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Dispersion of Categorical Variables and Penalty Functions: Derivation, Estimation, and Comparability

分类变量的离散程度与惩罚函数:推导、估计及可比性

Measures of dispersion for categorical random variables based on penalty functions play a central role in establishing relevant measures of association between such variables. The literature concerning these measures provides little systematic treatment of such aspects of these measures as comparability, efficient estimation, and large-sample properties. This article provides a systematic and rigorous construction of dispersion measures based on penalty functions. Efficient…

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Computation of Maximum Likelihood Estimates in Association Models

关联模型中最大似然估计的计算

In association models for cross-classified data, computation of maximum likelihood estimates (MLE's) is relatively difficult due to the nonlinear constraints on the parameters. Currently available procedures based on the scoring algorithm for constrained maximum likelihood are relatively unreliable, and other cyclic procedures are relatively slow and do not provide estimated asymptotic standard deviations as by-products of calculations. To facilitate computations, it is…

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Analyzing Bivariate Ordinal Data Using a Global Odds Ratio

利用全局优势比分析双变量有序数据

A moment method is proposed for regression analysis of bivariate ordered categorical data using the global odds ratio as the measure of association. For modeling the margins, this method utilizes the stochastic ordering implicit in the data. This method allows for covariate effects in modeling the association between responses. An application of the proposed model is illustrated using the ophthalmological data from the Wisconsin Epidemiologic Study of Diabetic Retinopathy…

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Rank Tests for Main and Interaction Effects in Analysis of Variance

方差分析中主效应与交互效应的秩检验

A class of rank tests for analysis of variance based on linear functions of the Wilcoxon/Mann-Whitney statistics between cells is studied. This class includes many popular procedures. Assuming a location-family model, a condition for optimal Pitman efficacy of tests of main effects in this class is given. Tests for main effects in two-way layouts that achieve this optimality are shown to improve on previous proposals when the sample sizes are unbalanced. Nested orthogonal…

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Correlation Analysis of Extreme Observations from a Multivariate Normal Distribution

多元正态分布极端观测值的相关分析

In measuring visual acuity, the extremes of a set of normally distributed measures are of concern, together with one or more covariates. This leads to a model in which (X, Y 1, Y 2) are jointly normally distributed with Y 1, Y 2 exchangeable and (X, Y i ) having a common correlation. Inferential procedures are developed for correlations and linear regressions among X and the ordered Y values. This requires determination of the covariance matrix of X, Y (1) = min{Y 1, Y 2}…

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Information and Conditional Inference

信息与条件推断

Consider non-Bayesian inference about a parameter of interest β in the presence of a nuisance parameter λ based on a statistic S = (T, A). If the conditional distribution of T given A does not depend on λ and if A contains no information about β in the presence of λ, then A is said to be ancillary for θ in the presence of λ, and inference about θ is to be based on the conditional distribution of T given A. This approach has been the basis for several definitions of…

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Modeling and Inference with υ-Spherical Distributions

υ-球形分布的建模与推断

A new class of continuous multivariate distributions on × ∈ ℜ n is proposed. We define these so-called υ-spherical distributions through properties of the density function in a location-scale context. We derive conditions for properness of υ-spherical distributions and discuss how to generate them in practice. The name “υ-spherical” is motivated by the fact that these distributions generalize the classes of spherical (when υ(·) is the l 2 norm) and l q -spherical (when υ(·)…

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Marginal Likelihood from the Gibbs Output

利用 Gibbs 抽样输出计算边际似然

In the context of Bayes estimation via Gibbs sampling, with or without data augmentation, a simple approach is developed for computing the marginal density of the sample data (marginal likelihood) given parameter draws from the posterior distribution. Consequently, Bayes factors for model comparisons can be routinely computed as a by-product of the simulation. Hitherto, this calculation has proved extremely challenging. Our approach exploits the fact that the marginal…

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Bayesian Inference in Cyclical Component Dynamic Linear Models

周期成分动态线性模型的贝叶斯推断

Dynamic linear models (DLM's) with time-varying cyclical components are developed for the analysis of time series with persistent though time-varying cyclical behavior. The development covers inference on wavelengths of possibly several persistent cycles in nonstationary time series, permitting explicit time variation in amplitudes and phases of component waveforms, decomposition of stochastic inputs into purely observational noise and innovations that impact on the waveform…

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An Effective Bandwidth Selector for Local Least Squares Regression

局部最小二乘回归的带宽选择方法

Local least squares kernel regression provides an appealing solution to the nonparametric regression, or “scatterplot smoothing,” problem, as demonstrated by Fan, for example. The practical implementation of any scatterplot smoother is greatly enhanced by the availability of a reliable rule for automatic selection of the smoothing parameter. In this article we apply the ideas of plug-in bandwidth selection to develop strategies for choosing the smoothing parameter of local…

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Simulation-Extrapolation: The Measurement Error Jackknife

模拟外推:测量误差模型的刀切法联系

This article provides theoretical support for our simulation-based estimation procedure, SIMEX, for measurement error models. We do so by establishing a strong relationship between SIMEX estimation and jackknife estimation. A result of our investigation is the identification of a variance estimation method for SIMEX that parallels jackknife variance estimation. Data from the Framingham Heart Study are used to illustrate the variance estimation procedure in logistic…

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Tests of Homogeneity for Generalized Linear Models

广义线性模型中的同质性检验

We propose two tests for testing homogeneity among clustered data adjusting for the effects of covariates. The first is a score test for a generalized linear model with random effect, in which the distribution of the response variable given the random effect is entirely defined. In contrast to the likelihood ratio test, however, the score test does not require estimation of the parameters of a mixed-effects model nor specification of the mixing distribution. The second test…

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Overdispersion Diagnostics for Generalized Linear Models

广义线性模型的过度离散诊断

Generalized linear models (GLM's) are simple, convenient models for count data, but they assume that the variance is a specified function of the mean. Although overdispersed GLM's allow more flexible mean-variance relationships, they are often not as simple to interpret nor as easy to fit as standard GLM's. This article introduces a convexity plot, or C plot for short, that detects overdispersion and relative variance curves and relative variance tests that help to…

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Adapting to Unknown Smoothness via Wavelet Shrinkage

通过小波收缩适应未知光滑度

We attempt to recover a function of unknown smoothness from noisy sampled data. We introduce a procedure, SureShrink, that suppresses noise by thresholding the empirical wavelet coefficients. The thresholding is adaptive: A threshold level is assigned to each dyadic resolution level by the principle of minimizing the Stein unbiased estimate of risk (Sure) for threshold estimates. The computational effort of the overall procedure is order N · log(N) as a function of the…

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Searching for Structure in Curve Samples

在曲线样本中寻找结构特征

The shape of a regression curve can to a large extent be characterized by the succession of structural features like extrema, inflection points, and so on. When analyzing a sample of regression curves, it is often important to know at an early stage of data analysis which structural features are occurring consistently in each curve of the sample. Such a definition is usually not easy due to substantial interindividual variation both in the x and the y axis and due to the…

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A Nonparametric Regression Approach to Syringe Grading for Quality Improvement

用于质量改进的注射器分级:非参数回归方法

In the biomedical products industry, measures of the quality of individual clinical specimens or manufacturing production units are often available in the form of high-dimensional data such as continuous recordings obtained from an analytical instrument. These recordings are then examined by experts in the field who extract certain features and use these to classify individuals. To formalize and quantify this procedure, an approach for extracting features from recordings…

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A Class of Sequential Conditional Probability Ratio Tests

一类序贯条件概率比检验

A new class of sequential testing procedures, sequential conditional probability ratio tests (SCPRT's), is proposed. These procedures have the property of having a maximum sample size no larger than a fixed-sample test with an almost identical power function. The efficiency of the SCPRT, in terms of expected sample size, is close to that of Wald's SPRT. Group sequential testing procedures derived from the SCPRT are not restricted to the choices of group sizes and number of…

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Rank Tests for Main and Interaction Effects in Analysis of Variance

方差分析中主效应与交互效应的秩检验

A class of rank tests for analysis of variance based on linear functions of the Wilcoxon/Mann-Whitney statistics between cells is studied. This class includes many popular procedures. Assuming a location-family model, a condition for optimal Pitman efficacy of tests of main effects in this class is given. Tests for main effects in two-way layouts that achieve this optimality are shown to improve on previous proposals when the sample sizes are unbalanced. Nested orthogonal…

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Information and Conditional Inference

信息与条件推断

Consider non-Bayesian inference about a parameter of interest β in the presence of a nuisance parameter λ based on a statistic S = (T, A). If the conditional distribution of T given A does not depend on λ and if A contains no information about β in the presence of λ, then A is said to be ancillary for θ in the presence of λ, and inference about θ is to be based on the conditional distribution of T given A. This approach has been the basis for several definitions of…

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Bayesian Inference in Cyclical Component Dynamic Linear Models

周期成分动态线性模型中的贝叶斯推断

Dynamic linear models (DLM's) with time-varying cyclical components are developed for the analysis of time series with persistent though time-varying cyclical behavior. The development covers inference on wavelengths of possibly several persistent cycles in nonstationary time series, permitting explicit time variation in amplitudes and phases of component waveforms, decomposition of stochastic inputs into purely observational noise and innovations that impact on the waveform…

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