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基于对偶高斯随机化的交叉验证AI 解读

Abstract We introduce a new cross-validation (CV) method based on an equicorrelated Gaussian randomization scheme. Our method is well-suited for problems where sample splitting is infeasible, either because the data violate the assumption of independent and identically distributed samples, or because there are insufficient samples to form representative train–test data pairs. In such problems, our method provides a simple, principled, and computationally efficient approach…

主成分分析中方差解释比例的统计推断AI 解读

Principal component analysis (PCA) is a longstanding approach for dimension reduction. It rests upon the assumption that the underlying signal has low rank, and thus can be well-summarized using a small number of dimensions. The output of PCA is typically represented using a scree plot, which displays the proportion of variance explained (PVE) by each principal component. While the PVE is extensively reported in routine analyses, to the best of our knowledge the notion of…

分位数回归的渐近精确选择后推断AI 解读

In modern data analysis, it is common to select a model before performing statistical inference. Selective inference tools make adjustments for the model selection process in order to ensure reliable inference post selection. In this paper, we introduce an asymptotic pivot to infer about the effects of selected variables on conditional quantile functions. Utilizing estimators from smoothed quantile regression, our proposed pivot is easy to compute and yields…

利用重采样数据进行弱假设数据裂分AI 解读

Gaussian additive noise data fission is described in Tian and Taylor (2018) and expanded in Rasines and Young (2022). This current work, Leiner et al. (2025), expands greatly on this idea by creati...

随机化选择后的精确推断AI 解读

Summary We introduce a pivot for exact selective inference with randomization. Not only does our pivot lead to exact inference in Gaussian regression models, but it is also available in closed form. We reduce this problem to inference for a bivariate truncated Gaussian variable. By doing so, we give up some power that is achieved with approximate maximum likelihood estimation in Panigrahi & Taylor (2023). Yet our pivot always produces narrower confidence intervals than a…

数据雕刻的无模型推断AI 解读

Complex studies involve many steps. Selecting promising findings based on pilot data is a first step. As more observations are collected, the investigator must decide how to combine the new data with the pilot data to construct valid selective inference. Carving, introduced by Fithian, Sun and Taylor (2014), enables the reuse of pilot data during selective inference and accounts for overoptimism from the selection process. However, currently, carving is only justified for…

基于最大似然的近似选择后推断AI 解读

Several strategies have been developed recently to ensure valid inference after model selection; some of these are easy to compute, while others fare better in terms of inferential power. In this article, we consider a selective inference framework for Gaussian data. We propose a new method for inference through approximate maximum likelihood estimation. Our goal is to: (a) achieve better inferential power with the aid of randomization, (b) bypass expensive MCMC sampling…

凸约束下选择后推断的整合方法AI 解读

Inference after model selection has been an active research topic in the past few years, with numerous works offering different approaches to addressing the perils of the reuse of data. In particular, major progress has been made recently on large and useful classes of problems by harnessing general theory of hypothesis testing in exponential families, but these methods have their limitations. Perhaps most immediate is the gap between theory and practice: implementing the…