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含变量测量误差动态模型的模拟最小距离估计AI 解读

Empirical analysis often involves using inexact measures of the predictors suggested by economic theory. The bias created by the correlation between the mismeasured regressors and the error term motivates the need for instrumental variable estimation. This paper considers a class of estimators that can be used in dynamic models with measurement errors when external instruments may not be available or are weak. The idea is to exploit the relation between the parameters of the…

理解测量误差对分位数回归的影响AI 解读

The impact of measurement error in explanatory variables on quantile regression functions is investigated using a small variance approximation. The approximation shows how the error contaminated and error free quantile regression functions are related. A key factor is the distribution of the error free explanatory variable. Exact calculations probe the accuracy of the approximation. The order of the approximation error is unchanged if the density of the error free…

堆积报告的持续时间数据建模：新生儿死亡率应用AI 解读

In 2005, the Indian Government launched a conditional cash-incentive program to encourage institutional delivery. This paper studies the effects of the program on neonatal mortality using district-level household survey data. We model mortality using survival analysis, paying special attention to substantial heaping, a form of measurement error, present in the data. The main objective of this paper is to provide a set of sufficient conditions for identification and…

含测量误差动态面板回归的多工具变量估计AI 解读

In this paper, we investigate a dynamic linear panel regression model with measurement error. We consider the panel data estimation whose time dimension (T) is not small and comparable to the cross sectional dimension (N). First, we show that the 2SLS estimator suffers from the bias problem due to many instrumental variables. Using the alternative asymptotics where T3N goes to a constant as N,T→∞, we characterize its asymptotic bias due to many IVs. As a bias reduction…

含测量误差线性面板模型的一致估计AI 解读

Measurement error causes a bias towards zero when estimating a panel data linear regression model. The panel data context offers various opportunities to derive instrumental variables allowing for consistent estimation. We consider three sources of moment conditions: (i) restrictions on the covariance matrix of the errors in the equations, (ii) nonzero third moments of the regressors, and (iii) heteroskedasticity and nonlinearity in the relation between the error-ridden…

利用控制变量估计含非经典测量误差的非线性模型AI 解读

We consider nonlinear parametric models with an independent variable that is measured with error. The measurement error can be correlated with the true value, i.e., the measurement error is allowed to be nonclassical. We propose a control variable estimator for the parameters of interest. The estimator is consistent even if the latent true value is endogenous. We derive the influence function of the semi-parametric estimator that accounts for the estimation of the control…

二元选择模型中的误分类AI 解读

Bias from misclassification of binary dependent variables can be pronounced. We examine what can be learned from such contaminated data. First, we derive the asymptotic bias in parametric models allowing misclassification to be correlated with observables and unobservables. Simulations and validation data show that the bias formulas are accurate in finite samples and in most situations imply attenuation. Second, we examine the bias in a prototypical application. Erroneously…

扩展Roll模型中买卖价差的半参数识别AI 解读

This paper provides new identification results for the bid–ask spread and the nonparametric distribution of the latent fundamental price increments (εt) from the observed transaction prices alone. The results are established via the characteristic function approach, and hence allow for discrete or continuous εt and the observed price increments do not need to have any finite moments. Constructive identification (and overidentification) results are established first in the…

运行变量存在连续测量误差的回归不连续设计AI 解读

Since the late 90s, Regression Discontinuity (RD) designs have been widely used to estimate Local Average Treatment Effects (LATE). When the running variable is observed with continuous measurement error, identification fails. Assuming non-differential measurement error, we propose a consistent nonparametric estimator of the LATE when the discrepancy between the true running variable and its noisy measure is observed in an auxiliary sample of treated individuals, and when…

不可观测变量计量：测量误差模型在产业组织与劳动经济学中的应用AI 解读

This paper reviews the recent developments in nonparametric identification of measurement error models and their applications in applied microeconomics, in particular, in empirical industrial organization and labor economics. Measurement error models describe mappings from a latent distribution to an observed distribution. The identification and estimation of measurement error models focus on how to obtain the latent distribution and the measurement error distribution from…

非因果向量自回归过程：表示、识别与半参数估计AI 解读

This paper introduces a representation theorem for a mixed VAR(p) process by distinguishing its causal and noncausal components. That representation is used to discuss the advantages and limitations of second-order identification in a mixed VAR. We show that it is possible to find the numbers of causal or noncausal components of the process from its multivariate autocovariance function, while nonlinear autocovariances are needed to distinguish between them. The paper…

识别高频数据中非平稳微观结构噪声与时变流动性的无模型方法AI 解读

In this paper, we provide non-parametric statistical tools to test stationarity of microstructure noise in general hidden Itô semimartingales, and discuss how to measure liquidity risk using high-frequency financial data. In particular, we investigate the impact of non-stationary microstructure noise on some volatility estimators, and design three complementary tests by exploiting edge effects, information aggregation of local estimates and high-frequency asymptotic…

利用大型协方差矩阵对交互效应面板模型进行推断AI 解读

We consider efficient estimation of panel data models with interactive effects, which relies on a high-dimensional inverse covariance matrix estimator. By using a consistent estimator of the error covariance matrix, we can take into account both cross-sectional correlations and heteroskedasticity. In the presence of cross-sectional correlations, the proposed estimator eliminates the cross-sectional correlation bias, and is more efficient than the existing methods. The rate…

条件离散响应模型的新拟合优度诊断AI 解读

This paper proposes new specification tests for conditional models with discrete responses, which are key to apply efficient maximum likelihood methods, to obtain consistent estimates of partial effects and to get appropriate predictions of the probability of future events. In particular, we test the static and dynamic ordered choice model specifications and can cover infinite support distributions for e.g. count data. The traditional approach for specification testing of…

非线性多元协整回归的设定检验AI 解读

This paper considers a general model specification test for nonlinear multivariate cointegrating regressions where the regressor consists of a univariate integrated time series and a vector of stationary time series. The regressors and the errors are generated from the same innovations, so that the model accommodates endogeneity. A new and simple test is proposed, and the resulting asymptotic theory is established. The test statistic is constructed based on a natural…

一类紧支撑核积分算子的单射性AI 解读

Injectivity of integral operators is related to completeness conditions of their corresponding kernel functions. Completeness provides a useful way of obtaining nonparametric identification in various models including nonparametric regression models with instrumental variables, nonclassical measurement error models, and auction models, etc. However, the condition is quite abstract for empirical work and lacks a proper economic interpretation. We rely on known results…

利用高频数据自适应估计连续时间回归模型AI 解读

We derive the asymptotic efficiency bound for regular estimates of the slope coefficient in a linear continuous-time regression model for the continuous martingale parts of two Itô semimartingales observed on a fixed time interval with asymptotically shrinking mesh of the observation grid. We further construct an estimator from high-frequency data that achieves this efficiency bound and, indeed, is adaptive to the presence of infinite-dimensional nuisance components. The…

非标准检验问题中基于Bonferroni界的尺寸修正AI 解读

We develop a set of powerful and flexible size-correction procedures for general nonstandard testing environments in which the asymptotic distribution of a test statistic is discontinuous in a nuisance parameter under the null hypothesis. Examples of this form of testing problem are pervasive in econometrics and complicate inference by making the size difficult to control. The test constructions introduced here simultaneously control the asymptotic size of the test uniformly…

附加条件矩限制的检验AI 解读

The primary focus of this article is the provision of tests for the validity of a set of conditional moment constraints additional to those defining the maintained hypothesis that are relevant for independent cross-sectional data contexts. The point of departure and principal contribution of the paper is the explicit and full incorporation of the conditional moment information defining the maintained hypothesis in the design of the test statistics. Thus, the approach mirrors…

缺失数据、插补与内生性AI 解读

Bassmann (1957, 1959) introduced two-stage least squares (2SLS). In subsequent work, Basmann et al. (1971) investigated its finite sample performance. Here we build on this tradition focusing on the issue of 2SLS estimation of a structural model when data on the endogenous covariate is missing for some observations. Many such imputation techniques have been proposed in the literature. However, there is little guidance available for choosing among existing techniques,…

利用异质性扩展的双层随机前沿估计劳动力进入者与退出者AI 解读

In a seminal paper, Basmann (1985) introduced a serial correlation structure based on an intertemporal adjustment mechanism. Basmann’s 1985 paper of course was built on his previous pioneering work on estimation and identifiability in structural equations leading to 2SLS (Basmann, 1957, 1960). In this paper, we follow a similar path. We derive a non-standard unit root serial correlation formulation for intertemporal adjustments in the labor force participation rate. This…

具有一般非对称性与长记忆的已实现随机波动率模型AI 解读

The paper develops a novel realized stochastic volatility model of asset returns and realized volatility that incorporates general asymmetry and long memory (hereafter the RSV-GALM model). The contribution of the paper ties in with Robert Basmann’s seminal work in terms of the estimation of highly non-linear model specifications (Basmann, 1988), especially for specifying causal effects from returns to future volatility. This paper discusses asymptotic results of a Whittle…

多工具变量下由约化式进行结构推断AI 解读

This paper develops exact finite sample and asymptotic distributions for structural equation tests based on partially restricted reduced form estimates. Particular attention is given to models with large numbers of instruments, wherein the use of partially restricted reduced form estimates is shown to be especially advantageous in statistical testing even in cases of uniformly weak instruments. Comparisons are made with methods based on unrestricted reduced forms, and…

L²完备与有界完备分布的实例AI 解读

Completeness and bounded-completeness conditions are used increasingly in econometrics to obtain nonparametric identification in a variety of models from nonparametric instrumental variable regression to non-classical measurement error models. However, distributions that are known to be complete or boundedly complete are somewhat scarce. In this paper, we consider an L2-completeness condition that lies between completeness and bounded completeness. We construct broad…