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Evaluation of Determinants, Characteristic Equations and Their Roots for a Class of Patterned Matrices

一类具有特定结构的矩阵的行列式、特征方程及其根的计算

SUMMARY The variance–covariance matrices arising in the analysis of variance, response-surface fitting and order statistics have special patterns expediting and facilitating their algebraic manipulation. By appropriate triangulation and partitioning devices, the determinants of these matrices can be evaluated from general formulae. The characteristic equations, and sometimes their roots, can also be obtained in a direct single step.

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A Method of Estimation of Missing Values in Multivariate Data Suitable for Use with an Electronic Computer

适于计算机实现的多元数据缺失值估计方法

SUMMARY Estimation of statistical parameters from multivariate data results in wasted information, if units with incomplete data are rejected entirely, and perhaps in inconsistencies in the variance–covariance matrix if the variances and correlation coefficients are estimated from all available data on individual variates and pairs of variates respectively. An alternative is to estimate the missing values by regression techniques and to calculate a revised…

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Regression Analysis When There is Prior Information About Supplementary Variables

Summary In estimating the regression coefficient of y on x, we can sometimes increase precision by using supplementary observations, u. We need to have prior information about the form of the relations among y, x, and u. An implication for experimental design is noted.

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Maximum-Likelihood Estimation Procedures and Associated Tests of Significance

最大似然估计程序及其配套显著性检验

Summary The essence of many statistical problems, including most standard techniques, is to test whether or not the unknown parameters of an appropriate statistical model satisfy certain restrictions; and the outcome of such a test dictates whether it is necessary to provide estimates of these parameters which also satisfy the restrictions. In this paper we discuss and illustrate the relative merits, as practical tools for the consulting statistician, of two large-sample…

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Estimation of Parameters in Time-Series Regression Models

时间序列回归模型的参数估计

Summary We consider the estimation of the coefficients in a general linear regression model in which some of the explanatory variables are lagged values of the dependent variable. For discussing optimum properties the concept of best unbiased linear estimating equations is developed. It is shown that when the errors are normally distributed the method of least squares leads to optimum estimates. The properties of the least-squares estimates are shown to be the same…

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On the Theory of Classical Regression and Double Sampling Estimation

经典回归与双重抽样估计的理论

Summary This paper examines the various classical results in the theory of regression and double sampling estimation and extends them to the study of a finite population.

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A Note on Prediction from an Autoregressive Process Using Pistimetric Probability

利用 Pistimetric 概率预测自回归过程的说明

Summary The distributions of the parameters and of the future values of a Markov scheme are obtained by a technique which combines the use of Bayes' theorem with the method of inference sometimes considered appropriate to situations where there exist sufficient estimators.

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On Selecting the Largest of k Normal Population Means

从若干正态总体中选择最大均值

Summary Consider a k-variate normal distribution with unknown means μ 1, …, μk and with equal variances and equal covariances whose values are known; the problem is to select the variate associated with μ max using a single-sample procedure of size n, and, in particular, to determine the required value of n. Previous work is reviewed. New results are given assuming that the population means μ 1, …, μk have a joint a priori normal distribution with means U 1, …, Uk known up…

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Confidence Regions in Non-Linear Estimation

非线性估计中的置信区域

Summary The statistical properties of the approximate confidence regions for nonlinear estimation based on the likelihood ratio criterion are considered, assuming normal variation of errors. It is suggested that these approximate confidence regions are preferable to any known exact confidence regions for this problem, provided that the model is only moderately non-linear. A numerical measure of the non-linearity of a model (as a function of the experimental design and the…

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The Most Economical Sequential Sampling Scheme for Inspection by Variables

计量检验中最经济的序贯抽样方案

Summary The two-point prior distribution of Barnard (1954) is used and leads to a method for calculating most economical sampling schemes for variables. An example is worked out where observations on items are normally distributed, and an application is given to determining most economical sampling schemes for group sequential sampling for attributes.

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The Efficiency of Automatic Winding Machines with Constant Patrolling Time

固定巡检间隔下自动络筒机的效率

Summary The problem is that of maximizing the average efficiency of a machine which (i) stops when its total running time has reached a fixed value a, (ii) has accidental stops, and (iii) is patrolled for servicing (i.e. re-starting if necessary) at a fixed interval p which may be less than a, efficiency being defined as the ratio of the running time to the total time under consideration. The probability distribution of the number of patrols required to exhaust the total…

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Estimation of Location and Scale Parameters for the Rectangular Population from Censored Samples

基于删失样本的均匀总体位置与尺度参数估计

Summary Best linear estimates of location and scale parameters under conditions of Type II censoring are obtained for the rectangular distribution. In addition, functions of the location and scale parameters such as the start and end of the distribution, as well as percentile points, are also estimable. A special case occurs where the rectangular distribution starts at the origin. Tables are available from the authors to furnish coefficients to facilitate all computations…

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Control Charts and Stochastic Processes

控制图与随机过程

Summary A new approach to control charts for industrial processes is suggested, based on the idea that the underlying stochastic process should be specified, its parameters estimated, and the control procedure related to these. Optimum estimators are derived, and practical approximations to these are indicated.

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The Comparison of Regression Variables

Summary Hotelling's test of significance for difference in efficiency of predictors is reformulated in terms of regression analysis. A test proposed by Healy is shown to differ from Hotelling’s test in general.

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Censored Observations in Randomized Block Experiments

随机区组实验中的删失观测

SUMMARY Maximum likelihood methods are developed for the analysis of data from randomized block experiments, when some of the observations are censored. A modification of the maximum likelihood process, intended to produce approximately unbiased estimates of variance, is described, and the results of some numerical investigations into its efficacy are reported. Analogues of the t-test, using two alternative formulae for standard errors of differences, are considered, with…

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A Different Loss Function for the Choice between Two Populations

两总体选择问题中的另一种损失函数

SUMMARY In previous discussions of the problem of balancing sampling costs against the cost of choosing the wrong population it has been assumed that the cost of sampling is equal to the sample size multiplied by a constant known unit cost. In the present paper the cost of sampling is assumed to be the cost of an incorrect choice for half of the sample programme (which is divided evenly between the two populations). The resulting loss function is considered when the choice…

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Bandwidth and Resolvability in Statistical Spectral Analysis

统计谱分析中的带宽与分辨能力

SUMMARY The purpose of this paper is to refute Grenander’s latest objections to the authors' work on statistical spectral analysis, and to clarify the distinction between resolvability, bandwidth, and bias.

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A Statistical Theory of Remnants

余料的统计理论

SUMMARY In certain manufacturing processes where varying lengths of material are produced and subsequently cut up into unit lengths the problem of loss from wasted material arises. In this paper we postulate a statistical model of such a process and study how and in what sense we may minimize this loss. Two simple tests of whether a process is under optimum control are proposed. Finally we consider briefly two extensions of the theory to corresponding problems in k…

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Some Simple Duration-Dependent Stochastic Processes

若干依赖累计停留时长的随机过程

SUMMARY The problem considered is that of two discrete states in continuous time; the transition probabilities depend on the total time, t, spent in, say, state 1. The probability that at a given time τ the process is in state i and the total time spent in state 1 lies in (t, t + δt) is derived. Some limiting cases for which the transition probabilities are powers of t are considered. The probability that the total time spent in state 1 reaches t in the interval (τ τ+ δτ) is…

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On the Distribution of Various Sums of Squares in an Analysis of Variance Table for Different Classifications with Correlated and Non-Homogeneous Errors

相关且非齐性误差下多因素方差分析中各平方和的分布

SUMMARY The distributions of various sums of squares in an analysis of variance table for two-way classification have been obtained by Box (1954b), under the assumption that the row-vectors X.j(j = 1, 2, …, q) are independent vector observations from a p-variate normal population, where X.j consists of those p observations which correspond to the p levels of a factor A, for the j th level of another factor B. This paper gives the distributions of the various sums of squares…

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On Some Problems of Machine Interference

机器服务干扰的若干问题

SUMMARY The problem of interference arises when a team of operatives is attending a set of machines, these being assumed to have a certain servicing factor. In this paper an estimator of the servicing factor and a simple expression for the machine efficiency are introduced. A loss function is also given, with a method for the determination of an appropriate number of operatives to be applied for the attendance of the machines.

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The Estimation of Relationships with Autocorrelated Residuals by the Use of Instrumental Variables

用工具变量估计残差自相关的关系

SUMMARY The instrumental variables method of estimating the coefficients of a linear relationship between time series which have measurement errors is applied to the case where the coefficients are functions of a set of parameters. The asymptotic error variance matrix of the estimates is obtained, asymptotic tests for the existence and identification of the suggested form of relationship are suggested, and asymptotic confidence regions are given. The general theory is then…

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