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论 de la Garza 现象AI 解读

Deriving optimal designs for nonlinear models is, in general, challenging. One crucial step is to determine the number of support points needed. Current tools handle this on a case-by-case basis. Each combination of model, optimality criterion and objective requires its own proof. The celebrated de la Garza Phenomenon states that under a (p−1)th-degree polynomial regression model, any optimal design can be based on at most p design points, the minimum number of support…

兼顾数值误差与测量误差的非线性常微分方程系数筛估计AI 解读

This article considers estimation of constant and time-varying coefficients in nonlinear ordinary differential equation (ODE) models where analytic closed-form solutions are not available. The numerical solution-based nonlinear least squares (NLS) estimator is investigated in this study. A numerical algorithm such as the Runge-Kutta method is used to approximate the ODE solution. The asymptotic properties are established for the proposed estimators considering both numerical…

非参数可加模型中的变量选择AI 解读

We consider a nonparametric additive model of a conditional mean function in which the number of variables and additive components may be larger than the sample size but the number of nonzero additive components is "small" relative to the sample size. The statistical problem is to determine which additive components are nonzero. The additive components are approximated by truncated series expansions with B-spline bases. With this approximation, the problem of component…

Bootstrap 的不一致性：Grenander 估计量AI 解读

In this paper, we investigate the (in)-consistency of different bootstrap methods for constructing confidence intervals in the class of estimators that converge at rate n1/3. The Grenander estimator, the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator of an unknown nonincreasing density function f on [0, ∞), is a prototypical example. We focus on this example and explore different approaches to constructing bootstrap confidence intervals for f(t0), where t0 ∈ (0, ∞) is an…

非平稳时间序列分位数曲线的非参数推断AI 解读

The paper considers nonparametric specification tests of quantile curves for a general class of nonstationary processes. Using Bahadur representation and Gaussian approximation results for nonstationary time series, simultaneous confidence bands and integrated squared difference tests are proposed to test various parametric forms of the quantile curves with asymptotically correct type I error rates. A wild bootstrap procedure is implemented to alleviate the problem of slow…

协方差矩阵估计的最优收敛速度AI 解读

Covariance matrix plays a central role in multivariate statistical analysis. Significant advances have been made recently on developing both theory and methodology for estimating large covariance matrices. However, a minimax theory has yet been developed. In this paper we establish the optimal rates of convergence for estimating the covariance matrix under both the operator norm and Frobenius norm. It is shown that optimal procedures under the two norms are different and…

双曲平面上的莫比乌斯反卷积及阻抗密度估计AI 解读

In this paper we consider a novel statistical inverse problem on the Poincaré, or Lobachevsky, upper (complex) half plane. Here the Riemannian structure is hyperbolic and a transitive group action comes from the space of 2 × 2 real matrices of determinant one via Möbius transformations. Our approach is based on a deconvolution technique which relies on the Helgason–Fourier calculus adapted to this hyperbolic space. This gives a minimax nonparametric density estimator of a…

半参数相对风险Cox模型的惩罚变量选择AI 解读

We study the Cox models with semiparametric relative risk, which can be partially linear with one nonparametric component, or multiple additive or nonadditive nonparametric components. A penalized partial likelihood procedure is proposed to simultaneously estimate the parameters and select variables for both the parametric and the nonparametric parts. Two penalties are applied sequentially. The first penalty, governing the smoothness of the multivariate nonlinear covariate…

组稀疏性的益处AI 解读

This paper develops a theory for group Lasso using a concept called strong group sparsity. Our result shows that group Lasso is superior to standard Lasso for strongly group-sparse signals. This provides a convincing theoretical justification for using group sparse regularization when the underlying group structure is consistent with the data. Moreover, the theory predicts some limitations of the group Lasso formulation that are confirmed by simulation studies.

利用最大非线性条件相关检验条件独立AI 解读

In this paper, the maximal nonlinear conditional correlation of two random vectors X and Y given another random vector Z, denoted by ρ1(X, Y|Z), is defined as a measure of conditional association, which satisfies certain desirable properties. When Z is continuous, a test for testing the conditional independence of X and Y given Z is constructed based on the estimator of a weighted average of the form ∑k=1nZfZ(zk)ρ12(X, Y|Z = zk), where fZ is the probability density function…

指数族中的非参数回归AI 解读

Most results in nonparametric regression theory are developed only for the case of additive noise. In such a setting many smoothing techniques including wavelet thresholding methods have been developed and shown to be highly adaptive. In this paper we consider nonparametric regression in exponential families with the main focus on the natural exponential families with a quadratic variance function, which include, for example, Poisson regression, binomial regression and gamma…

摘要暂缺

一类形状不变模型的有效估计AI 解读

In this paper, we observe a fixed number of unknown 2π-periodic functions differing from each other by both phases and amplitude. This semiparametric model appears in literature under the name “shape invariant model.” While the common shape is unknown, we introduce an asymptotically efficient estimator of the finite-dimensional parameter (phases and amplitude) using the profile likelihood and the Fourier basis. Moreover, this estimation method leads to a consistent and…

分位数微积分与删失回归AI 解读

Quantile regression has been advocated in survival analysis to assess evolving covariate effects. However, challenges arise when the censoring time is not always observed and may be covariate-dependent, particularly in the presence of continuously-distributed covariates. In spite of several recent advances, existing methods either involve algorithmic complications or impose a probability grid. The former leads to difficulties in the implementation and asymptotics, whereas…

弱依赖函数型数据AI 解读

Functional data often arise from measurements on fine time grids and are obtained by separating an almost continuous time record into natural consecutive intervals, for example, days. The functions thus obtained form a functional time series, and the central issue in the analysis of such data consists in taking into account the temporal dependence of these functional observations. Examples include daily curves of financial transaction data and daily patterns of geophysical…

函数反卷积模型的收敛率等价性与采样策略AI 解读

Using the asymptotical minimax framework, we examine convergence rates equivalency between a continuous functional deconvolution model and its real-life discrete counterpart over a wide range of Besov balls and for the L2-risk. For this purpose, all possible models are divided into three groups. For the models in the first group, which we call uniform, the convergence rates in the discrete and the continuous models coincide no matter what the sampling scheme is chosen, and…

最高密度区域估计的渐近理论与最优带宽选择AI 解读

We study kernel estimation of highest-density regions (HDR). Our main contributions are two-fold. First, we derive a uniform-in-bandwidth asymptotic approximation to a risk that is appropriate for HDR estimation. This approximation is then used to derive a bandwidth selection rule for HDR estimation possessing attractive asymptotic properties. We also present the results of numerical studies that illustrate the benefits of our theory and methodology.

用平滑回归混合模型逼近条件密度AI 解读

This paper shows that large nonparametric classes of conditional multivariate densities can be approximated in the Kullback–Leibler distance by different specifications of finite mixtures of normal regressions in which normal means and variances and mixing probabilities can depend on variables in the conditioning set (covariates). These models are a special case of models known as “mixtures of experts” in statistics and computer science literature. Flexible specifications…

Collaborative recommendation is an information-filtering technique that attempts to present information items that are likely of interest to an Internet user. Traditionally, collaborative systems deal with situations with two types of variables, users and items. In its most common form, the problem is framed as trying to estimate ratings for items that have not yet been consumed by a user. Despite wide-ranging literature, little is known about the statistical properties of…

Efron [Biometrika 58 (1971) 403–417] developed a restricted randomization procedure to promote balance between two treatment groups in a sequential clinical trial. He called this the biased coin design. He also introduced the concept of accidental bias, and investigated properties of the procedure with respect to both accidental and selection bias, balance, and randomization-based inference using the steady-state properties of the induced Markov chain. In this paper we…

相关噪声中检测稀疏信号的创新变换高批评检验AI 解读

Higher criticism is a method for detecting signals that are both sparse and weak. Although first proposed in cases where the noise variables are independent, higher criticism also has reasonable performance in settings where those variables are correlated. In this paper we show that, by exploiting the nature of the correlation, performance can be improved by using a modified approach which exploits the potential advantages that correlation has to offer. Indeed, it turns out…

离散观测过程叠加噪声的移动平均极限定理AI 解读

This paper presents some limit theorems for certain functionals of moving averages of semimartingales plus noise which are observed at high frequency. Our method generalizes the pre-averaging approach (see [Bernoulli 15 (2009) 634–658, Stochastic Process. Appl. 119 (2009) 2249–2276]) and provides consistent estimates for various characteristics of general semimartingales. Furthermore, we prove the associated multidimensional (stable) central limit theorems. As expected, we…

可选 Pólya 树与贝叶斯推断AI 解读

We introduce an extension of the Pólya tree approach for constructing distributions on the space of probability measures. By using optional stopping and optional choice of splitting variables, the construction gives rise to random measures that are absolutely continuous with piecewise smooth densities on partitions that can adapt to fit the data. The resulting “optional Pólya tree” distribution has large support in total variation topology and yields posterior distributions…

高度或非高度相关协变量下的加性模型估计AI 解读

Motivated by normalizing DNA microarray data and by predicting the interest rates, we explore nonparametric estimation of additive models with highly correlated covariates. We introduce two novel approaches for estimating the additive components, integration estimation and pooled backfitting estimation. The former is designed for highly correlated covariates, and the latter is useful for nonhighly correlated covariates. Asymptotic normalities of the proposed estimators are…