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SEMIPARAMETRIC ESTIMATION OF DYNAMIC BINARY CHOICE PANEL DATA MODELS

动态二元选择面板数据模型的半参数估计

We propose a new approach to the semiparametric analysis of panel data binary choice models with fixed effects and dynamics (lagged dependent variables). The model under consideration has the same random utility framework as in Honoré and Kyriazidou (2000, Econometrica 68, 839–874). We demonstrate that, with additional serial dependence conditions on the process of deterministic utility and tail restrictions on the error distribution, the (point) identification of the model…

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Revisiting Panel Data Binary Choice Models with Lagged Dependent Variables

重新审视含滞后因变量的面板二元选择模型

This paper revisits the identification and estimation of a class of semiparametric (distribution-free) panel data binary choice models with lagged dependent variables, exogenous covariates, and entity fixed effects. We provide a novel identification strategy, using an “identification at infinity” argument. In contrast with the celebrated Honoré and Kyriazidou (2000), our method permits time trends of any form and does not suffer from the “curse of dimensionality”. We propose…

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SPECIFICATION TESTS FOR TIME-VARYING COEFFICIENT PANEL DATA MODELS

时变系数面板模型的设定检验

This paper provides nonparametric specification tests for the commonly used homogeneous and stable coefficients structures in panel data models. We first obtain the augmented residuals by estimating the model under the null hypothesis and then run auxiliary time series regressions of augmented residuals on covariates with time-varying coefficients (TVCs) via sieve methods. The test statistic is then constructed by averaging the squared fitted values, which are close to zero…

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Quasi-Bayesian Inference for Production Frontiers

生产前沿的准贝叶斯推断

This article proposes to estimate and infer the production frontier by combining multiple first-stage extreme quantile estimates via the quasi-Bayesian method. We show the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator and the validity of the inference procedure. The finite sample performance of our method is illustrated through simulations and an empirical application.

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Semi-parametric single-index panel data models with interactive fixed effects: Theory and practice

含交互固定效应的半参数单指标面板模型:理论与实践

In this paper, we propose a single-index panel data model with unobserved multiple interactive fixed effects. This model has the advantages of being flexible and of being able to allow for common shocks and their heterogeneous impacts on cross sections, thus making it suitable for the investigation of many economic issues. The asymptotic theories are established accordingly. Our Monte Carlo simulations show that our methodology works well for large N and T cases. In our…

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Identifying the average treatment effect in ordered treatment models without unconfoundedness

无处理无混杂性条件下有序处理模型的平均处理效应识别

We show identification of the Average Treatment Effect (ATE) when treatment is specified by ordered choice in cross section or panel models. Treatment is determined by location of a latent variable (containing a continuous instrument) relative to two or more thresholds. We place no functional form restrictions on latent errors and potential outcomes. Unconfoundedness of treatment does not hold and identification at infinity for the treated is not possible. Yet we still show…

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Testing for monotonicity in unobservables under unconfoundedness

无混杂条件下不可观测因素单调性的检验

Monotonicity in a scalar unobservable is a common assumption when modeling heterogeneity in structural models. Among other things, it allows one to recover the underlying structural function from certain conditional quantiles of observables. Nevertheless, monotonicity is a strong assumption and in some economic applications unlikely to hold, e.g., random coefficient models. Its failure can have substantive adverse consequences, in particular inconsistency of any estimator…

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Estimation of High-Frequency Volatility: An Autoregressive Conditional Duration Approach

高频波动率估计:自回归条件持续期方法

We propose a method to estimate the intraday volatility of a stock by integrating the instantaneous conditional return variance per unit time obtained from the autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) model, called the ACD-ICV method. We compare the daily volatility estimated using the ACD-ICV method against several versions of the realized volatility (RV) method, including the bipower variation RV with subsampling, the realized kernel estimate, and the duration-based RV.…

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