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正态性下周期图及相关统计量的近似分布AI 解读

Under normality, we obtain higher-order approximations to the distributions of the periodogram and related statistics. Our approach is based on the theorem which decomposes the periodogram into the sum of two independent random variables. It is seen that this decomposition enables us to study fairly closely the higher-order properties of not only the periodogram, but also periodogram-based statistics such as the estimators of the spectrum and prediction error variance. Some…

联立方程系统中单方程估计量的比较AI 解读

Comparisons of estimators are made on the basis of their mean squared errors and their concentrations of probability computed by means of asymptotic expansions of their distributions when the disturbance variance tends to zero and alternatively when the sample size increases indefinitely. The estimators include k -class estimators (limited information maximum likelihood, two-stage least squares, and ordinary least squares) and linear combinations of them as well as…

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球对称密度位置向量的极小极大估计AI 解读

The estimation of K ( K ≥ 3) location parameters is considered under quadratic loss when the coordinates of the best invariant estimators are spherically symmetrically distributed. Under these stochastic mechanisms traditional Stein estimators are evaluated for finite samples and shown to have a risk performance superior to some conventional rules.

需求系统假设检验：基于 Edgeworth 近似的检验水平修正AI 解读

A size correction to adjust the critical values of asymptotic χ 2 tests in a SUR context has been developed by Rothenberg and verified by Phillips. The adjustment centers the distribution of the observed test statistic so that it coincides more closely with its hypothetical distribution. The correction itself is an approximation to O ( T −1 ), and while the adjustment should be superior to the asymptotic test (no adjustment) in small-sample situations, its performance can be…

估计向量自回归模型预测的无偏性AI 解读

Forecasts from a univariate autoregressive model estimated by OLS are unbiased, irrespective of whether the model fitted has the correct order; this property only requires symmetry of the distribution of the innovations. In this paper, this result is generalized to vector autoregressions and a wide class of multivariate stochastic processes (which include Gaussian stationary multivariate stochastic processes) is described for which unbiasedness of predictions holds:…

非平稳高阶连续时间动态模型的参数估计AI 解读

This paper is concerned with derivation of a new efficient algorithm for computing the exact Gaussian likelihood for structural parameters in nonstationary higher-order continuous-time dynamic models and with its application in the estimation of these parameters. The algorithm completely avoids the computation of the covariance matrix of the observations and is applicable to a system of any order with mixed stock and flow data. It is used as the basis for an iterative…

线性理性预期模型的解AI 解读

Linear rational expectations models generally have a large number of solutions. It is thus important to describe them exhaustively in order to study their properties and subsequently estimate which solution best fits the data. In this paper, a global approach is suggested allowing a simultaneous treatment of all possible cases. The fundamental concepts are the revision processes appearing in the procedure of updating expectations. It isfound that the set of solutions is…

序列相关的一般分析框架AI 解读

In this paper the testing and estimation problems are discussed in the case of serial correlation. Various models are particular cases of the general framework considered: the nonlinear simultaneous equations models, the probit models, the tobit models, the disequilibrium models, the frontier models, etc. In this context, it is shown that the score test can be written explicitly and that the statistic obtained is a generalization of that of Durbin and Watson; moreover, the…

证明中心极限定理的新方法AI 解读

This paper describes some techniques for proving asymptotic normality of statistics defined by maximization of random criterion function. The techniques are based on a combination of recent results from the theory of empirical processes and a method of Huber for the study of maximum likelihood estimators under nonstandard conditions.

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时间序列回归中 OLS 估计量的 Edgeworth 展开AI 解读

In this paper we consider the situation in which ordinary least squares (OLS) is used to estimate an ARMA (1,1) model with one exogenous variable. Applying Edgeworth expansion techniques, we examine the misspecification errors and the approximate distributions of the OLS estimator. Extensive numerical studies were performed and selected results are shown graphically. In addition, a technical device is developed to calculate the Edgeworth coefficients.

直接效用函数中随机偏好变动的序列相关理论AI 解读

Methods of maximum-likelihood search (eg., Hildreth-Lu) for single equations models with autocorrelated disturbances are not easily extended to the multi-equation systems encountered in econometric studies of consumer demand. The obstacle is the large dimension of the space of independent serial correlation coefficients to be partitioned and searched. This paper treats stochastic disturbance vectors in demand/expenditure systems as functions of random disturbances in…

参数模型一致估计的统一理论AI 解读

We present a general theory of consistent estimation for possibly misspecified parametric models based on recent results of Domowitz and White. This theory extends the unification of Burguete, Gallant, and Souza by allowing for heterogeneous, time-dependent data and dynamic models. The theory is applied to yield consistency results for quasi-maximum-likelihood and method of moments estimators. Of particular interest is a new generalized rank condition for identifiability.

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若干工具变量检验程序的改进AI 解读

This paper is concerned with Cornish–Fisher corrections of some instrumental variables test statistics. The tests based on the corrected statistics have size with error of a smaller order of magnitude than the original tests. Symmetric Edgeworth-corrected confidence regions are also defined for the structural parameters. All these corrections are given as analytic formulas that require only limited information, so their implementation is a relatively easy task.

回归扰动移动平均相关的点最优检验AI 解读

This paper reconsiders King's [12] locally optimal test procedure for first-order moving average disturbances in the linear regression model. It recommends two tests, one for problems involving positively correlated disturbances and one for negatively correlated disturbances. Both tests are most powerful invariant at a point in the alternative hypothesis parameter space that is determined by a function involving the sample size and the number of regressors. Selected bounds…

特征值与特征向量的求导AI 解读

Let X 0 be a square matrix (complex or otherwise) and u 0 a (normalized) eigenvector associated with an eigenvalue λ o of X 0 , so that the triple ( X 0 , u 0 , λ 0 ) satisfies the equations Xu = λ u , . We investigate the conditions under which unique differentiable functions λ( X ) and u ( X ) exist in a neighborhood of X 0 satisfying λ( X 0 ) = λ O , u ( X 0 ) = u 0 , X u = λ u , and . We obtain the first and second derivatives of λ( X ) and the first derivative of u ( X…

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