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The Calculation of the Limiting Distribution of the Least-Squares Estimator in a Near-Integrated Model

近单位根模型中最小二乘估计量极限分布的计算

We tabulate the limiting cumulative distribution and probability density functions of the least-squares estimator in a first-order autoregressive regression when the true model is near-integrated in the sense of Phillips. The results are obtained using an exact numerical method which integrates the appropriate limiting moment generating function. The adequacy of the approximation is examined for various first-order autoregressive processes with a root close to unity.

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Partially Identified Econometric Models

部分识别的计量经济模型

This paper studies a class of models where full identification is not necessarily assumed. We term such models partially identified. It is argued that partially identified systems are of practical importance since empirical investigators frequently proceed under conditions that are best described as apparent identification. One objective of the paper is to explore the properties of conventional statistical procedures in the context of identification failure. Our analysis…

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Some Power Comparisons of Joint and Paired Tests for Nonnested Models under Local Hypotheses

局部假设下非嵌套模型联合与成对检验的功效比较

This paper compares the asymptotic local power properties of some tests of a null model against a single nonnested alternative and against multiple nonnested alternatives, denoted hereafter as paired and joint tests, respectively. It is demonstrated that the ranking of tests on the basis of asymptotic local powers depends on the choice of local hypothesis. When a local null hypothesis is employed, it is not possible to rank the Wald and Cox-type paired or joint tests.…

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A General Framework for Testing a Null Hypothesis in a “Mixed” Form

混合形式原假设检验的一般框架

A general framework for asymptotic tests is proposed. The framework contains as particular cases tests based on various estimation techniques: maximum likelihood methods, pseudo-maximum likelihood (PML) methods and quasi-generalized PML methods, m -estimation methods, moments or generalized moments method, and asymptotic least squares. Moreover the null hypothesis has a general mixed form, including the usual implicit and explicit form.

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Mirror-Image and Invariant Distributions in ARMA Models

ARMA 模型中的镜像与不变分布

The finite sample distributions of estimators and test statistics in ARMA time series models are generally unknown. For typical sample sizes, the approximations provided by asymptotic distributions are often unsatisfactory. Hence simulation or numerical integration methods are used to investigate the distributions. In practice only a limited part of the parameter space is examined using these methods. Thus any results which allow us to infer properties from one portion of…

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Local and Global Testing of Linear and Nonlinear Inequality Constraints in Nonlinear Econometric Models

非线性计量模型中线性与非线性不等式约束的局部和全局检验

This paper considers a general nonlinear econometric model framework that contains a large class of estimators defined as solutions to optimization problems. For this framework we derive several asymptotically equivalent forms of a test statistic for the local (in a way made precise in the paper) multivariate nonlinear inequality constraints test H : h (β) ≥ 0 versus K : β ∈ R K . We extend these results to consider local hypotheses tests of the form H : h 1 (β) ≥ 0 and h 2…

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Statistical Inference in Regressions with Integrated Processes: Part 2

含单整过程回归的统计推断:第二部分

This paper continues the theoretical investigation of Park and Phillips. We develop an asymptotic theory of regression for multivariate linear models that accommodates integrated processes of different orders, nonzero means, drifts, time trends, and cointegrated regressors. The framework of analysis is general but has a common architecture that helps to simplify and codify what would otherwise be a myriad of isolated results. A good deal of earlier research by the authors…

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Effect of Nonnormality on the Estimation of a Single Structural Equation with Structural Change

非正态性对含结构变化的单一结构方程估计的影响

Effect of nonnormality on the asymptotic property of three estimators of a single structural equation with structural change is examined. The three estimators are the limited information maximum likelihood estimator, derived under normality and equality of structural variances in different samples, given by Hodoshima, a two-stage least squares type estimator due to Barten and Bronsard, and a minimum distance estimator presented here. Normality is relaxed but the equality…

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Nonparametric Time-Series Estimation of Joint DGP, and Vector Autoregression (Econometric Theory 1 (1985): 27–52)

《联合数据生成过程的非参数时间序列估计与向量自回归》证明问题说明

Several problems with the proofs of Theorems 2, 3, and 4 given in the above article were drawn to our attention by Professor P. M. Robinson. A complete and rigorous set of conditions under which the main results of these theorems hold has not been found yet.

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