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Online Statistical Inference for Contextual Bandits via Stochastic Gradient Descent

通过随机梯度下降对情境老虎机进行在线统计推断

With the fast development of big data, learning the optimal decision rule by recursively updating it and making online decisions has been easier than before. We study the online statistical inference of model parameters in a contextual bandit framework of sequential decision-making. We propose a general framework for an online and adaptive data collection environment that can update decision rules via weighted stochastic gradient descent. We allow different weighting schemes…

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Distributed Tensor Principal Component Analysis with Data Heterogeneity

具有数据异质性的分布式张量主成分分析

As tensors become widespread in modern data analysis, Tucker low-rank Principal Component Analysis (PCA) has become essential for dimensionality reduction and structural discovery in tensor datasets. Motivated by the common scenario where large-scale tensors are distributed across diverse geographic locations, this paper investigates tensor PCA within a distributed framework where direct data pooling is theoretically suboptimal or practically infeasible.We offer a…

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Online estimation and inference for robust policy evaluation in reinforcement learning

强化学习中稳健策略评估的在线估计与推断

Reinforcement learning has emerged as one of the prominent topics attracting attention in modern statistical learning, with policy evaluation being a key component. Unlike the traditional machine learning literature on this topic, our work emphasizes statistical inference for the model parameters and value functions of reinforcement learning algorithms. While most existing analyses assume random rewards to follow standard distributions, we embrace the concept of robust…

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Online statistical inference in decision-making with matrix context

矩阵情境在线决策中的统计推断

The study of online decision-making problems that leverage contextual information has drawn notable attention due to their significant applications in fields ranging from healthcare to autonomous systems. In modern applications, contextual information can be rich and is often represented as a matrix. Moreover, while existing online decision algorithms mainly focus on reward maximization, less attention has been devoted to statistical inference. To address these gaps, in this…

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Online Statistical Inference for Stochastic Optimization via Kiefer-Wolfowitz Methods

基于 Kiefer–Wolfowitz 方法的随机优化在线统计推断

This article investigates the problem of online statistical inference of model parameters in stochastic optimization problems via the Kiefer-Wolfowitz algorithm with random search directions. We first present the asymptotic distribution for the Polyak-Ruppert-averaging type Kiefer-Wolfowitz (AKW) estimators, whose asymptotic covariance matrices depend on the distribution of search directions and the function-value query complexity. The distributional result reflects the…

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Distributed estimation and inference for semiparametric binary response models

半参数二元响应模型的分布式估计与推断

The development of modern technology has enabled data collection of unprecedented size, which poses new challenges to many statistical estimation and inference problems. This paper studies the maximum score estimator of a semiparametric binary choice model under a distributed computing environment without prespecifying the noise distribution. An intuitive divide-and-conquer estimator is computationally expensive and restricted by a nonregular constraint on the number of…

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First-Order Newton-Type Estimator for Distributed Estimation and Inference

用于分布式估计与推断的一阶牛顿型估计量

This article studies distributed estimation and inference for a general statistical problem with a convex loss that could be nondifferentiable. For the purpose of efficient computation, we restrict ourselves to stochastic first-order optimization, which enjoys low per-iteration complexity. To motivate the proposed method, we first investigate the theoretical properties of a straightforward divide-and-conquer stochastic gradient descent approach. Our theory shows that there…

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Statistical inference for model parameters in stochastic gradient descent

随机梯度下降中模型参数的统计推断

The stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithm has been widely used in statistical estimation for large-scale data due to its computational and memory efficiency. While most existing works focus on the convergence of the objective function or the error of the obtained solution, we investigate the problem of statistical inference of true model parameters based on SGD when the population loss function is strongly convex and satisfies certain smoothness conditions. Our main…

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Quantile regression under memory constraint

内存约束下的分位数回归

This paper studies the inference problem in quantile regression (QR) for a large sample size $n$ but under a limited memory constraint, where the memory can only store a small batch of data of size $m$. A natural method is the naive divide-and-conquer approach, which splits data into batches of size $m$, computes the local QR estimator for each batch and then aggregates the estimators via averaging. However, this method only works when $n=o(m^{2})$ and is computationally…

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