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On Projection Pursuit Regression

论投影寻踪回归

We construct a tractable mathematical model for kernel-based projection pursuit regression approximation. The model permits computation of explicit formulae for bias and variance of estimators. It is shown that the bias of an orientation estimate dominates error about the mean--indeed, the latter is asymptotically negligible in comparison with bias. However, bias and error about the mean are of the same order in the case of projection pursuit curve estimates. Implications of…

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Convergence Rates for Regularized Solutions of Integral Equations from Discrete Noisy Data

离散含噪数据下积分方程正则化解的收敛速率

Given data $y_i = (Kg)(u_i) + \varepsilon_i$ where the $\varepsilon$'s are random errors, the $u$'s are known, $g$ is an unknown function in a reproducing kernel space with kernel $r$ and $K$ is a known integral operator, it is shown how to calculate convergence rates for the regularized solution of the equation as the evaluation points $\{u_i\}$ become dense in the interval of interest. These rates are shown to depend on the eigenvalue asymptotics of $KRK^\ast$, where $R$ is…

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Asymptotic Properties of Statistical Estimators in Stochastic Programming

随机规划中统计估计量的渐近性质

The aim of this article is to investigate the asymptotic behaviour of estimators of the optimal value and optimal solutions of a stochastic program. These estimators are closely related to the $M$-estimators introduced by Huber (1964). The parameter set of feasible solutions is supposed to be defined by a number of equality and inequality constraints. It will be shown that in the presence of inequality constraints the estimators are not asymptotically normal in general.…

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On a Second-Order Asymptotic Property of the Bayesian Bootstrap Mean

贝叶斯自助法均值的二阶渐近性质

It is shown that the Bayesian bootstrap approximation to the posterior distribution of the unknown mean (with respect to a Dirichlet process prior) is more accurate than both the standard normal approximation and the bootstrap approximation. It is also shown that the Bayesian bootstrap approximation to the sampling distribution of the sample average is not as accurate as the bootstrap approximation.

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Asymptotic Properties of Kernel Estimators Based on Local Medians

基于局部中位数的核估计量的渐近性质

The desire to make nonparametric regression robust leads to the problem of conditional median function estimation. Under appropriate regularity conditions, a sequence of local median estimators can be chosen to achieve the optimal rate of convergence $n^{-1/(2+d)}$ both pointwise and in the $L^q (1 \leq q < \infty)$ norm restricted to a compact. It can also be chosen to achieve the optimal rate of convergence $(n^{-1} \log n)^{1/(2+d)}$ in the $L^\infty$ norm restricted to a…

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Linear Smoothers and Additive Models

线性平滑器与加性模型

We study linear smoothers and their use in building nonparametric regression models. In the first part of this paper we examine certain aspects of linear smoothers for scatterplots; examples of these are the running-mean and running-line, kernel and cubic spline smoothers. The eigenvalue and singular value decompositions of the corresponding smoother matrix are used to describe qualitatively a smoother, and several other topics such as the number of degrees of freedom of a…

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On Edgeworth Expansions in the Mixture Cases

混合情形下的 Edgeworth 展开

Let $X$ be a random vector with at least one marginal having a lattice distribution. For a wide class of statistics which can be written as a function of means of independent copies of $X$, it is established in this article that the one-term Edgeworth expansion is typically the same as the usual one-term expansion in the pure nonlattice case.

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The Price of Bias Reduction when there is no Unbiased Estimate

不存在无偏估计时降低偏差的代价

Let $\phi$ be a parameter for which there is no unbiased estimator. This note shows that for an arbitrary sequence of estimators $T^{(k)}$, if the biases of $T^{(k)}$ tend to 0 then their variances must tend to $\infty$.

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Inequalities for a Class of Positively Dependent Random Variables with a Common Marginal

具有共同边际分布的一类正相依随机变量的不等式

This paper concerns a partial ordering of positive dependence of a class of random variables which have a common marginal distribution and are not necessarily exchangeable. The main theorem is obtained by applying a moment inequality via majorization. Inequalities for exchangeable random variables, for random variables whose marginal densities possess the semigroup property and for the multivariate normal distribution are then obtained as special cases.

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Testing for a Unit Root Nonstationarity in Multivariate Autoregressive Time Series

多元自回归时间序列的单位根非平稳性检验

The characteristic equation of a multiple autoregressive time series involves the eigenvalues of a matrix equation which determine if the series is stationary. Suppose one eigenvalue is 1 and the rest are less than 1 in magnitude. We show that ordinary least squares may be used to estimate the matrices involved and that the largest estimated eigenvalue has distributional properties that allow us to test this unit root hypothesis using critical values tabulated by Dickey…

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The Bracketing Condition for Limit Theorems on Stationary Linear Processes

平稳线性过程极限定理的括号条件

This paper aims at improvement in regularity conditions on spectral densities for the limit theorems of the quasi maximum-likelihood estimator and the quasi likelihood-ratio statistic. The approach parallels the Daniels-Huber-Pollard proofs of central limit theorems under nonstandard conditions for i.i.d. situations. The results of the paper enable one to dispense with excessive regularity conditions on the spectral density.

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Asymptotics with Increasing Dimension for Robust Regression with Applications to the Bootstrap

维数增长下稳健回归的渐近理论及其 Bootstrap 应用

A stochastic expansion for $M$-estimates in linear models with many parameters is derived under the weak condition $\kappa n^{1/3}(\log n)^{2/3} \rightarrow 0$, where $n$ is the sample size and $\kappa$ the maximal diagonal element of the hat matrix. The expansion is used to study the asymptotic distribution of linear contrasts and the consistency of the bootstrap. In particular, it turns out that bootstrap works in cases where the usual asymptotic approach fails.

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Adaptive LL-Estimation for Linear Models

线性模型的自适应 L 估计

Asymptotically efficient (adaptive) estimators for the slope parameters of the linear regression model are constructed based upon the "regression quantile" statistics suggested by Koenker and Bassett. The estimators are natural analogues of the adaptive $L$-estimators of location of Sacks, but employ kernel-density type estimators of the optimal $L$-estimator weight function.

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On $M$-Processes and $M$-Estimation

M过程与M估计

We relate the asymptotic behavior of $M$-estimators of the regression parameter in a linear model in which the dimension of the regression parameter may increase with the sample size to the stochastic equicontinuity of an associated $M$-process. The approach synthesises a number of results for the dimensionally fixed regression model and then extends these results in a direct unified way. The resulting theorems require only mild conditions on the $\psi$-function and the…

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Minimax Properties of $M-, R-$ and $L$-Estimators of Location in Levy Neighbourhoods

Lévy 邻域中位置参数 M、R 与 L 估计量的极小极大性质

In the context of Huber's theory of robust estimation of a location parameter, the literature on minimax properties of $M$-, $R$- and $L$-estimators is surveyed. New results are obtained for the model in which the unknown error distribution is assumed to lie in a Levy neighbourhood of a symmetric distribution $G: \mathscr{P}_{\varepsilon,\delta}(G) = \{F\mid G(x - \delta) - \varepsilon \leq F(x) \leq G(x + \delta) + \varepsilon \text{for all} x\}$. Under reasonably general…

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Power Comparisons for Invariant Variance Ratio Tests in Mixed Anova Models

混合方差分析模型中不变方差比检验的功效比较

A class of invariant hypothesis tests is considered for the purpose of testing a variance ratio arising in mixed models. Members of the class are most powerful for specific alternatives and limiting members of the class are Wald's test and the locally most powerful test. It is demonstrated that the locally most powerful test has the highest and Wald's test has the lowest asymptotic power when an asymptotically unbalanced sequence of ANOVA designs is considered under Pitman…

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Spherical Regression with Errors in Variables

含变量测量误差的球面回归

Suppose $u_1, \cdots, u_n, v_1, \cdots, v_n$ are random points on the sphere such that for unknown points $\xi_1, \cdots, \xi_n$ and unknown rotation $A_0$, the distribution of $u_i$ depends only on $u^t_i\xi_i$ and that of $v_i$ on $v^t_iA_0\xi_i$. This paper provides asymptotic tests and confidence regions for $A_0$ and for its axis of rotation. Results are given in arbitrary dimension.

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Empirical Processes Based upon Residuals from Errors-in-Variables Regressions

测量误差回归残差的经验过程

Multivariate errors-in-variables regression models with normal errors are considered and residuals, similar to those calculated from ordinary least squares regressions, are defined for these models. It is shown that under the assumption of a $n^{1/2}$-consistent estimator of the vector of regression coefficients, certain empirical processes based upon the residuals converge to the same Gaussian process as that of an infinite sequence of normal random variables standardized…

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All Admissible Linear Estimators of the Vector of Gamma Scale Parameters with Application to Random Effects Models

伽马尺度参数向量的全部可容许线性估计量及随机效应应用

The paper is devoted to the problem of simultaneous estimation of scale and natural parameters of the multiparameter gamma distribution under a quadratic loss. The vector of the scale parameters is assumed to range over a certain subset of the Cartesian product $\mathscr{R}^n_+$ of $n$ positive half lines. We identify the class of all linear admissible estimators for the scale parameters and show that all linear estimators of the natural parameters are inadmissible. Since…

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Universal Domination and Stochastic Domination: $U$-Admissibility and $U$- Inadmissibility of the Least Squares Estimator

普遍支配与随机支配:最小二乘估计量的 U 可容许性与不可容许性

Assume the standard linear model $X_{n \times 1} = A_{n \times p} \theta_{p \times 1} + \varepsilon_{n \times 1},$ where $\varepsilon$ has an $n$-variate normal distribution with zero mean vector and identity covariance matrix. The least squares estimator for the coefficient $\theta$ is $\hat{\theta} \equiv (A'A)^{-1}A'X$. It is well known that $\hat{\theta}$ is dominated by James-Stein type estimators under the sum of squared error loss $|\theta - \hat{\theta}|^2$ when $p \geq 3$…

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On the Admissibility and Consistency of Tests for Homogeneity of Variances

Consider the one-way fixed and balanced analysis of variance model under the assumptions of independence and normality. The problem is to test for homogeneity of variances. A necessary and sufficient condition for admissibility of a test among the class of scale invariant tests is given. Hartley's test and Cochran's test are not in the class and therefore are inadmissible. Various scale invariant tests are examined for parameter consistency. Parameter consistency in this…

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Second Order and $L^p$-Comparisons between the Bootstrap and Empirical Edgeworth Expansion Methodologies

Bootstrap与经验Edgeworth展开的二阶及Lᵖ比较

The bootstrap estimate of distribution functions of studentized statistics is shown to be more accurate than even the two-term empirical Edgeworth expansion, thus strengthening the claim of superiority of the bootstrap over the normal approximation method. The two methods are compared not only with respect to bounded bowl-shaped loss functions but also with respect to squared error loss and, more generally, in $L^p$-norms.

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Bootstrap and Randomization Tests of some Nonparametric Hypotheses

若干非参数假设的自助法与随机化检验

In this paper, the asymptotic behavior of some nonparametric tests is studied in situations where both bootstrap tests and randomization tests are applicable. Under fairly general conditions, the tests are asymptotically equivalent in the sense that the resulting critical values and power functions are appropriately close. This implies, among other things, that the difference in the critical functions of the tests, evaluated at the observed data, tends to 0 in probability.…

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A Stochastic Minimum Distance Test for Multivariate Parametric Models

多元参数模型的随机最小距离检验

Stochastic procedures are randomized statistical procedures which are functions of the observed sample and of one or more artificially constructed auxiliary samples. As the size of the auxiliary samples increases, a stochastic procedure becomes nearly nonrandomized. The stochastic test of this paper arises as a numerically feasible approximation to a natural minimum distance goodness-of-fit test for multivariate parametric models. The distance being minimized here is the…

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