long-run slope coefficients are permitted to be heterogeneous across individual members of the panel. The tests also allow for individual heterogeneous fixed effects and trend terms, and we consider both pooled within dimension tests and group mean between dimension tests. We derive limiting distributions for these and show that they…

利用加速重要性采样器模拟估计动态离散选择面板模型AI 解读

With long time series for dynamic discrete choice panel models, the Geweke--Hajivassiliou--Keane sampler has been observed to have large biases and root-mean-square errors. The Richard--Zhang accelerated importance sampler is extended for the simulation estimation of such models. It is demonstrated to be adequate and can improve upon the Geweke--Hajivassiliou--Keane sampler for lengthy time-series panels by Monte Carlo means. Empirical applications of the proposed method on…

This paper investigates a generalized method of moments (GMM) approach to the estimation of autoregressive roots near unity with panel data and incidental deterministic trends. Such models arise in empirical econometric studies of firm size and in dynamic panel data modeling with weak instruments. The two moment conditions in the GMM approach are obtained by constructing bias corrections to the score functions under OLS and GLS detrending, respectively. It is shown that the…

动态面板数据估计量的时间维度与截面维度渐近性质AI 解读

In this paper we derive the asymptotic properties of within groups (WG), GMM, and LIML estimators for an autoregressive model with random effects when both T and N tend to infinity. GMM and LIML are consistent and asymptotically equivalent to the WG estimator. When T/N→ 0 the fixed T results for GMM and LIML remain valid, but WG, although consistent, has an asymptotic bias in its asymptotic distribution. When T/N tends to a positive constant, the WG, GMM, and LIML estimators…

This paper deals with cross section dependence, homogeneity restrictions and small sample bias issues in dynamic panel regressions. To address the bias problem we develop a panel approach to median unbiased estimation that takes account of cross section dependence. The estimators given here considerably reduce the effects of bias and gain precision from estimating cross section error correlation. This paper also develops an asymptotic theory for tests of coefficient…

烟草支出面板估计中的个体异质性与删失AI 解读

Abstract A panel of households is used to test the rational addiction model of Becker et al. ( 1994 ). These data raise problems of measurement errors, censoring, and unobservable heterogeneity. We use sample separation information to exclude those households who never purchase tobacco. To deal with the remaining zeros we compare specifications based on infrequency of purchase and on censoring. GMM and system‐GMM are used to deal with errors‐in‐variables and unobservable…

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具有相互相关性的动态面板模型适合性检验AI 解读

We give several definitions of residual autocorrelations and derive their joint asymptotic distribution for the panel time series model of Hjellvik & Tjøstheim (1999a). A portmanteau goodness‐of‐fit test arises naturally from the asymptotic distribution. Simulation results show that the asymptotic standard errors compared satisfactorily with the empirical standard errors, that the goodness‐of‐fit test has reasonable empirical size, and that it is powerful enough to be useful…

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含固定效应的动态面板 Logit 模型的信息界AI 解读

In this paper, I calculate the semiparametric information bound in two dynamic panel data logit models with individual specific effects. In such a model without any other regressors, it is well known that the conditional maximum likelihood estimator yields a √ n -consistent estimator. In the case where the model includes strictly exogenous continuous regressors, Honoré and Kyriazidou (2000, Econometrica 68, 839–874) suggest a consistent estimator whose rate of convergence is…

动态面板样本选择模型的估计AI 解读

This paper considers the problem of identification and estimation in panel data sample selection models with a binary selection rule, when the latent equations contain strictly exogenous variables, lags of the dependent variables, and unobserved individual effects. We derive a set of conditional moment restrictions which are then exploited to construct two-step GMM-type estimators for the parameters of the main equation. In the first step, the unknown parameters of the…

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动态面板模型中的合并估计：GDP增长率预测应用AI 解读

In this article, we analyze issues of pooling models for a given set of N individual units observed over T periods of time. When the parameters of the models are different but exhibit some similarity, pooling may lead to a reduction of the mean squared error of the estimates and forecasts. We investigate theoretically and through simulations the conditions that lead to improved performance of forecasts based on pooled estimates. We show that the superiority of pooled…

非动态面板中的门槛效应：估计、检验与推断AI 解读

Threshold regression methods are developed for non-dynamic panels with individual-specific fixed effects. Least squares estimation of the threshold and regression slopes is proposed using fixed-effects transformations. A non-standard asymptotic theory of inference is developed which allows construction of confidence intervals and testing of hypotheses. The methods are applied to a 15-year sample of 565 US firms to test whether financial constraints affect investment…

固定效应动态面板模型的初始条件有多大信息量？AI 解读

I consider estimation of the autoregressive panel model with fixed effects yit=ci+βyi,t−1+εit. I investigate the estimation method developed by Blundell and Bond (1998), which makes use of the stationarity of the initial levels. I do it by numerically comparing the semiparametric information bounds for the case that incorporates the stationarity of the initial condition and for the case that does not. It is found that the efficiency gain can be substantial.

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动态异质面板的混合均值组估计AI 解读

It is now quite common to have panels in which both T, the number of time series observations, and N, the number of groups, are quite large and of the same order of magnitude. The usual practice is either to estimate N separate regressions and calculate the coefficient means, which we call the mean group (MG) estimator, or to pool the data and assume that the slope coefficients and error variances are identical. In this article we propose an intermediate procedure, the…