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Bootstrap 与重抽样:自助法、子抽样、置换与随机化推断。
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The Effect of Estimating Weights in Weighted Least Squares

估计权重对加权最小二乘的影响

In weighted least squares, it is typical that the weights are unknown and must be estimated. Most packages provide standard errors assuming that the weights are known. This is fine for sufficiently large sample sizes, but what about for small-to-moderate sample sizes? The investigation of this article into the effect of estimating weights proceeds under the assumption typical in practice—that one has a parametric model for the variance function. In this context, generalized…

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On Symmetric Bootstrap Confidence Intervals

对称 Bootstrap 置信区间

SUMMARY It is shown that in quite general circumstances, symmetric percentile-t bootstrap confidence intervals have coverage error O(n –2), where n denotes sample size. This compares with an error of roughly constant n –1 for equal-tailed percentile-t confidence intervals. It is also proved that symmetric intervals are not necessarily any longer than equal-tailed intervals. Arguments based on Edgeworth and Cornish–Fisher expansions are used to predict circumstances in which…

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Conditional Inference for Restricted Randomization Designs

受限随机化设计的条件推断

In a clinical trial to compare two treatments, suppose that patients are assigned to treatment according to a certain class of restricted randomization rules. Conditional on the difference in numbers between the two treatment groups, the asymptotic null distribution of a class of permutation tests is shown to be Gaussian.

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On Resampling Methods for Variance and Bias Estimation in Linear Models

线性模型中方差与偏差估计的重抽样方法

Let $g$ be a nonlinear function of the regression parameters $\beta$ in a heteroscedastic linear model and $\hat{\beta}$ be the least squares estimator of $\beta.$ We consider the estimation of the variance and bias of $g(\hat{\beta})$ [as an estimator of $g(\beta)$] by using three resampling methods: the weighted jackknife, the unweighted jackknife and the bootstrap. The asymptotic orders of the mean squared errors and biases of the resampling variance and bias estimators…

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Theoretical Comparison of Bootstrap Confidence Intervals

We develop a unified framework within which many commonly used bootstrap critical points and confidence intervals may be discussed and compared. In all, seven different bootstrap methods are examined, each being usable in both parametric and nonparametric contexts. Emphasis is on the way in which the methods cope with first- and second-order departures from normality. Percentile-$t$ and accelerated bias-correction emerge as the most promising of existing techniques. Certain…

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Balanced Simultaneous Confidence Sets

平衡的同时置信集

Suppose that T(θ) = {Tu (θ)} is a family of parametric functions indexed by the variable u. For each u, an approximate confidence set Cn,u for Tu (θ) may be obtained by referring a function of Tu (θ) and the sample to an estimated quantile dn,u of that function's sampling distribution. This approach is sometimes called the pivotal method for constructing a confidence set, even when it is not based on a true pivot. A simultaneous confidence set Cn for T(θ) is then obtained by…

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Importance Sampling for Bootstrap Confidence Intervals

用于 Bootstrap 置信区间的重要性抽样

The use of importance-sampling methods to substantially reduce the amount of resampling necessary for the construction of nonparametric bootstrap confidence intervals is investigated. The classical importance-sampling method of Hammersley and Handscomb (1964) is modified to apply to the estimation of quantiles. Based on this method, a resampling procedure is introduced that recenters the bootstrap distribution of a robust estimator of location to produce estimated confidence…

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Prepivoting Test Statistics: A Bootstrap View of Asymptotic Refinements

检验统计量的预枢轴化:渐近改进的 Bootstrap 视角

Approximate tests for a composite null hypothesis about a parameter θ may be obtained by referring a test statistic to an estimated critical value. Either asymptotic theory or bootstrap methods can be used to estimate the desired quantile. The simple asymptotic test ϕA refers the test statistic to a quantile of its asymptotic null distribution after unknown parameters have been estimated. The bootstrap approach used here is based on the concept of prepivoting. Prepivoting is…

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Variance Stabilization and the Bootstrap

方差稳定化与 Bootstrap

We investigate the use of a variance stabilizing transformation for the computation of a bootstrap t confidence interval. The transformation is estimated in an ‘automatic’ manner through an initial bootstrap step. A bootstrap t interval is then computed for the variance stabilized parameter and the interval is mapped back to the original scale. The resultant procedure is second-order correct in some settings, invariant and in a number of examples it performs better than the…

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Saddlepoint Approximations in Resampling Methods

重抽样方法中的鞍点近似

Saddlepoint approximations are shown to be easy to use and accurate in a variety of simple bootstrap and randomization applications. Examples include mean estimation, ratio estimation, two-sample comparisons, and autoregressive estimation.

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Bootstrap Methods

Bootstrap 方法

SUMMARY A survey of some developments in bootstrap methodology is given. Topics include confidence limits, significance tests, empirical likelihoods, conditioning, double bootstrapping, and numerical techniques. Special attention is given to regression problems. There are brief remarks about more complex problems, including variance component problems, time series and nonparametric regression.

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A Review of Bootstrap Confidence Intervals

自助法置信区间综述

SUMMARY A survey of bootstrap procedures for constructing confidence regions is given. In particular, several distinct bootstrap methods are considered, with emphasis on the mathematical correctness of these procedures. The percentile, bias-corrected percentile and accelerated bias-corrected percentile methods, developed by Efron, are reviewed in both parametric and nonparametric situations. A procedure related to the accelerated bias-corrected method, which avoids explicit…

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On Weak Convergence and Optimality of Kernel Density Estimates of the Mode

核密度众数估计的弱收敛与最优性

A mode of a probability density $f(t)$ is a value $\theta$ that maximizes $f$. The problem of estimating the location of the mode is considered here. Estimates of the mode are considered via kernel density estimates. Previous results on this problem have several serious drawbacks. Conditions on the underlying density $f$ are imposed globally (rather than locally in a neighborhood of $\theta$). Moreover, fixed bandwidth sequences are considered, resulting in an estimate of…

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A Note on Bootstrapping the Correlation Coefficient

关于相关系数自助法的说明

Smoothed bootstrap estimation of the sampling standard deviation of the variance-stabilized correlation coefficient is reconsidered. An approximation to the mean squared error of the bootstrap estimator is obtained and an empirical procedure for choosing the degree of smoothing in the bootstrap estimation is presented. Performance of the procedure is examined in a simulation study.

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Bootstrapping in Nonparametric Regression: Local Adaptive Smoothing and Confidence Bands

非参数回归中的自助法:局部自适应平滑与置信带

The operation of the bootstrap in the context of nonparametric regression is considered. Bootstrap samples are taken from estimated residuals to study the distribution of a suitably recentered kernel estimator. The application of this principle to the problem of local adaptive choice of bandwidth and to the construction of confidence bands is investigated and compared with a direct method based on asymptotic means and variances. The technique of the bootstrap is to replace…

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Resampling Inference with Complex Survey Data

复杂调查数据的重采样推断

Methods for standard errors and confidence intervals for nonlinear statistics —such as ratios, regression, and correlation coefficients—have been extensively studied for stratified multistage designs in which the clusters are sampled with replacement, in particular, the important special case of two sampled clusters per stratum. These methods include the customary linearization (or Taylor) method and resampling methods based on the jackknife and balanced repeated replication…

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Estimating the Cost of a Warranty

The cost of certain types of warranties is closely related to functions that arise in renewal theory. The problem of estimating the warranty cost for a random sample of size n can be reduced to estimating these functions. In an earlier paper, I gave several methods of estimating the expected number of renewals, called the renewal function. This answered an important accounting question of how to arrive at a good approximation of the expected warranty cost. In this article,…

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Nonparametric tests of population differences and estimation of the probability of misidentification with unidentified paired data

总体身份不明的配对数据:总体差异检验与误识别概率估计

A modified Mann-Whitney statistic is used to construct a permutation test for comparing samples of paired data from two populations when the population identities of each pair are uncertain. An estimator of the probability of population misidentification within a pair is also proposed. This is based on the Lehmann family of distributions. Simulation results show the new methods are generally as or more effective than existing normal theory methods unless there is strong…

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On bootstrap resampling and iteration

Bootstrap 重抽样与迭代

We propose a single unifying approach to bootstrap resampling, applicable to a very wide range of statistical problems. It enables attention to be focused sharply on one or more characteristics which are of major importance in any particular problem, such as coverage error or length for confidence intervals, or bias for point estimation. Our approach leads easily and directly to a very general form of bootstrap iteration, unifying and generalizing present disparate accounts…

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Histospline smoothing the Bayesian bootstrap

贝叶斯自助法的直方样条平滑

This paper describes a version of the Bayesian bootstrap that assigns random Dirichlet mass uniformly across statistically equivalent blocks. The method requires prior knowledge that the underlying distribution is continuous with known compact support. Under these conditions, the resulting analysis has three advantages over traditional bootstrap competitors. First, it takes account of the probability integral transformation. Secondly, it often enables exact expressions for…

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Variance stabilization and the bootstrap

方差稳定化与自助法

We investigate the use of a variance stabilizing transformation for the computation of a bootstrap t confidence interval. The transformation is estimated in an ‘automatic’ manner through an initial bootstrap step. A bootstrap t interval is then computed for the variance stabilized parameter and the interval is mapped back to the original scale. The resultant procedure is second-order correct in some settings, invariant and in a number of examples it performs better than the…

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