论文检索

不同计量设定下风险的期限结构AI 解读

This paper characterizes the term structure of risk measures such as value at risk (VaR) and expected shortfall under different econometric approaches including multivariate regime switching, GARCH-in-mean models with Student-t errors, two-component GARCH models and a nonparametric bootstrap. We show how to derive the risk measures for each of these models and document large variations in term structures across econometric specifications. An out-of-sample forecasting…

摘要暂缺

摘要暂缺

摘要暂缺

跳跃对收益与已实现方差的影响：时间变换 Lévy 过程的计量分析AI 解读

In order to assess the effect of jumps on realised variance calculations, we study some of the econometric properties of time-changed Lévy processes. We show that in general realised variance is an inconsistent estimator of the time-change, however we can derive the second order properties of realised variances and use these to estimate the parameters of such models. Our analytic results give a first indication of the degrees of inconsistency of realised variance as an…

摘要暂缺

摘要暂缺

摘要暂缺

摘要暂缺

摘要暂缺

摘要暂缺

政府债券收益率期限结构预测AI 解读

Despite powerful advances in yield curve modeling in the last twenty years, comparatively little attention has been paid to the key practical problem of forecasting the yield curve. In this paper we do so. We use neither the no-arbitrage approach, which focuses on accurately fitting the cross section of interest rates at any given time but neglects time-series dynamics, nor the equilibrium approach, which focuses on time-series dynamics (primarily those of the instantaneous…

基于 Copula 的半参数时间序列模型估计AI 解读

This paper studies the estimation of a class of copula-based semiparametric stationary Markov models. These models are characterized by nonparametric invariant (or marginal) distributions and parametric copula functions that capture the temporal dependence of the processes; the implied transition distributions are all semiparametric, and a member in this class can be expressed as a generalized semiparametric regression transformation model. One advantage of this copula…

摘要暂缺

摘要暂缺

摘要暂缺

摘要暂缺

摘要暂缺

摘要暂缺

摘要暂缺

摘要暂缺

摘要暂缺

摘要暂缺

摘要暂缺