Forecasting Cause-Age Specific Mortality Using Two Random Processes
利用两个随机过程预测死因—年龄特定死亡人数
Mortality forecasts are critical information for assessing the health of a population and are necessary for making informed decisions about how best to direct health-related resources and activities. Timeliness in making health statistics available is crucial to identify and address current health problems. Being motivated to meet these needs, we propose a method to forecast the number of cause-age specific deaths through a two random processes model. Unlike the previous…