Measuring intervention Effects on Multiple Time Series Subjected to Linear Restrictions: A Banking Example
线性约束下多元时间序列干预效应的测量:银行业实例
The authors consider the problem of estimating the effects of an intervention on a time-series vector subjected to a linear constraint. Minimum variance linear and unbiased estimators are provided for two different formulations of the problem--(1) when a multivariate intervention analysis is carried out and an adjustment is needed to fulfill the restriction and (2) when a univariate intervention analysis was performed on the aggregate series obtained from the linear…