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A NONPARAMETRIC BOOTSTRAP TEST OF CONDITIONAL DISTRIBUTIONS

参数条件分布的非参数 Bootstrap 检验

This paper proposes a bootstrap test for the correct specification of parametric conditional distributions. It extends Zheng's test (Zheng, 2000, Econometric Theory 16, 667–691) to allow for discrete dependent variables and for mixed discrete and continuous conditional variables. We establish the asymptotic null distribution of the test statistic with data-driven stochastic smoothing parameters. By smoothing both the discrete and continuous variables via the method of…

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A CONSISTENT NONPARAMETRIC EQUALITY TEST OF CONDITIONAL QUANTILE FUNCTIONS

条件分位数函数相等的相合非参数检验

This paper proposes a consistent nonparametric test for testing for equality of unknown conditional quantile curves across subgroups within a survey data framework. Moreover, to improve the small-sample performance of the test, we propose a modified version of wild bootstrap procedure in a quantile context. Monte Carlo evidence shows that the performance of the test in small samples is adequate but is improved significantly when the bootstrap critical values are used.I thank…

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Forecasting Cause-Age Specific Mortality Using Two Random Processes

利用两个随机过程预测死因—年龄特定死亡人数

Mortality forecasts are critical information for assessing the health of a population and are necessary for making informed decisions about how best to direct health-related resources and activities. Timeliness in making health statistics available is crucial to identify and address current health problems. Being motivated to meet these needs, we propose a method to forecast the number of cause-age specific deaths through a two random processes model. Unlike the previous…

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Bootstrap Approximations in Model Checks for Binary Data

二元数据模型检验中的自助法近似

Consider a binary regression model in which the conditional expectation of a binary variable given an explanatory variable belongs to a parametric family. To check whether a sequence of independent and identically distributed observations belongs to such a parametric family, we use Kolmogorov–Smirnov and Cramér–von Mises type tests based on a marked empirical process introduced by Stute. We propose and study a new resampling scheme for a bootstrap in this setup to…

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Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Linear and Nonlinear Time Series Models

线性与非线性时间序列模型的拟合优度检验

In this article we study a general class of goodness-of-fit tests for a parametric conditional mean of a linear or nonlinear time series model. Among the properties of the proposed tests are that they are suitable when the conditioning set is infinite-dimensional; that they are consistent against a broad class of alternatives, including Pitman's local alternatives converging at the parametric rate n−1/2, with n the sample size; and that they do not need to choose a lag order…

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On the accelerated failure time model for current status and interval censored data

现状及区间删失数据的加速失效时间模型

This paper introduces a novel approach to making inference about the regression parameters in the accelerated failure time model for current status and interval censored data. The estimator is constructed by inverting a Wald-type test for testing a null proportional hazards model. A numerically efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo based resampling method is proposed for obtaining simultaneously the point estimator and a consistent estimator of its variance-covariance matrix.…

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Rank-based regression for analysis of repeated measures

重复测量分析中的秩回归

We consider rank-based regression models for repeated measures. To account for possible withinsubject correlations, we decompose the total ranks into between- and within-subject ranks and obtain two different estimators based on between- and within-subject ranks. A simple perturbation method is then introduced to generate bootstrap replicates of the estimating functions and the parameter estimates. This provides a convenient way for combining the corresponding two types of…

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A k-sample test with interval censored data

区间删失数据的多样本检验

The problem of testing for the equality of k distribution functions under Case 2 interval censoring is studied and a supremum-type test statistic is proposed based on the differences between the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator and the so-called leveraged bootstrap estimator of the k underlying distributions. The proposed test is distributionfree and consistent against all alternatives. As the main results hold for a wide range of resampling sizes, a data-driven…

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Generalized score test of homogeneity for mixed effects models

混合效应模型同质性的广义得分检验

Many important problems in psychology and biomedical studies require testing for overdispersion, correlation and heterogeneity in mixed effects and latent variable models, and score tests are particularly useful for this purpose. But the existing testing procedures depend on restrictive assumptions. In this paper we propose a class of test statistics based on a general mixed effects model to test the homogeneity hypothesis that all of the variance components are zero. Under…

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Assessing extrema of empirical principal component functions

经验主成分函数极值的评估

The difficulties of estimating and representing the distributions of functional data mean that principal component methods play a substantially greater role in functional data analysis than in more conventional finite-dimensional settings. Local maxima and minima in principal component functions are of direct importance; they indicate places in the domain of a random function where influence on the function value tends to be relatively strong but of opposite sign. We explore…

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On Parametric Bootstrap Methods for Small Area Prediction

小区域预测的参数自助法

Summary The particularly wide range of applications of small area prediction, e.g. in policy making decisions, has meant that this topic has received substantial attention in recent years. The problems of estimating mean-squared predictive error, of correcting that estimator for bias and of constructing prediction intervals have been addressed by various workers, although existing methodology is still restricted to a narrow range of models. To overcome this difficulty we…

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