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估计方程的广义自助法AI 解读

We introduce a generalized bootstrap technique for estimators obtained by solving estimating equations. Some special cases of this generalized bootstrap are the classical bootstrap of Efron, the delete-d jackknife and variations of the Bayesian bootstrap. The use of the proposed technique is discussed in some examples. Distributional consistency of the method is established and an asymptotic representation of the resampling variance estimator is obtained.

非平衡时间序列数据的非参数推断AI 解读

This paper is concerned with the practical problem of conducting inference in a vector time series setting when the data are unbalanced or incomplete. In this case, one can work with only the common sample, to which a standard HAC/bootstrap theory applies, but at the expense of throwing away data and perhaps losing efficiency. An alternative is to use some sort of imputation method, but this requires additional modeling assumptions, which we would rather avoid. We show how…

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性别职业隔离研究中缩减职业分类空间的算法AI 解读

Abstract This paper presents an algorithm based on the bootstrap to select an admissible aggregation level, that is, the minimum number of occupational categories that yield a gender segregation value not significantly smaller than that obtained from the large number of occupational categories usually available in any data set. The approach is illustrated using labour force survey data for Spain for the comparison of gender segregation in 1977 and 1992, as well as 1994 and…

条件密度估计的交叉验证方法AI 解读

We extend the idea of crossvalidation to choose the smoothing parameters of the ‘double-kernel’ local linear regression for estimating a conditional density. Our selection rule optimises the estimated conditional density function by minimising the integrated squared error. We also discuss three other bandwidth selection rules, an ad hoc method used by Fan et al. (1996), a bootstrap method of Hall et al. (1999) for bandwidth selection in the estimation of conditional…

多元失效时间数据的加性风险模型AI 解读

Marginal additive hazards models are considered for multivariate survival data in which individuals may experience events of several types and there may also be correlation between individuals. Estimators are proposed for the parameters of such models and for the baseline hazard functions. The estimators of the regression coeffcients are shown asymptotically to follow a multivariate normal distribution with a sandwich-type covariance matrix that can be consistently…

利用多步多尺度自助重抽样构造区域的近似无偏检验AI 解读

Approximately unbiased tests based on bootstrap probabilities are considered for the exponential family of distributions with unknown expectation parameter vector, where the null hypothesis is represented as an arbitrary-shaped region with smooth boundaries. This problem has been discussed previously in Efron and Tibshirani [Ann. Statist. 26 (1998) 1687–1718], and a corrected p-value with second-order asymptotic accuracy is calculated by the two-level bootstrap of Efron,…

序贯蒙特卡洛方法的中心极限定理及其贝叶斯推断应用AI 解读

The term “sequential Monte Carlo methods” or, equivalently, “particle filters,” refers to a general class of iterative algorithms that performs Monte Carlo approximations of a given sequence of distributions of interest (πt). We establish in this paper a central limit theorem for the Monte Carlo estimates produced by these computational methods. This result holds under minimal assumptions on the distributions πt, and applies in a general framework which encompasses most of…

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空间子抽样方差估计的最优子样本规模AI 解读

We consider the problem of determining the optimal block (or subsample) size for a spatial subsampling method for spatial processes observed on regular grids. We derive expansions for the mean square error of the subsampling variance estimator, which yields an expression for the theoretically optimal block size. The optimal block size is shown to depend in an intricate way on the geometry of the spatial sampling region as well as characteristics of the underlying random…

多元统计量的变换AI 解读

This paper derives transformations for multivariate statistics that eliminate asymptotic skewness, extending the results of Niki and Konishi (1986, Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics 38, 371–383). Within the context of valid Edgeworth expansions for such statistics we first derive the set of equations that such a transformation must satisfy and second propose a local solution that is sufficient up to the desired order. Application of these results yields two…

利用 Cholesky 分解进行多元谱分析AI 解读

We propose to smooth the Cholesky decomposition of a raw estimate of a multivariate spectrum, allowing different degrees of smoothness for different elements. The final spectral estimate is reconstructed from the smoothed Cholesky elements, and is consistent and positive definite. More importantly, the Cholesky decomposition matrix of the spectrum can be used as a transfer function in generating time series whose spectrum is identical to the given spectrum at the Fourier…

受试者工作特征曲线的非参数置信区间AI 解读

We study methods for constructing confidence intervals and confidence bands for estimators of receiver operating characteristics. Particular emphasis is placed on the way in which smoothing should be implemented, when estimating either the characteristic itself or its variance. We show that substantial undersmoothing is necessary if coverage properties are not to be impaired. A theoretical analysis of the problem suggests an empirical, plug‐in rule for bandwidth choice,…

利用子抽样进行空间各向同性的非参数检验AI 解读

A common requirement for spatial modeling is the development of an appropriate correlation structure. Although the assumption of isotropy is often made for this structure, it is not always appropriate. A conventional practice when checking for isotropy is to informally assess plots of direction-specific sample (semi)variograms. Although a useful diagnostic, these graphical techniques are difficult to assess and open to interpretation. Formal alternatives to graphical…

通过似然基追踪进行变量选择与模型构建AI 解读

This article presents a nonparametric penalized likelihood approach for variable selection and model building, called likelihood basis pursuit (LBP). In the setting of a tensor product reproducing kernel Hilbert space, we decompose the log-likelihood into the sum of different functional components such as main effects and interactions, with each component represented by appropriate basis functions. Basis functions are chosen to be compatible with variable selection and model…

预测误差的估计AI 解读

Having constructed a data-based estimation rule, perhaps a logistic regression or a classification tree, the statistician would like to know its performance as a predictor of future cases. There are two main theories concerning prediction error: (1) penalty methods such as Cp, Akaike's information criterion, and Stein's unbiased risk estimate that depend on the covariance between data points and their corresponding predictions; and (2) cross-validation and related…

单变量比例风险脆弱性回归模型的稳健推断AI 解读

We consider a class of semiparametric regression models which are one-parameter extensions of the Cox [J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. B 34 (1972) 187–220] model for right-censored univariate failure times. These models assume that the hazard given the covariates and a random frailty unique to each individual has the proportional hazards form multiplied by the frailty. The frailty is assumed to have mean 1 within a known one-parameter family of distributions. Inference is based…

美国医院行业规模报酬的非参数分析AI 解读

Abstract This paper presents new estimates of scale economies for US hospitals. We show that the common translog specification of hospital costs is a misspecification, and employ nonparametric, local linear estimation with both continuous and discrete covariates. A bootstrap method is used to provide inferences regarding ray scale economies and expansion path scale economies for a large sample of hospitals covering 1984–1996. We find evidence of changes in the structure of…

相关回归误差的非参数检测AI 解读

In regression problems it is hard to detect correlated errors since the errors are not observed. In this paper, a nonparametric method is proposed for the detection of correlated errors when the design points are equally spaced. It turns out that the first‐order sample autocovariance of the residuals from the kernel regression estimates provides essential information about correlated errors and its bootstrap is quite effective in implementing such information.

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响应随机缺失时的半参数回归分析AI 解读

We develop inference tools in a semiparametric partially linear regression model with missing response data. A class of estimators is defined that includes as special cases a semiparametric regression imputation estimator, a marginal average estimator, and a (marginal) propensity score weighted estimator. We show that any of our class of estimators is asymptotically normal. The three special estimators have the same asymptotic variance. They achieve the semiparametric…