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Operational time and in-sample density forecasting

操作时间与样本内密度预测

In this paper, we consider a new structural model for in-sample density forecasting. In-sample density forecasting is to estimate a structured density on a region where data are observed and then reuse the estimated structured density on some region where data are not observed. Our structural assumption is that the density is a product of one-dimensional functions with one function sitting on the scale of a transformed space of observations. The transformation involves…

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Asymptotics for in-sample density forecasting

样本内密度预测的渐近理论

This paper generalizes recent proposals of density forecasting models and it develops theory for this class of models. In density forecasting, the density of observations is estimated in regions where the density is not observed. Identification of the density in such regions is guaranteed by structural assumptions on the density that allows exact extrapolation. In this paper, the structural assumption is made that the density is a product of one-dimensional functions. The…

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Backfitting and smooth backfitting in varying coefficient quantile regression

变系数分位数回归中的回拟合与光滑回拟合

In this paper, we study ordinary backfitting and smooth backfitting as methods of fitting varying coefficient quantile models. We do this in a unified framework that accommodates various types of varying coefficient models. Our framework also covers the additive quantile model as a special case. Under a set of weak conditions, we derive the asymptotic distributions of the backfitting estimators. We also briefly report on the results of a simulation study.

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Flexible generalized varying coefficient regression models

灵活的广义变系数回归模型

This paper studies a very flexible model that can be used widely to analyze the relation between a response and multiple covariates. The model is nonparametric, yet renders easy interpretation for the effects of the covariates. The model accommodates both continuous and discrete random variables for the response and covariates. It is quite flexible to cover the generalized varying coefficient models and the generalized additive models as special cases. Under a weak condition…

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