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线性时间序列下的固定设计回归AI 解读

This investigation is concerned with recovering a regression function $g(x_i)$ on the basis of noisy observations taken at uniformly spaced design points $x_i$. It is presumed that the corresponding observations are corrupted by additive dependent noise, and that the noise is, in fact, induced by a general linear process in which the summand law can be discrete, as well as continuously distributed. Discreteness induces a complication because such noise is not known to be…

遍历平稳时间序列的非参数推断AI 解读

The setting is a stationary, ergodic time series. The challenge is to construct a sequence of functions, each based on only finite segments of the past, which together provide a strongly consistent estimator for the conditional probability of the next observation, given the infinite past. Ornstein gave such a construction for the case that the values are from a finite set, and recently Algoet extended the scheme to time series with coordinates in a Polish space. The present…

马尔可夫转移函数的非参数估计AI 解读

Let $\{X_n\}$ be a Markov chain having a stationary transition function and assume that the state set is an arbitrary set in a Euclidean space. The state transition law of the chain is given by a function $F(y|x) = P\lbrack X_{n+1} \leqslant y|X_n = x\rbrack$, which is assumed defined and continuous for all $x$. In this paper we give a statistical procedure for determining a function $F_n(y\mid x)$ on the basis of the sample $\{X_j\}^n_{j=1}, n = 1, 2,\cdots,$ and prove that…