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High‐dimensional non‐stationary time series, which reveal both complex trends and stochastic behaviour, occur in many scientific fields, e.g. macroeconomics, finance, neuroeconomics, etc. To model these, we propose a generalized dynamic semi‐parametric factor model with a two‐step estimation procedure. After choosing smoothed functional principal components as space functions (factor loadings), we extract various temporal trends by employing variable selection techniques for…

具有误报概率界的动态抽样正态均值变化检测AI 解读

We show that when dynamic sampling is feasible, there exist surveillance schemes for which the probability of a false alarm is bounded and which have a bounded expected delay when detecting a (true) change. In the case of detecting a change of a normal mean, we probe optimality and suggest procedures. These procedures compare favorably to those having a fixed sampling rate which have been developed for an expectation constraint on the average run length until a false alarm.