LOCAL POLYNOMIAL ESTIMATION OF TIME-VARYING PARAMETERS IN NONLINEAR MODELS
非线性模型时变参数的局部多项式估计
We develop a novel asymptotic theory for local polynomial extremum estimators of time-varying parameters in a broad class of nonlinear time-series models, including discrete-valued ones. We show that the proposed estimators are asymptotically normally distributed under weak conditions. We also provide a precise characterization of the leading bias term due to smoothing. We demonstrate the usefulness of our general results by establishing primitive conditions for local…