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基于因子模型的高维降秩时间序列估计AI 解读

High-dimensional time series are very common in reality. Analyzing each series separately may not be a good strategy, as it may miss some important information and result in a less optimal outcome. Even worse, in some cases, it may not even provide an answer to the question of interest. Reduced-rank model is an important tool for joint analysis of high-dimensional multiple-response time series. In this paper, we develop a new and powerful method for estimating the…

离散值时间序列的平滑估计AI 解读

Summary We deal with smoothed estimators for conditional probability functions of discrete-valued time series {Yt} under two different settings. When the conditional distribution of Yt given its lagged values falls in a parametric family and depends on exogenous random variables, a smoothed maximum (partial) likelihood estimator for the unknown parameter is proposed. While there is no prior information on the distribution, various nonparametric estimation methods have been…