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两阶段最小绝对离差估计量AI 解读

In this paper the method of least absolute deviations is applied to the estimation of the parameters of a structural equation in the simultaneous equations model. A class of estimators called two stage least absolute deviations estimators is defined, their asymptotic properties are derived, and the problem of finding the optimal member of the class is considered. IN THIS PAPER WE APPLY the method of least absolute deviations to the estimation of the parameters of a…

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结构特征价格模型的估计AI 解读

MANY COMMODITIES can be viewed as bundles of individual attributes for which no explicit markets exist. It is often of interest to estimate structural demand and supply functions for these attributes, but the absence of directly observable attribute prices poses a problem for such estimation. In an influential paper published several years ago, Rosen [3] proposed an estimation procedure to surmount this problem. This procedure has since been used in a number of applications…

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非因果性札记AI 解读

In this note the relationship between alternative concepts of noncausality is analyzed using the tool of conditional independence among a-fields. (For the reader who is unfamiliar with this technique, the Appendix sketches the proofs and the basic technical apparatus, along with some basic motivations.) Furthermore, the relationship between the concepts of noncausality and transitivity is made explicit in order to facilitate, in econometric modelling, the use of results…

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正态混合分布与切换回归的 Quandt–Ramsey 矩母函数估计量改进AI 解读

Quandt and Ramsey have suggested an estimator for normal mixtures and switching regressions, which minimizes a sum of squared differences between empirical and theoretical values of the moment generating function. This paper demonstrates how their estimator can be improved by minimizing a generalized sum of squares rather than an ordinary sum of squares. When this is done, more points of evaluation (moments) are unambiguously better than less. Most of the results presented…

独立观测下的工具变量回归AI 解读

INTRODUCTION THE METHOD OF INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES (IV), proposed independently by Reiersol [15] and Geary [4], is one of the most useful classes of estimation techniques available to econometricians. The method is particularly useful in the context of errors-in-variables and simultaneous equation problems, and it ineludes ordinary least squares (OLS), two-stage least squares (2SLS) (Klein [9]), three-stage least squares (3SLS) (Madansky [12]) and certain full-information…

马尔可夫经济模型的不变分布与极限行为AI 解读

Equilibria in stochastic economic models are often time series which fluctuate in complex ways. But it is sometimes possible to summarize the long run, characteristics of these fluctuations. For example, if the law of motion determined by economic interactions is Markovian and if the equilibrium time series converges in a specific probabilistic sense then the long run behavior is completely determined by an invariant probability distribution. This paper develops and unifies…

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含受限因变量模型估计量的渐近性质AI 解读

For the Tobit model with independent observations, Amemiya [1] has established the strong consistency and asymptotic normality of a stationary point, 9, of the log-likelihood. The likelihood for dependent observations may be computationally intractable, so the behavior of 9 in the presence of serially correlated observations is of interest. Under a relaxation of Amemiya's assumption of independence, we prove that 9 is strongly consistent and asymptotically normal, and give…

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大型非线性模型的 FIML 与 3SLS 估计算法AI 解读

THIS PAPER PRESENTS a numerical algorithm for computing full information maximum likelihood (FIML) and nonlinear three-stage least squares (3SLS) coefficient estimates for large nonlinear models. (The proposed algorithm will be denoted algorithm A.) Although the theory of FIML estimation has been available for thirty years [20], FIML estimation has long been regarded as impossible on large nonlinear models.2 The more recently proposed nonlinear 3SLS estimator [191 also poses…

回归参数受不等式约束时线性模型的似然比、Wald 与 Kuhn–Tucker 检验AI 解读

This paper considers the problem of testing statistical hypotheses in linear regression models with inequality constraints on the regression coefficients. The Kuhn-Tucker multiplier test statistic is defined and its relationships with the likelihood ratio test and the Wald test are examined. It is shown, in particular, that these relationships are the same as in the equality constrained case. It is emphasized, however, that their common asymptotic distribution is a mixture…

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This paper examines the consequences and detection of model misspecification when using maximum likelihood techniques for estimation and inference. The quasi-maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE) converges to a well defined limit, and may or may not be consistent for particular parameters of interest. Standard tests (Wald, Lagrange Multiplier, or Likelihood Ratio) are invalid in the presence of misspecification, but more general statistics are given which allow inferences to…

计量经济模型中事后预测方差的一则札记AI 解读

IT IS WELL KNOWN that in an econometric model, under general assumptions, the ex-post forecast error (conditional on predetermined variables) can be decomposed into the sum of two independent terms; the former is the component due to error in estimated coefficients, while the latter depends on the random error terms. The asymptotic covariance matrix of the first component can be analytically derived through intermediate computation of the covariance matrix of restricted…

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拉格朗日乘子检验对某些备择假设变化的不变性AI 解读

This paper examines some implications of the observation that the same Lagrange multiplier test is sometimes appropriate for quite different alternative hypotheses. A characterization of the class of such alternatives is developed which suggests a simple approach to testing for misspecification, and the consequences for finite sample power properties are examined by Monte Carlo experiments.

计量经济检验的近似斜率AI 解读

In this paper the concept of approximate slope, introduced by R. R. Bahadur, is used to make asymptotic global power comparisons of econometric tests. The approximate slope of a test is the rate at which the logarithm of the asymptotic marginal significance level of the test decreases as sample size increases, under a given alternative. A test with greater approximate slope may therefore be expected to reject the null hypothesis more frequently under that alternative than…

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