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Bounds for the Bias of the LS Estimator of @s^2 in the Case of a First-Order (Positive) Autoregressive Process when the Regression Contains a Constant Term

含常数项回归中正系数一阶自回归情形下 σ² 最小二乘估计量的偏差界

H. Neudecker, Bounds for the Bias of the LS Estimator of σ 2 in the Case of a First-Order (Positive) Autoregressive Process when the Regression Contains a Constant Term, Econometrica, Vol. 46, No. 5 (Sep., 1978), pp. 1223-1226

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A Note on the Interpretation of Regression Coefficients within a Class of Truncated Distributions

一类截断分布中回归系数解释的说明

DESPITE THE INTENSE ACTIVITY in the area of estimation of limited dependent variable (LDV) models (see, for example, the Fall 1976 issue of the Annals of Economic and Social Measurement), the interpretation of regression coefficients in truncated regression models has been largely ignored. This issue should not be taken lightly since the obvious interpretation which equates regression coefficients to partial derivatives of the conditional mean of the dependent variable is…

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The Sensitivity of Fiscal Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve

财政政策效果对美联储行为假设的敏感性

The purpose of this paper is to examine within the context of a patieular U.S. exammetric model the sensitivity of fiscal policy effects to alternative assumptions about the behavior of the Federal Reserve. Five cases are considered, four in which Fed behavior is exogenous and one in which Fed behavior is endogenous. In each of the four exogenous cases the Fed is assumed to control a particular variable, which is then taken to be exogenous for purposes of the fiscal-policy…

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Dynamic Aspects of Earning Mobility

收入流动的动态方面

Abs tract This paper proposes an econometric methodology to deal with life cycle earnings and mobility among discrete earnings classes. First, we use panel data on male log earnings to estimate an earnings function with permanent and serially correlated transitory components due to both measured and unmeasured variables. Assuming that the error components are normally distributed, we develop statements for the probability that an individual's earnings will fall into a…

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Identifiability and Consistent Estimability in Econometric Models

计量经济模型中的可识别性与一致可估性

In this paper the concepts of identifiability and of exact and consistent estimability for econometric models are introduced in a rather general framework, and the relations between these concepts are investigated. As a main result we obtain conditions under which identifiability and consistency are equivalent almost everywhere.

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Least-Squares versus Instrumental Variables Estimation in a Simple Errors in Variables Model

简单变量测量误差模型中最小二乘与工具变量估计的比较

IF ONE OF THE EXPLANATORY VARIABLES in a linear regression model is measured with error, the ordinary least squares estimator is known to be biased and inconsistent. Given suitable assumptions, an instrumental variables estimator is known to be consistent. In a large sample, the instrumental variables estimator is thus unambiguously preferred, but the choice of an estimator in a small sample remains a puzzle. The method of maximum likelihood sheds light on this puzzle. It…

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Dummy Endogenous Variables in a Simultaneous Equation System

联立方程系统中的内生虚拟变量

This paper considers the formulation and estimation of simultaneous equation models with both discrete and continuous endogenous variables.The statistical model proposed here is sufficiently rich to encompass the álassjcai simultaneous equation model for continuous endogenous variables and more recent models for purely discrete endogenous variables as special cases of a more general model.Interest in discrete data has been ftsledby a rapid growth in the availability of…

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Nonlinear Estimation and Asymptotic Approximations

非线性估计与渐近近似

central objective of this paper is to present a series expansion of nonlinear estimators in order to facilitate an analysis of the distributions of such estimators. Where the estimator under consideration is a maximum likelihood estimator, the method provides somewhat more information, as well as higher order approximations to the distributions of the nonlinear estimators than does the usual theory which demonstrates asymptotic normality. The method is also useful for a wide…

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A Modified Stein-like Estimator for the Reduced Form Coefficients of Simultaneous Equations

联立方程简化式系数的修正 Stein 型估计量

In this paper a reduced form estimator is developed which combines the corresponding restricted 3SLS and the unrestricted LS estimators. This estimator is similar to the 'positive part' Stein-like estimators proposed by Baranchik [2] and S. Sclove [16] in the classical multivariate regression context. It is shown that, whereas the restricted (derived) 3SLS and 2SLS reduced form estimates possess no finite moments (hence have unbounded risk), the modified Stein-like reduced…

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Testing Non-Nested Nonlinear Regression Models

非嵌套非线性回归模型的检验

In Pesaran [9], the test developed by Cox for comparing separate families of hypo-theses was applied to the choice between two non-nested linear single-equation econometric models. In this paper, the analysis is extended to cover multivariate nonlinear models whenever full information maximum likelihood estimation is possible. This allows formal comparisons not only of competing explanatory variables but also of alternative functional forms. The largest part of the paper…

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