Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Discretely Sampled Diffusions: A Closed-form Approximation Approach
离散采样扩散过程的最大似然估计:闭式近似方法
When a continuous-time diffusion is observed only at discrete dates, in most cases the transition distribution and hence the likelihood function of the observations is not explicitly computable. Using Hermite polynomials, I construct an explicit sequence of closed-form functions and show that it converges to the true (but unknown) likelihood function. I document that the approximation is very accurate and prove that maximizing the sequence results in an estimator that…