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Adjacency Matrix Decomposition Clustering for Human Activity Data

面向人类活动数据的邻接矩阵分解聚类

Mobile apps and wearable devices accurately and continuously measure human activity; patterns within this data can provide a wealth of information applicable to fields such as transportation and health. Despite the potential utility of this data, there has been limited development of analysis methods for sequences of daily activities. In this article, we propose a novel clustering method and cluster evaluation metric for human activity data that leverages an adjacency matrix…

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Adaptation Using Spatially Distributed Gaussian Processes

利用空间分布式高斯过程实现自适应

We consider the accuracy of an approximate posterior distribution in nonparametric regression problems by combining posterior distributions computed on subsets of the data defined by the locations of the independent variables. We show that this approximate posterior retains the rate of recovery of the full data posterior distribution, where the rate of recovery adapts to the smoothness of the true regression function. As particular examples we consider Gaussian process…

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Global and Episode-Specific Prediction of Recurrent Events Using Longitudinal Health Informatics Data

利用纵向健康信息学数据对复发事件进行全局与发作特异性预测

Accurate prediction of recurrent clinical events is crucial for effective management of chronic conditions such as cancer and cardiovascular disease. In recent years, longitudinal health informatics databases, which routinely collect data on repeated clinical events, have been increasingly utilized to construct risk prediction models. We introduce a novel nonparametric framework to predict recurrent events on a gap time scale using survival tree ensembles. Our framework…

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Bayesian Inference on Brain-Computer Interfaces via GLASS

通过 GLASS 进行脑机接口的贝叶斯推断

Brain-computer interfaces (BCIs), particularly the P300 BCI, facilitate direct communication between the brain and computers. The fundamental statistical problem in P300 BCIs lies in classifying target and non-target stimuli based on electroencephalogram (EEG) signals. However, the low signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) and complex spatial/temporal correlations of EEG signals present challenges in modeling and computation, especially for individuals with severe physical…

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Aggregated Projection Method: A New Approach for Group Factor Model

聚合投影法:组因子模型的新方法

Identifying the global factors among grouped data is crucial in the group factor model. In this paper, we propose a novel objective function for the task by maximizing the average of correlations between the latent global factors and group factors, solved through the eigen-decomposition of the aggregated projection matrix. Our method is not only computationally efficient but also robust to strongly correlated local factors. We establish the consistency of the global/local…

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Nonparametric Test for Rough Volatility

粗糙波动率的非参数检验

We develop a nonparametric test for deciding whether volatility of an asset follows a standard semimartingale process, with paths of finite quadratic variation, or a rough process with paths of infinite quadratic variation. The test uses the fact that volatility is rough if and only if volatility increments are negatively autocorrelated at high frequencies. It is based on the sample autocovariance of increments of spot volatility estimates computed from high-frequency asset…

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Inference in Generalized Linear Models with Robustness to Misspecified Variances

对方差误设稳健的广义线性模型推断

Generalized linear models usually assume a common dispersion parameter, an assumption that is seldom true in practice. Consequently, standard parametric methods may suffer appreciable loss of type I error control. As an alternative, we present a semi-parametric group-invariance method based on sign flipping of score contributions. Our method requires only the correct specification of the mean model, but is robust against any misspecification of the variance. We present tests…

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A Smoothed-Bayesian Approach to Frequency Recovery from Sketched Data

从压缩摘要数据恢复频数的平滑贝叶斯方法

We provide a novel statistical perspective on a classical problem at the intersection of computer science and information theory: recovering the empirical frequency of a symbol in a large discrete dataset using only a compressed representation, or sketch, obtained via random hashing. Departing from traditional algorithmic approaches, recent works have proposed Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) methods that can provide more informative frequency estimates by leveraging modeling…

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Unified Optimal Model Averaging with a General Loss Function based on Cross-Validation

基于交叉验证与一般损失函数的统一最优模型平均

Studying unified model averaging estimation for situations with complicated data structures, we propose a novel model averaging method based on cross-validation ( MACV). MACV unifies a large class of new and existing model averaging estimators and covers a very general class of loss functions. Furthermore, to reduce the computational burden caused by the conventional leave-subject/one-out cross validation, we propose a SEcond-order-Approximated Leave-one/subject-out ( SEAL)…

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Likelihood Ratio Tests in Random Graph Models with Increasing Dimensions

维度递增随机图模型中的似然比检验

We explore the Wilks phenomena in two random graph models: the β-model and the Bradley–Terry model. For two increasing dimensional null hypotheses, including a specified null H0:βi=βi0 for i=1,…,r and a homogenous null H0:β1=⋯=βr, we reveal high dimensional Wilks’ phenomena that the normalized log-likelihood ratio statistic, [2{l(β̂)−l(β̂0)}−r]/(2r)1/2, converges in distribution to the standard normal distribution as r goes to infinity. Here, l(β) is the log-likelihood…

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Asymptotic Behavior of Adversarial Training Estimator under ℓ ∞ -Perturbation

ℓ∞ 扰动下对抗训练估计量的渐近行为

Adversarial training has been proposed to protect machine learning models against adversarial attacks. This paper focuses on adversarial training under 𝓁∞-perturbation, which has recently attracted much research attention. The asymptotic behavior of the adversarial training estimator is investigated in the generalized linear model. The results imply that the asymptotic distribution of the adversarial training estimator under 𝓁∞-perturbation could put a positive probability…

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Causal Inference for Genomic Data with Multiple Heterogeneous Outcomes

多重异质结果下基因组数据的因果推断

With the evolution of single-cell RNA sequencing techniques into a standard approach in genomics, it has become possible to conduct cohort-level causal inferences based on single-cell-level measurements. However, the individual gene expression levels of interest are not directly observable; instead, only repeated proxy measurements from each individual's cells are available, providing a derived outcome to estimate the underlying outcome for each of many genes. In this paper,…

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Posterior Predictive Design for Phase I Clinical Trials

一期临床试验的后验预测设计

Interval-based designs represent cutting-edge adaptive methodologies for phase I clinical trials to identify the maximum tolerated dose (MTD). These designs exhibit robust performance comparable to more intricate, model-based designs, and their pretabulated decision rule enables them to be implemented as simply as the conventional algorithm-based designs. In this paper, we introduce the posterior predictive (PoP) design, a novel interval-based design that leverages advanced…

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Testing Mutually Exclusive Hypotheses for Multi-Response Regressions

多响应回归中互斥假设的检验

This paper proposes an adaptive-to-model test to check the null hypothesis with no more than one coordinate of the response vector relating to the predictor vector in parametric multi-response regressions. To this end, we decompose the null hypothesis into several mutually exclusive sub-null hypotheses and suggest a model identification to construct an adaptive-to-sub-null hypothesis test tackling their mutual exclusiveness, and an adaptive-to-regression test handling the…

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Network-Based Neighborhood Regression

基于网络的邻域回归

Given the ubiquity of modularity in biological systems, module-level regulation analysis is vital for understanding biological systems across various levels and their dynamics. Current statistical analysis on biological modules predominantly focuses on either detecting the functional modules in biological networks or sub-group regression on the biological features without using the network data. This paper proposes a novel network-based neighborhood regression framework…

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Hypothesis Testing for a Functional Parameter via Self-Normalization

通过自归一化检验函数型参数假设

Testing simple or composite hypothesis on a functional parameter has attracted considerable attention in time series analysis. To accommodate for the unknown temporal dependence, classical nonparametric approaches such as block bootstrapping and subsampling all involve a bandwidth parameter, the choice of which can substantially affect the finite sample performance. The self normalization (SN) method is tuning parameter free when applied to the inference of a…

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Distributed Tensor Principal Component Analysis with Data Heterogeneity

具有数据异质性的分布式张量主成分分析

As tensors become widespread in modern data analysis, Tucker low-rank Principal Component Analysis (PCA) has become essential for dimensionality reduction and structural discovery in tensor datasets. Motivated by the common scenario where large-scale tensors are distributed across diverse geographic locations, this paper investigates tensor PCA within a distributed framework where direct data pooling is theoretically suboptimal or practically infeasible.We offer a…

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Sparse Bayesian Multidimensional Item Response Theory

稀疏贝叶斯多维项目反应理论

Multivariate Item Response Theory (MIRT) is sought-after widely by applied researchers looking for interpretable (sparse) explanations underlying response patterns in questionnaire data. There is, however, an unmet demand for such sparsity discovery tools in practice. Our article develops a Bayesian platform for binary and ordinal item MIRT which requires minimal tuning and scales well on large datasets due to its parallelizable features. Bayesian methodology for MIRT models…

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Communication-Efficient Distributed Sparse Learning with Oracle Property and Geometric Convergence

具有预言性质与几何收敛性的通信高效分布式稀疏学习

This article introduces two highly efficient distributed non-convex sparse learning algorithms. Our approach accommodates non-convexity in both the loss function and penalty, acknowledging the potential non-uniqueness of local minimizers due to the inherent non-convexity. The development of an algorithm that ensures convergence to a locally minimal solution with desired statistical properties becomes imperative in this context. To overcome this challenge, we propose a…

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Data Fusion Using Weakly Aligned Sources

利用弱对齐数据源进行数据融合

We introduce a new data fusion method that utilizes multiple data sources to estimate a smooth, finite-dimensional parameter. Most existing methods only make use of fully aligned data sources that share common conditional distributions of one or more variables of interest. However, in many settings, the scarcity of fully aligned sources can make existing methods require unduly large sample sizes to be useful. Our approach enables the incorporation of weakly aligned data…

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Dynamic Regression of Longitudinal Trajectory Features

纵向轨迹特征的动态回归

Chronic disease studies often collect data on biological and clinical markers at follow-up visits to monitor disease progression. Viewing such longitudinal measurements governed by latent continuous trajectories, we develop a new dynamic regression framework to investigate the heterogeneity pattern of certain features of the latent individual trajectory that may carry substantive information on disease risk or status. Employing the strategy of multi-level modeling, we…

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Positive and Unlabeled Data: Model, Estimation, Inference, and Classification

正例与未标记数据:模型、估计、推断与分类

This study introduces a new approach to addressing the positive and unlabeled (PU) data through the double exponential tilting model (DETM) under a transfer learning framework. Traditional methods often fall short because they only apply to the common distributions (CD) PU data (also known as the selected completely at random PU data), where the labeled positive and unlabeled positive data are assumed to be from the same distribution. In contrast, our DETM’s dual structure…

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Kernel Meets Sieve: Transformed Hazards Models with Sparse Longitudinal Covariates

核方法与筛方法结合:稀疏纵向协变量下的变换风险模型

We study the transformed hazards model with time-dependent covariates observed intermittently for the censored outcome. Existing work assumes the availability of the whole trajectory of the time-dependent covariates, which is unrealistic. We propose combining kernel-weighted log-likelihood and sieve maximum log-likelihood estimation to conduct statistical inference. The method is robust and easy to implement. We establish the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator…

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An Economical Approach to Design Posterior Analyses

贝叶斯后验分析设计的低成本方法

To design Bayesian studies, criteria for the operating characteristics of posterior analyses – such as power and the type I error rate – are often assessed by estimating sampling distributions of posterior probabilities via simulation. In this paper, we propose an economical method to determine optimal sample sizes and decision criteria for such studies. Using our theoretical results that model posterior probabilities as a function of the sample size, we assess operating…

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