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Forward-selected panel data approach for program evaluation

用于项目评估的前向选择面板数据方法

Policy evaluation is central to economic data analysis, but economists mostly work with observational data in view of limited opportunities to carry out controlled experiments. In the potential outcome framework, the panel data approach (Hsiao et al., 2012) constructs the counterfactual by exploiting the correlation between cross-sectional units in panel data. The choice of cross-sectional control units, a key step in its implementation, is nevertheless unresolved in…

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Transformed Estimation for Panel Interactive Effects Models

交互效应面板模型的变换估计

We propose a transformed estimator for the slope coefficients of panel models with interactive effects. The transformed estimation method does not require the prior knowledge of the dimension of factor structure. It is consistent and asymptotically normally distributed under fairly general conditions when N is fixed and T→∞ or T is fixed and N→∞, or when both N and T are large and NT→a≠0<∞. Moreover, because the transformation is equivalent to aggregating cross-sectional…

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Structural estimation of behavioral heterogeneity

行为异质性的结构估计

Summary We develop a behavioral asset pricing model in which agents trade in a market with information friction. Profit‐maximizing agents switch between trading strategies in response to dynamic market conditions. Owing to noisy private information about the fundamental value, the agents form different evaluations about heterogeneous strategies. We exploit a thin set—a small sub‐population—to point identify this nonlinear model, and estimate the structural parameters using…

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Econometric estimation with high-dimensional moment equalities

具有高维矩等式的计量经济学估计

We consider a nonlinear structural model in which the number of moments is not limited by the sample size. The econometric problem here is to estimate and perform inference on a finite-dimensional parameter. To handle the high dimensionality, we must systematically choose a set of informative moments; in other words, delete the uninformative ones. In nonlinear models, a consistent estimator is a prerequisite for moment selection. We develop in this paper a novel two-step…

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Identifying Latent Structures in Panel Data

面板数据中潜在分组结构的识别

This paper provides a novel mechanism for identifying and estimating latent group structures in panel data using penalized techniques. We consider both linear and nonlinear models where the regression coefficients are heterogeneous across groups but homogeneous within a group and the group membership is unknown. Two approaches are considered—penalized profile likelihood (PPL) estimation for the general nonlinear models without endogenous regressors, and penalized GMM (PGMM)…

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