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中心量族推断：针对一族分布中心的假设检验AI 解读

Summary Statistical hypotheses are translations of scientific hypotheses into statements about one or more distributions, often concerning their centre. Tests that assess statistical hypotheses of centre implicitly assume a specific centre, e.g., the mean or median. Yet, scientific hypotheses do not always specify a particular centre. This ambiguity leaves the possibility for a gap between scientific theory and statistical practice that can lead to rejection of a true null.…

贝叶斯线性模型中的条件 Lindley 悖论AI 解读

The development of prior distributions for Bayesian regression has traditionally been driven by the goal of achieving sensible model selection and parameter estimation. The formalization of properties that characterize good performance has led to the development and popularization of thick-tailed mixtures of g priors such as the Zellner–Siow and hyper-g priors. In this paper we introduce a conditional information asymptotic regime that is motivated by the common data…

稳健似然累积和控制图AI 解读

In practice, the cumulative sum (CUSUM) control chart is often used to detect small shifts in the mean of a normally distributed process, but it performs poorly for thick-tailed processes and for large shifts. This article provides a robust-likelihood cumulative sum (RLCUSUM) chart that discounts outliers and yet has the ability to detect large shifts quickly. The new chart is motivated by the likelihood underpinnings of the CUSUM. It is based on the likelihood of a variate…

子抽样 MCMC 估计的广义后分层与重要性抽样AI 解读

Benchmark estimation is motivated by the goal of producing an approximation to a posterior distribution that is better than the empirical distribution function. This is accomplished by incorporating additional information into the construction of the approximation. We focus here on generalized poststratification, the most successful implementation of benchmark estimation in our experience. We develop generalized poststratification for settings where the source of the…

排序集抽样数据的非参数两样本方法AI 解读

A new collection of procedures is developed for the analysis of two-sample, ranked-set samples, providing an alternative to the Bohn–Wolfe procedure. These procedures split the data based on the ranks in the ranked-set sample and lead to tests for the centers of distributions, confidence intervals, and point estimators. The advantages of the new tests are that they require essentially no assumptions about the mechanism by which rankings are imperfect, that they maintain…

基于狄利克雷过程混合的贝叶斯非参数空间建模AI 解读

Customary modeling for continuous point-referenced data assumes a Gaussian process that is often taken to be stationary. When such models are fitted within a Bayesian framework, the unknown parameters of the process are assumed to be random, so a random Gaussian process results. Here we propose a novel spatial Dirichlet process mixture model to produce a random spatial process that is neither Gaussian nor stationary. We first develop a spatial Dirichlet process model for…

依赖随机测度的 ANOVA 模型AI 解读

We consider dependent nonparametric models for related random probability distributions. For example, the random distributions might be indexed by a categorical covariate indicating the treatment levels in a clinical trial and might represent random effects distributions under the respective treatment combinations. We propose a model that describes dependence across random distributions in an analysis of variance (ANOVA)-type fashion. We define a probability model in such a…