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Robust Bayesian variable selection in linear models with spherically symmetric errors

球对称误差线性模型中的稳健贝叶斯变量选择

This paper studies Bayesian variable selection in linear models with general spherically symmetric error distributions. We construct the posterior odds based on a separable prior, which arises as a class of mixtures of Gaussian densities. The posterior odds for comparing among nonnull models are shown to be independent of the error distribution, if this is spherically symmetric. Because of this invariance, we refer to our method as a robust Bayesian variable selection…

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Complete Classes for Sequential Tests of Hypotheses

序贯假设检验的完全类

We consider problems of sequential testing when the loss function is the sum of a component due to an error in the terminal decision and a cost of observation component. In all cases we establish a characterization of a complete class or an essentially complete class. In order to obtain such results for testing a null hypothesis against an alternative hypothesis we establish complete class results for testing the closure of the null hypothesis against the closure of the…

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A Complete Class Theorem for Strict Monotone Likelihood Ratio With Applications

严格单调似然比下的完全类定理及其应用

Suppose a random variable has a density belonging to a one parameter family which has strict monotone likelihood ratio. For inference regarding the parameter (or a monotone function of the parameter) consider the loss function to be bowl shaped for each fixed parameter and also to have each action be a "point of increase" or a "point of decrease" for some value of the parameter. Under these conditions, given any nonmonotone decision procedure, a unique monotone procedure is…

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Negative Moments of Positive Random Variables

正随机变量的负阶矩

We investigate the problem of finding the expected value of functions of a random variable X of the form f(X) = (X+A)−n where X+A>0 a.s. and n is a non-negative integer. The technique is to successively integrate the probability generating function and is suggested by the well-known result that successive differentiation leads to the positive moments. The technique is applied to the problem of finding E[1/(X+A)] for the binomial and Poisson distributions.

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