论文检索
收录说明
- 收录范围
- 保留计量方法研究、相关统计基础，以及实质涉及计量方法的应用、教程、比较和综述。书评、刊务及明确无关内容不公开；身份或相关性证据不足的记录保留待核，补充可靠材料后可重新判断。
- 当前期刊来源见下方官网链接及期刊目录。综合经济学与金融期刊逐篇筛查计量方向，证据不足时暂不公开。正刊、在线优先论文和已核实接收稿合并展示；按标题、可靠摘要、目录及身份匹配的出版社 JEL 分类核验相关性；计量类 JEL 与摘要相互印证，无 JEL 不直接排除。历史回补以可取得的注册题录和目录为准，不等于覆盖全部纸本。
- 期刊官网
- Econometrica ↗QE ↗JoE ↗ET ↗JAE ↗JBES ↗ReStud ↗JPE ↗REStat ↗EctJ ↗JF ↗JFE ↗JASA ↗JRSS B ↗Annals of Statistics ↗Biometrika ↗
- 日期与排序
- 默认按最近发表排序：正刊使用刊期，待刊使用上线日期；缺少上线日期时，排序参考登记或首次收录时间，并在卡片注明。更多筛选可选择出版状态和日期口径；卷期依据出版社元数据，不因待刊时间较长而推定已编入正刊。仅有月份或年份时，日期区间相交也会纳入。
- 分类与引用
- 领域和方法依据题名、摘要初步分类，可人工修正；分类不代表论文质量。引用数采用 OpenAlex 单条关联记录，不合计版本。
- 更新与 AI 解读
- 正常题录、可靠摘要与引用同步继续；日、周、月简报按核实的发表与修订日期汇总，历史补录保留在文献库。AI 解读依据可靠摘要或已核实原文片段，已有解读保留供阅读参考；缺少可靠材料的条目保持待解读，浏览页面不会触发生成。
日期精度：到日 0 篇 · 到月 5005 篇 · 到年 2 篇
Trending time-varying coefficient time series models with serially correlated errors
Non-parametric tests of productive efficiency with errors-in-variables
Asymmetry and nonstationarity for a seasonal time series model
Estimation and inference in two-stage, semi-parametric models of production processes
生产过程两阶段半参数模型的估计与推断
A plethora of papers have used multi-stage estimation procedures where nonparametric estimates of productive efficiency are obtained in the first stage and then regressed on environmental variables in a subsequent stage in attempts to account for exogenous factors that might affect firms’ performance. None of these papers have described a coherent data-generating process (DGP). Moreover, conventional approaches to inference employed in these papers are invalid due to…
A method of estimating the average derivative
Bagging binary and quantile predictors for time series
Robustifying forecasts from equilibrium-correction systems
Predictive density and conditional confidence interval accuracy tests
Finite-sample simulation-based inference in VAR models with application to Granger causality testing
Estimation and model selection of semiparametric copula-based multivariate dynamic models under copula misspecification
Minimizing the impact of the initial condition on testing for unit roots
Validating forecasts of the joint probability density of bond yields: Can affine models beat random walk?
Interval forecasts and parameter uncertainty
区间预测与参数不确定性
Forecast intervals generalize point forecasts to represent and incorporate uncertainty. Forecast intervals calculated from dynamic models typically sidestep the issue of parameter estimation. This paper shows how to construct asymptotic forecast intervals which incorporate the uncertainty due to parameter estimation. Our proposed solution is a simple proportional adjustment to the interval endpoints, the adjustment factor depending on the asymptotic variance of the interval…
Time-series estimation of the effects of natural experiments
Reduced rank regression for blocks of simultaneous equations
A comparison of direct and iterated multistep AR methods for forecasting macroeconomic time series
宏观时间序列多步预测：直接法与迭代 AR 方法的比较
“Iterated” multiperiod ahead time series forecasts are made using a one-period ahead model, iterated forward for the desired number of periods, whereas “direct” forecasts are made using a horizon-specific estimated model, where the dependent variable is the multi-period ahead value being forecasted. Which approach is better is an empirical matter: in theory, iterated forecasts are more efficient if correctly specified, but direct forecasts are more robust to model…
Modified two-stage least-squares estimators for the estimation of a structural vector autoregressive integrated process
A regime switching long memory model for electricity prices
电价的状态转换长记忆模型
In this paper we develop a regime switching model which can generate long memory (fractional integration) in each of the regime states. This property is relevant in a number of cases. For instance, the deregulated market for electricity power in the Nordic countries is characterized by electricity spot prices with a high degree of long memory. It occurs that in some time periods bilateral prices are identical whereas in other periods the prices differ. The latter occurs when…