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Statistical inference for spatial statistics defined in the Fourier domain

傅里叶域空间统计量的统计推断

A class of Fourier based statistics for irregular spaced spatial data is introduced. Examples include the Whittle likelihood, a parametric estimator of the covariance function based on the $L_{2}$-contrast function and a simple nonparametric estimator of the spatial autocovariance which is a nonnegative function. The Fourier based statistic is a quadratic form of a discrete Fourier-type transform of the spatial data. Evaluation of the statistic is computationally tractable,…

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I-LAMM for sparse learning: Simultaneous control of algorithmic complexity and statistical error

稀疏学习的 I-LAMM:同时控制算法复杂度与统计误差

We propose a computational framework named iterative local adaptive majorize-minimization (I-LAMM) to simultaneously control algorithmic complexity and statistical error when fitting high dimensional models. I-LAMM is a two-stage algorithmic implementation of the local linear approximation to a family of folded concave penalized quasi-likelihood. The first stage solves a convex program with a crude precision tolerance to obtain a coarse initial estimator, which is further…

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On the asymptotic theory of new bootstrap confidence bounds

新型自助法置信界的渐近理论

We propose a new method, based on sample splitting, for constructing bootstrap confidence bounds for a parameter appearing in the regular smooth function model. It has been demonstrated in the literature, for example, by Hall [Ann. Statist. 16 (1988) 927–985; The Bootstrap and Edgeworth Expansion (1992) Springer], that the well-known percentile-$t$ method for constructing bootstrap confidence bounds typically incurs a coverage error of order $O(n^{-1})$, with $n$ being the…

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Bayesian estimation of sparse signals with a continuous spike-and-slab prior

采用连续尖峰与厚尾混合先验的稀疏信号贝叶斯估计

We introduce a new framework for estimation of sparse normal means, bridging the gap between popular frequentist strategies (LASSO) and popular Bayesian strategies (spike-and-slab). The main thrust of this paper is to introduce the family of Spike-and-Slab LASSO (SS-LASSO) priors, which form a continuum between the Laplace prior and the point-mass spike-and-slab prior. We establish several appealing frequentist properties of SS-LASSO priors, contrasting them with these two…

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Mixture inner product spaces and their application to functional data analysis

混合内积空间及其在函数型数据分析中的应用

We introduce the concept of mixture inner product spaces associated with a given separable Hilbert space, which feature an infinite-dimensional mixture of finite-dimensional vector spaces and are dense in the underlying Hilbert space. Any Hilbert valued random element can be arbitrarily closely approximated by mixture inner product space valued random elements. While this concept can be applied to data in any infinite-dimensional Hilbert space, the case of functional data…

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Local M-estimation with discontinuous criterion for dependent and limited observations

相依与受限观测下不连续准则的局部M估计

We examine the asymptotic properties of local M-estimators under three sets of high-level conditions. These conditions are sufficiently general to cover the minimum volume predictive region, the conditional maximum score estimator for a panel data discrete choice model and many other widely used estimators in statistics and econometrics. Specifically, they allow for discontinuous criterion functions of weakly dependent observations which may be localized by kernel smoothing…

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High dimensional censored quantile regression

高维删失分位数回归

Censored quantile regression (CQR) has emerged as a useful regression tool for survival analysis. Some commonly used CQR methods can be characterized by stochastic integral-based estimating equations in a sequential manner across quantile levels. In this paper, we analyze CQR in a high dimensional setting where the regression functions over a continuum of quantile levels are of interest. We propose a two-step penalization procedure, which accommodates stochastic integral…

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Testing independence in high dimensions with sums of rank correlations

基于秩相关之和的高维独立性检验

We treat the problem of testing independence between $m$ continuous variables when $m$ can be larger than the available sample size $n$. We consider three types of test statistics that are constructed as sums or sums of squares of pairwise rank correlations. In the asymptotic regime where both $m$ and $n$ tend to infinity, a martingale central limit theorem is applied to show that the null distributions of these statistics converge to Gaussian limits, which are valid with no…

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High-dimensional asymptotics of prediction: Ridge regression and classification

预测的高维渐近理论:岭回归与正则化判别分析

We provide a unified analysis of the predictive risk of ridge regression and regularized discriminant analysis in a dense random effects model. We work in a high-dimensional asymptotic regime where $p,n\to\infty$ and $p/n\to\gamma>0$, and allow for arbitrary covariance among the features. For both methods, we provide an explicit and efficiently computable expression for the limiting predictive risk, which depends only on the spectrum of the feature-covariance matrix, the…

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Pathwise coordinate optimization for sparse learning: Algorithm and theory

稀疏学习的路径式坐标优化:算法与理论

The pathwise coordinate optimization is one of the most important computational frameworks for high dimensional convex and nonconvex sparse learning problems. It differs from the classical coordinate optimization algorithms in three salient features: warm start initialization, active set updating and strong rule for coordinate preselection. Such a complex algorithmic structure grants superior empirical performance, but also poses significant challenge to theoretical…

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Consistent parameter estimation for LASSO and approximate message passing

LASSO与近似消息传递的调参一致性

This paper studies the optimal tuning of the regularization parameter in LASSO or the threshold parameters in approximate message passing (AMP). Considering a model in which the design matrix and noise are zero-mean i.i.d. Gaussian, we propose a data-driven approach for estimating the regularization parameter of LASSO and the threshold parameters in AMP. Our estimates are consistent, that is, they converge to their asymptotically optimal values in probability as $n$, the…

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Rate-optimal perturbation bounds for singular subspaces with applications to high-dimensional statistics

奇异子空间的速率最优扰动界及高维统计应用

Perturbation bounds for singular spaces, in particular Wedin’s $\mathop{\mathrm{sin}}\nolimits \Theta$ theorem, are a fundamental tool in many fields including high-dimensional statistics, machine learning and applied mathematics. In this paper, we establish separate perturbation bounds, measured in both spectral and Frobenius $\mathop{\mathrm{sin}}\nolimits \Theta$ distances, for the left and right singular subspaces. Lower bounds, which show that the individual…

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Optimal bounds for aggregation of affine estimators

仿射估计量聚合的最优界

We study the problem of aggregation of estimators when the estimators are not independent of the data used for aggregation and no sample splitting is allowed. If the estimators are deterministic vectors, it is well known that the minimax rate of aggregation is of order $\log(M)$, where $M$ is the number of estimators to aggregate. It is proved that for affine estimators, the minimax rate of aggregation is unchanged: it is possible to handle the linear dependence between the…

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Chernoff index for Cox test of separate parametric families

分离参数族 Cox 检验的 Chernoff 指数

The asymptotic efficiency of a generalized likelihood ratio test proposed by Cox is studied under the large deviations framework for error probabilities developed by Chernoff. In particular, two separate parametric families of hypotheses are considered (Cox, 1961, 1962). The significance level is set such that the maximal type I and type II error probabilities for the generalized likelihood ratio test decay exponentially fast with the same rate. We derive the analytic form…

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Conditional mean and quantile dependence testing in high dimension

Motivated by applications in biological science, we propose a novel test to assess the conditional mean dependence of a response variable on a large number of covariates. Our procedure is built on the martingale difference divergence recently proposed in Shao and Zhang [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 109 (2014) 1302–1318], and it is able to detect certain type of departure from the null hypothesis of conditional mean independence without making any specific model assumptions.…

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Optimal sequential detection in multi-stream data

多数据流中的最优序贯检测

Consider a large number of detectors each generating a data stream. The task is to detect online, distribution changes in a small fraction of the data streams. Previous approaches to this problem include the use of mixture likelihood ratios and sum of CUSUMs. We provide here extensions and modifications of these approaches that are optimal in detecting normal mean shifts. We show how the (optimal) detection delay depends on the fraction of data streams undergoing…

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Estimating a probability mass function with unknown labels

标签未知时概率质量函数的估计

In the context of a species sampling problem, we discuss a nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator for the underlying probability mass function. The estimator is known in the computer science literature as the high profile estimator. We prove strong consistency and derive the rates of convergence, for an extended model version of the estimator. We also study a sieved estimator for which similar consistency results are derived. Numerical computation of the sieved estimator…

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Structural similarity and difference testing on multiple sparse Gaussian graphical models

多个稀疏高斯图模型的结构相似性与差异检验

We present a new framework on inferring structural similarities and differences among multiple high-dimensional Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) corresponding to the same set of variables under distinct experimental conditions. The new framework adopts the partial correlation coefficients to characterize the potential changes of dependency strengths between two variables. A hierarchical method has been further developed to recover edges with different or similar dependency…

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A weight-relaxed model averaging approach for high-dimensional generalized linear models

高维广义线性模型的权重放松模型平均

Model averaging has long been proposed as a powerful alternative to model selection in regression analysis. However, how well it performs in high-dimensional regression is still poorly understood. Recently, Ando and Li [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 109 (2014) 254–265] introduced a new method of model averaging that allows the number of predictors to increase as the sample size increases. One notable feature of Ando and Li’s method is the relaxation on the total model weights so…

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Extended conditional independence and applications in causal inference

扩展条件独立及其在因果推断中的应用

The goal of this paper is to integrate the notions of stochastic conditional independence and variation conditional independence under a more general notion of extended conditional independence. We show that under appropriate assumptions the calculus that applies for the two cases separately (axioms of a separoid) still applies for the extended case. These results provide a rigorous basis for a wide range of statistical concepts, including ancillarity and sufficiency, and,…

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Nonparametric goodness-of-fit tests for uniform stochastic ordering

一致随机序的非参数拟合优度检验

We propose $L^{p}$ distance-based goodness-of-fit (GOF) tests for uniform stochastic ordering with two continuous distributions $F$ and $G$, both of which are unknown. Our tests are motivated by the fact that when $F$ and $G$ are uniformly stochastically ordered, the ordinal dominance curve $R=FG^{-1}$ is star-shaped. We derive asymptotic distributions and prove that our testing procedure has a unique least favorable configuration of $F$ and $G$ for $p\in [1,\infty]$. We use…

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Targeted sequential design for targeted learning inference of the optimal treatment rule and its mean reward

最优治疗规则及其平均回报推断的靶向序贯设计

, assuming that there is no stratum of the baseline covariates where treatment is neither beneficial nor harmful, and under a companion margin assumption. Our pivotal estimator, whose definition hinges on the targeted minimum loss estimation (TMLE) principle, actually infers the mean reward under the current estimate of the optimal TR. This data-adaptive statistical parameter is worthy of interest on its own. Our main result is a central limit theorem which enables the…

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Adaptive Bernstein–von Mises theorems in Gaussian white noise

高斯白噪声模型中的自适应Bernstein–von Mises定理

We investigate Bernstein–von Mises theorems for adaptive nonparametric Bayesian procedures in the canonical Gaussian white noise model. We consider both a Hilbert space and multiscale setting with applications in $L^{2}$ and $L^{\infty}$, respectively. This provides a theoretical justification for plug-in procedures, for example the use of certain credible sets for sufficiently smooth linear functionals. We use this general approach to construct optimal frequentist…

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Optimal design of fMRI experiments using circulant (almost-)orthogonal arrays

利用循环近正交阵列进行 fMRI 实验最优设计

Functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) is a pioneering technology for studying brain activity in response to mental stimuli. Although efficient designs on these fMRI experiments are important for rendering precise statistical inference on brain functions, they are not systematically constructed. Design with circulant property is crucial for estimating a hemodynamic response function (HRF) and discussing fMRI experimental optimality. In this paper, we develop a theory…

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