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未知分布下变点的渐近有效估计AI 解读

Suppose $X_1,\cdots, X_n$ are distributed according to a probability measure under which $X_1,\cdots, X_n$ are independent, $X_1 \sim F_0$, for $i = 1,\cdots, \lbrack\theta_n n\rbrack$ and $X_i \sim F^{(n)}$ for $i = \lbrack\theta_nn\rbrack + 1, \cdots, n$ where $\lbrack x\rbrack$ denotes the integer part of $x$. In this paper we consider the asymptotic efficient estimation of $\theta_n$ when the distributions are not known. Our estimator is efficient in the sense that if $F^{(n)} = F_{\eta_n}, \eta_n \rightarrow 0$…

CUSUM 程序的决策论最优性AI 解读

Suppose $X_1, X_2, \ldots$ are independent random variables such that for some unknown $\nu$, each of $X_1, \ldots, X_{\nu - 1}$ is distributed according to $F_0$, while $X_\nu, X_{\nu + 1}, \ldots$ are all distributed according to $F_1$. We prove a result of Moustakides that claims that the CUSUM procedures are optimal in the sense of Lorden. We do that by proving that the procedures are Bayes for some stochastic mechanism of generating $\nu$.