Estimation and Forecasting of Dynamic Conditional Covariance: A Semiparametric Multivariate Model
动态条件协方差的估计与预测:半参数多变量模型
We propose a semiparametric conditional covariance (SCC) estimator that combines the first-stage parametric conditional covariance (PCC) estimator with the second-stage nonparametric correction estimator in a multiplicative way. We prove the asymptotic normality of our SCC estimator, propose a nonparametric test for the correct specification of PCC models, and study its asymptotic properties. We evaluate the finite sample performance of our test and SCC estimator and compare…